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Wednesday, 20 June 2012 - Chavez has big lead ahead of Venezuela election |
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      Edition: U.S. Africa Arabic Argentina Brazil Canada China France Germany India Italy Japan Latin America Mexico Russia Spain United Kingdom Home Business Business Home Economy Technology Media Small Business Legal Deals Earnings Social Pulse Business Video The Freeland File Markets Markets Home U.S. Markets European Markets Asian Markets Global Market Data Indices M&A Stocks Bonds Currencies Commodities Futures Funds peHUB World World Home U.S. Brazil China Euro Zone Japan Mexico Russia India Insight World Video Reuters Investigates Decoder Politics Politics Home Election 2012 Campaign Polling Tales from the Trail Political Punchlines Supreme Court Politics Video Tech Technology Home MediaFile Science Tech Video Tech Tonic Social Pulse Opinion Opinion Home Chrystia Freeland John Lloyd Felix Salmon Jack Shafer David Rohde Bernd Debusmann Nader Mousavizadeh Lucy P. 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See the best of Reuters photography.  See more  Crossing the border Crossing the Mexico-U.S. border.  Slideshow  Great British food Taste of traditional British cuisine.  Slideshow  Chavez has big lead ahead of Venezuela election Tweet Share this Email Print Related News Chavez has 16-point lead in latest Venezuela poll 1:35pm EDT Mexican opinion poll shows Pena Nieto extending lead 10:47am EDT Chavez rejects poll debate, irking rival Mon, Jun 18 2012 Mexico's Pena Nieto keeps wide lead in race: polls Mon, Jun 18 2012 Mexico presidential frontrunner rises in poll after debate Thu, Jun 14 2012 Analysis & Opinion Votes and dollar signs, cancer cure-rate claims, present at the euro’s creation The world expected more from Obama Related Topics World » Venezuela » By Marianna Parraga and Andrew Cawthorne CARACAS | Tue Jun 19, 2012 4:53pm EDT CARACAS (Reuters) - Venezuela's President Hugo Chavez holds a large lead over opposition candidate Henrique Capriles less than four months before the South American OPEC nation's election, a new opinion poll showed on Tuesday. The survey by respected local pollster Datanalisis found that 43.6 percent of voters favor Chavez versus 27.7 percent for the Democratic Unity coalition's candidate Capriles. The 57-year-old Chavez, who has been battling cancer for a year, remains popular in his 14th year in power due to his oil-financed welfare spending and his enduring emotional connection with the country's poor majority. State governor Capriles, 39, however, is drawing big crowds on the campaign trail and exuding an image of youth and energy that he believes will tip the balance come voting day on October 7. Datanalisis said the portion of undecided voters in its May survey stood at a substantial 28.7 percent - bearing out analysts' consensus that there is a lot left to play for. The Datanalisis survey was in line with most of the country's best-known pollsters, who give Chavez a double-digit lead with less than four months remaining until the ballot. Opinion polls are notoriously controversial in Venezuela, with both sides regularly accusing the companies that publish them of being biased and having political links. "All the serious polls in this country, including one that is totally opposition, give Chavez an advantage of between 16 and 25 points," Information Minister Andres Izarra told Reuters. "And the campaign has still not started," he added, referring to the formal July 1 beginning of the election race. CANCER MYSTERY While Chavez appears to be in a strong position, analysts said the volatility of Venezuelan voters and the mystery over his health mean the 2012 presidential race is far from over. Datanalisis head, Luis Vicente Leon, told Reuters a smaller phone survey of 700 people after the formal registering of Chavez and Capriles' candidacies last week showed Chavez with a smaller, 14-point gap over Capriles. He gave no more details. After three operations to remove two cancerous tumors in the last year, and lengthy absences in Cuba for treatment, Chavez has returned to the public limelight in the last two weeks with regular appearances on state TV and in public. Details of his condition, however, remain a state secret. Although he is not walking much in public, Chavez has insisted he is recovering and that he will crush Capriles on election day. Capriles said some opinion polls are skewed and that his nationwide "house-by-house" campaign is gathering steam and putting him on course to unseat the socialist leader. Both he and Chavez drew hundreds of thousands of supporters onto the streets when they registered with the national election board earlier this month. The opposition candidate wants to end Chavez's radical, statist policies and install a Brazilian-style "modern left" administration. The Datanalisis poll for May showed Capriles up 2 percentage points from the previous month's survey, and Chavez up 0.7 percentage points. Another survey on Tuesday - by pollster Gis XXI, which is run by a former Chavez minister - also gave the president a healthy lead with 57.8 percent of voter intentions versus 23 percent for Capriles. The two candidates sparred bitterly on Monday over the possibility of a face-to-face televised campaign debate. Chavez said he would be "ashamed" to square off with a "non-entity" like Capriles, while the opposition flagbearer said the president was better at insulting than debating. (Writing by Andrew Cawthorne; Editing by Daniel Wallis and Christopher Wilson) World Venezuela Tweet this Link this Share this Digg this Email Reprints   We welcome comments that advance the story through relevant opinion, anecdotes, links and data. If you see a comment that you believe is irrelevant or inappropriate, you can flag it to our editors by using the report abuse links. Views expressed in the comments do not represent those of Reuters. For more information on our comment policy, see http://blogs.reuters.com/fulldisclosure/2010/09/27/toward-a-more-thoughtful-conversation-on-stories/ Comments (0) Be the first to comment on reuters.com. Add yours using the box above.   Edition: U.S. Africa Arabic Argentina Brazil Canada China France Germany India Italy Japan Latin America Mexico Russia Spain United Kingdom Back to top Reuters.com Business Markets World Politics Technology Opinion Money Pictures Videos Site Index Legal Bankruptcy Law California Legal New York Legal Securities Law Support & Contact Support Corrections Connect with Reuters Twitter   Facebook   LinkedIn   RSS   Podcast   Newsletters   Mobile About Privacy Policy Terms of Use AdChoices Copyright Our Flagship financial information platform incorporating Reuters Insider An ultra-low latency infrastructure for electronic trading and data distribution A connected approach to governance, risk and compliance Our next generation legal research platform Our global tax workstation Thomsonreuters.com About Thomson Reuters Investor Relations Careers Contact Us   Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. Thomson Reuters journalists are subject to an Editorial Handbook which requires fair presentation and disclosure of relevant interests. NYSE and AMEX quotes delayed by at least 20 minutes. Nasdaq delayed by at least 15 minutes. For a complete list of exchanges and delays, please click here.

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