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Sunday, 1 May 2011 - Canada set for election, but result impossible to call |
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    Edition: U.S. Article Comments (0) Slideshow Full Focus Photos of the week Our top photos from the past week.  Full Article  Follow Reuters Facebook Twitter RSS YouTube Read Libya says Gaddafi survives air strikes, but son killed | 11:24am EDT Russian MP criticises NATO for Gaddafi air strike 4:18am EDT Obama ramps up recovery help for tornado-hit South | 7:32am EDT Libyan leader's son Saif al-Arab killed in NATO strike 30 Apr 2011 Obama seeks end to oil industry tax breaks 30 Apr 2011 Discussed 103 White House releases longer Obama birth certificate 87 Donald Trump calls U.S. leaders ”stupid” 51 Woman mauled to death by pit bulls in New Mexico Watched Royal wedding photos released Sat, Apr 30 2011 Fire ants form rafts to defy floods Tue, Apr 26 2011 Kate's wedding party evening gown Fri, Apr 29 2011 Canada set for election, but result impossible to call Tweet Share this By David Ljunggren OTTAWA (Reuters) - Canada's federal election on Monday is too close to call, raising the prospect of a potentially destabilizing political battle between the ruling Conservatives and opposition parties. Polls show the... Email Print Related News UPDATE 2-Election comment has Canada's NDP scrambling Fri, Apr 29 2011 UPDATE 4-Canada's NDP rocks election race, markets hesitant Wed, Apr 27 2011 Yemen deal may be done within week: officials Tue, Apr 26 2011 Japan PM under pressure after party falters in local polls Mon, Apr 25 2011 REFILE-UPDATE 1-Canada PM raises old ghosts to win election Wed, Apr 20 2011 Analysis & Opinion The Black Swan of Cairo Why liberals owe Reagan a huge apology Related Topics World » 1 / 2 Conservative leader and Canada's Prime Minister Stephen Harper speaks during a campaign rally in Stratford, Prince Edward Island May 1, 2011. Credit: Reuters/Chris Wattie By David Ljunggren OTTAWA | Sun May 1, 2011 10:50am EDT OTTAWA (Reuters) - Canada's federal election on Monday is too close to call, raising the prospect of a potentially destabilizing political battle between the ruling Conservatives and opposition parties. Polls show the Conservatives are set to win the most seats in the 308-seat House of Commons but it is impossible to say whether they will capture a majority, or if they can find opposition support to make a minority government work. Canada -- the largest single supplier of energy to the United States -- has not seen such an unpredictable election for more than three decades, McGill University political science professor Richard Schultz told Reuters. "It's so up in the air ... as a close watcher (of politics), I'm as confused as anyone by this," he said. The right-of-center Conservatives have been in power since early 2006 with two successive minority governments, which required them to gain opposition support to pass key bills. They insist they need a majority to keep taxes low and ensure Canada continues to recover from the global crisis. Prime Minister Stephen Harper says if he falls short of his goal, center-left opposition parties will oust him and create a "dangerous" coalition guaranteed to wreck the economy. His main target is the left-leaning New Democrats, running a strong second in the polls. They promise to raise corporate taxes, increase social spending and bring in a cap and trade system to cut emissions of greenhouse gases. "I think the New Democrats' economic platform would be an utter disaster for the country," said Harper, who has run a relentlessly negative five-week campaign. "A New Democrat-led minority coalition would ... do enormous damage every single day it is in office," he told the Toronto Star in an interview published on Sunday. VOTE-SPLITTING Harper could benefit from vote-splitting between the New Democrats and their Liberal rivals and eke out a majority, which would earn him a fixed four-year term in power. A Nanos Research tracking poll of results for the last three days put public support for the Conservatives at 37 percent. The New Democrats had 30.6 percent while the Liberals were on 22.7 percent. A Conservative-led coalition is not an option, given Harper's attacks on opposition parties and his highly uncompromising style of governing. Canada's economy is one of the best performing among rich industrialized nations, although the deficit spiraled to record levels as the Conservatives spent heavily to pull Canada out of recession. All three parties promise to balance the budget within a few years, a factor that reassures markets. "We shall see if investors remain so sanguine on Tuesday morning, but they certainly aren't jumping to any conclusions yet," said Douglas Porter of BMO Capital Markets. The main reason for the political uncertainty is the unexpected rise of the New Democrats, a pro-labor party that has never held power and started the campaign in third place. Leader Jack Layton was upbeat from the start, urging voters to abandon the larger two parties and give him a chance. If the New Democrats and Liberals together win more seats than the Conservatives, Harper would have to decide whether to compromise or force a showdown. His first test would come within weeks in a speech to Parliament outlining his plans. This is a confidence measure and if opposition parties toppled the Conservatives, they would almost certainly be given a chance to create a government without another election. A New Democrat-Liberal coalition could have a major impact on energy policy. Harper sees Canada as an energy superpower that needs freedom to grow and export while the New Democrats fret about the environmental cost of unchecked developments. Layton's campaign looks strong in the predominantly French-speaking province of Quebec, where the separatist Bloc Quebecois has been dominant for two decades. Polls suggest the New Democrats could crush the Bloc, which would reassure markets who worry Quebec might one day split away. (Reporting by David Ljunggren, Editing by Sandra Maler) World Tweet this Share this Link this Digg this Email Reprints   We welcome comments that advance the story directly or with relevant tangential information. We try to block comments that use offensive language, all capital letters or appear to be spam, and we review comments frequently to ensure they meet our standards. If you see a comment that you believe is irrelevant or inappropriate, you can flag it to our editors by using the report abuse links. Views expressed in the comments do not represent those of Reuters. Comments (0) Be the first to comment on reuters.com. Add yours using the box above. Social Stream (What's this?) © Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters Editorial Editions: Africa Arabic Argentina Brazil Canada China France Germany India Italy Japan Latin America Mexico Russia Spain United Kingdom United States Reuters Contact Us Advertise With Us Help Journalism Handbook Archive Site Index Video Index Reader Feedback   Mobile Newsletters RSS Podcasts Widgets Your View Analyst Research Thomson Reuters Copyright Disclaimer Privacy Professional Products Professional Products Support Financial Products About Thomson Reuters Careers Online Products Acquisitions Monthly Buyouts Venture Capital Journal International Financing Review Project Finance International PEhub.com PE Week FindLaw Super Lawyers Attorney Rating Service Reuters on Facebook Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. Thomson Reuters journalists are subject to an Editorial Handbook which requires fair presentation and disclosure of relevant interests. NYSE and AMEX quotes delayed by at least 20 minutes. Nasdaq delayed by at least 15 minutes. For a complete list of exchanges and delays, please click here.

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