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Saturday, 10 September 2011 - Analysis: With us or against us? A decade on, Pakistan wavering |
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      Edition: U.S. Africa Arabic Argentina Brazil Canada China France Germany India Italy Japan Latin America Mexico Russia Spain United Kingdom Home Business Business Home Economy Technology Media Small Business Green Business Legal Deals Earnings Summits Business Video Markets Markets Home U.S. Markets European Markets Asian Markets Global Market Data Indices M&A Stocks Bonds Currencies Commodities Futures Funds peHUB World World Home U.S. Brazil China Euro Zone Japan Mexico Russia Afghan Journal Africa Journal India Insight Global News Journal Pakistan: Now or Never? 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Warning: Graphic content  Full Article  Follow Reuters Facebook Twitter RSS YouTube Read Egyptian protesters pull down Israel embassy wall 09 Sep 2011 Quake off Vancouver, no damage reported 09 Sep 2011 Clooney Talks Politics, Charms Crowd at Toronto Fest 09 Sep 2011 Ashton Kutcher Strips for Ellen DeGeneres 09 Sep 2011 Listeria outbreak probe expands to three states 09 Sep 2011 Discussed 199 Obama to propose $300 billion jobs package: report 97 Obama to call for urgent steps on economy 76 Nearly 40 percent of Europeans suffer mental illness Watched Massive supernova visible from Earth Wed, Sep 7 2011 Battle to contain Texas wildfires Fri, Sep 9 2011 Egyptians storm Israeli embassy Fri, Sep 9 2011 Analysis: With us or against us? A decade on, Pakistan wavering Tweet Share this Email Print Factbox Factbox: September 11 conspirators: Where are they now? Fri, Sep 9 2011 Related News New York cracks down after "credible" 9/11 threat Fri, Sep 9 2011 Clinton: al Qaeda behind unconfirmed threat to U.S. Fri, Sep 9 2011 UK's Blair: No regrets about befriending Gaddafi Fri, Sep 9 2011 Al Qaeda shadow of former self 10 years after 9/11 Fri, Sep 9 2011 Analysis & Opinion Flashback to 2001: Taliban with a small “t” dream of Afghan jihad after 9/11 My September 11th Related Topics World » United Nations » The World Trade Center construction site is reflected in a shop window in New York September 9, 2011. Credit: Reuters/Brian Snyder By John Chalmers Fri Sep 9, 2011 11:54pm EDT (Reuters) - While the ruins of New York's World Trade Center were still smouldering in late September 2001, President George W. Bush put nations around the globe on notice: "Either you are with us, or you are with the terrorists." It was an ultimatum that Pakistan's then-president, Gen. Pervez Musharraf, felt acutely as Washington readied for war against the Taliban regime next door in Afghanistan. In his memoirs, he recalls being told by the Americans that "if we chose the terrorists, then we should be prepared to be bombed back to the Stone Age." Musharraf ditched the Taliban and threw Pakistan's lot in with the United States, making it a strategic ally in the "global war on terror," despite quiet misgivings among his top brass in the powerful military establishment. Over the decade since then, however, Pakistan has been an erratic and reluctant ally. Trust has crumbled on both sides and, with tensions now running high, it is clear that Islamabad increasingly sees Washington as more of a foe than a friend. "I'm very pessimistic," said Bruce Reidel, who advised President Barack Obama on policy on Afghanistan and Pakistan. "We're on a downward slide toward a more hostile relationship. Obama wants to save it, but our interests don't coincide." The dangers could be enormous if Washington fails to arrest the deterioration in relations with Pakistan, a nuclear-armed but largely dysfunctional state run by a feckless, military-cowed government and teeming with Islamist militants. At stake are the fight against terrorism, the security of Pakistan's nuclear arsenal and - as Islamabad plays off its friendship with China against the United States - regional stability. ANTI-AMERICANISM GROWS The United States and Pakistan have cooperated for decades, first against the Soviet Union and then the al Qaeda network. But anti-Americanism runs deep in Pakistan, in part because of Washington's perceived tilt toward arch-rival, India, but also because of a sense -- heightened by the invasion of Iraq in 2003 -- that the United States is a threat to the Muslim world. "The U.S. invasion of Iraq, coming on top of U.S. support for Israel and growing ties with India, greatly strengthened the vague and inchoate but pervasive feeling among Pakistanis that 'Islam is in danger' at the hands of the U.S.," wrote Anatol Lieven of the War Studies Department of King's College, London, in a new book, "Pakistan, a Hard Country." Lieven found that an "absolutely overwhelming majority" of Pakistanis, including the country's elites, do not believe 9/11 was the work of Osama bin Laden's al Qaeda. Many are convinced the attacks were in fact a plot by the Bush administration, Israel, or both, to provide a pretext for the U.S. invasion of Afghanistan as part of a strategy to dominate the Muslim world. Majid Qurashi, a hospital doctor in the militancy-plagued city of Peshawar on the road to Afghanistan, recently voiced the sentiments many Pakistanis felt on September 11, 2001. "When I saw the planes crash into the tower, I thought that, finally, someone had decided to teach the United States a lesson and respond to all the bad things it had been doing around the world," he told Reuters. India has been Pakistan's enemy No. 1 since the violent partition of the subcontinent in 1947. However, hostility toward the United States has grown, reaching new heights after U.S. Navy SEALs killed bin Laden at his Pakistan hideout in May. Another irritant has been the U.S. drone campaign against militants in Pakistan's tribal badlands on the border with Afghanistan, which Islamabad complains have killed civilians and only encouraged public sympathy for the groups sheltering there. A Pew Research Center survey of Pakistanis in June found that 69 percent saw the United States as an enemy and 47 percent were "very" worried about a military threat from Washington. DOUBLE GAME Distrust of Washington is most marked in the army, where there is a sense that - from the Cold War to the war on terrorism - the United States has used Pakistan as a means to pursue its own security interests. Hussain Haqqani, Islamabad's envoy to Washington, recently asked an audience of mainly military officers by a show of hands, "what is the principle national security threat to Pakistan?": a majority named the United States. One of the generals who attended a meeting with Musharraf days after 9/11 said that none of the officers openly questioned his decision to side with the United States, but some reminded him "that Americans have a habit of pulling the rug from under our feet once their interests are served." "America is after our nuclear assets," said the now-retired general, who asked not to be named. "It wants to create chaos in Pakistan to force the United Nations to say Pakistan is an unstable state and cannot secure its nuclear weapons and the international community should take control of these weapons." There is mounting frustration with the relationship on the U.S. side too, and calls for an end to the security and economic funds that Pakistan receives from Washington, which have added up to some $20 billion since 2001. This week the White House hailed Pakistan's capture of a top al Qaeda figure as an example of counter-terrorism cooperation. But it was a rare moment of entente amid U.S. accusations that Pakistan plays a double game over militants on its soil. For many, the fact that bin Laden had been holed up for years in a house just a couple of hours up the road from Islamabad and near a Pakistani military academy said it all. Pakistan denies any collusion with al Qaeda and regularly reminds Washington that it has paid the highest price in human life and money supporting the U.S. war on militancy. However, the root of the trust deficit lies with Pakistan's intelligence agency, the ISI, which has a long history of nurturing militant groups to fight India. Pakistan also stands accused of shielding on its own soil Afghan Taliban, the Haqqani network and others that battle U.S. troops in Afghanistan to guarantee that it has a proxy stake in any political settlement there when American forces withdraw. "Let me be clear: many Americans died in Afghanistan because of Pakistan's ISI," U.S. senator and naval reservist Mark Kirk fumed this week after an assignment in Afghanistan, proposing "an American tilt" toward India to encourage Delhi to bankroll an Afghan government that could fight terrorism and the ISI. Ayesha Siddiqa, an expert on the Pakistani military, said the United States and Pakistan have reached a point of strategic divergence as the moment for Afghanistan to stand on its own approaches. "They can no longer agree on the endgame in Afghanistan," she said. "Both are trying to get the maximum out of each other before that comes." Embarrassed and feeling betrayed by the secret raid on bin Laden, Pakistan has cut back on U.S. counter-insurgency trainers in the country and placed limits on CIA activities there. Washington responded by suspending about one-third of its $2.7 billion annual defense aid to Islamabad. "ALL-WEATHER FRIEND" CHINA In a sign that Pakistan is looking to use its amity with China as a lever in its troubled relationship with Washington, when the prime minister made his first address to the nation on the bin Laden incident he seized the opportunity to lavish praise on "our all-weather friend." But Beijing's friendship will only go so far. There is no sign that China is ready to shoulder the financial cost of propping up Pakistan that the United States has so far been willing to bear, and it will calculate that getting too close would tighten strategic ties between Washington and New Delhi, stoking regional tensions. Despite the tit-for-tat diplomatic sniping between them, Pakistan and the United States are trying to prevent a breakdown of relations. It is proving hard but, for now, both need each other too much to abandon their strategic alliance. "The United States and Pakistan are going to need to continue to cooperate on counter-terrorism, whether they like it or not," said Stephen Tankel of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in an online discussion last week. "Both sides are not prepared to walk away from the relationship but are beginning to reassess what the nature of that relationship should be going forward." (Additional reporting by Chris Allbritton, Zeeshan Haider, Michael Georgy and Qasim Nauman in Islamabad, and Warren Strobel in Washington; Editing by Raju Gopalakrishnan) World United Nations Tweet this Link this Share this Digg this Email Reprints   We welcome comments that advance the story through relevant opinion, anecdotes, links and data. If you see a comment that you believe is irrelevant or inappropriate, you can flag it to our editors by using the report abuse links. Views expressed in the comments do not represent those of Reuters. For more information on our comment policy, see http://blogs.reuters.com/fulldisclosure/2010/09/27/toward-a-more-thoughtful-conversation-on-stories/ Comments (0) Be the first to comment on reuters.com. Add yours using the box above. Social Stream (What's this?)   Edition: U.S. Africa Arabic Argentina Brazil Canada China France Germany India Italy Japan Latin America Mexico Russia Spain United Kingdom Back to top Reuters.com Business Markets World Politics Technology Opinion Money Pictures Videos Site Index Mobile Legal Bankruptcy Law California Legal New York Legal Securities Law Support & Contact Contact Us Advertise With Us Connect with Reuters Twitter   Facebook   LinkedIn   RSS   Newsletters About Privacy Policy Terms of Use Our Flagship financial information platform incorporating Reuters Insider An ultra-low latency infrastructure for electronic trading and data distribution A connected approach to governance, risk and compliance Our next generation legal research platform Our global tax workstation Thomsonreuters.com About Thomson Reuters Investor Relations Careers Contact Us   Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. 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