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Thursday, 19 May 2011 - Is it worth it? Pakistan, U.S. weigh aid calculus |
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    Edition: U.S. Article Comments (3) Full Focus Editor's choice A selection of our top photos from the past 24 hours.   Full Article  Follow Reuters Facebook Twitter RSS YouTube Read Media zoom in on mystery Schwarzenegger mistress | 18 May 2011 LinkedIn IPO prices at $45 per share, top of range | 18 May 2011 Woman in custody in Mass. for boy's body found in Maine 18 May 2011 Students consider prostitution to pay for school? 18 May 2011 IMF chief resigns, says to fight sex charges | 3:32am EDT Discussed 100 Texas county official says ”stupid” feds sparked fire 80 Israel-Palestinian violence erupts on three borders 64 Boehner says ready to cut budget deal today Watched Strauss-Kahn photo released 4:08am EDT Fire ants form rafts to defy floods Tue, Apr 26 2011 Schwarzenegger's mistress identified, Oprah hosts celebrity send-off 1:43am EDT Is it worth it? Pakistan, U.S. weigh aid calculus Tweet Share this By Chris Allbritton and Susan Cornwall ISLAMABAD/WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Muhammad Farooq waits by his truck outside the Pakistani border town of Chaman, the main crossing into southern Afghanistan. He has driven several hundred kilometers from the... Email Print Related News Pakistan military protests after NATO incursion wounds soldiers Tue, May 17 2011 Pakistan plays China card with Prime Minister's visit Tue, May 17 2011 John Kerry warns Pakistan over Bin Laden Mon, May 16 2011 Kerry in Pakistan with tough questions, meets army Sun, May 15 2011 Pakistan's parliament warns U.S. over bin Laden raid Sat, May 14 2011 Analysis & Opinion Pakistan : four probes and a killing After bin Laden: Do not retreat from Afghanistan Related Topics World » Afghanistan » A paramilitary soldier is seen silhouetted against the sun as he keeps guard at the site where security forces killed five would-be suicide bombers on the outskirts of Quetta May 17, 2011. Credit: Reuters/Naseer Ahmed By Chris Allbritton and Susan Cornwall ISLAMABAD/WASHINGTON | Thu May 19, 2011 1:05am EDT ISLAMABAD/WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Muhammad Farooq waits by his truck outside the Pakistani border town of Chaman, the main crossing into southern Afghanistan. He has driven several hundred kilometers from the port city of Karachi carrying supplies for NATO forces, along with a couple of dozen other tankers and trucks. "We will start moving soon in a convoy," says Farooq. "We are regularly attacked in this area. We are attacked with sticks, stones and even fired upon." Indeed, many of the trucks have dents and broken windows, from stones that have found their mark. "This is my third trip here," Farooq says, "and I have decided that this is the last time I'm coming here. It's not worth it." Farooq's calculation of whether his journey is worth it is a reflection of the larger assessments going on in Islamabad and Washington, which have sharpened since Osama bin Laden was found hiding in plain sight in a garrison town near Islamabad. Americans wonder if the billions of dollars in military aid they give Pakistan is being misspent or diverted to beef up Pakistan's military capabilities against India, or possibly even to bolster its nuclear weapons capabilities. Pakistan's government and military believes it is paying a high price to fight America's war against al Qaeda and the Taliban. More than 30,000 Pakistanis have been killed in the decade since the September 11. 2001 attacks, including 5,000 soldiers, police and intelligence agents. Pakistan, for its part, has received $20.7 billion worth of U.S. assistance over the past decade, about two-thirds of it military aid. What is clear is that both sides feel short-changed by an alliance they forged 10 years ago that is rooted in battling Islamist militancy, but which has largely ignored starkly different strategic interests. TRADE-OFF Pakistan is a nuclear-armed and politically volatile country that has fought three major wars with India and fought countless skirmishes. This rivalry largely defines its policy. The United States has given Pakistan billions to flush out Taliban and al Qaeda militants along the Afghan border, but few doubt that Islamabad actually protects many of them, seeing them as collateral to ensure that it -- and not India -- has a key role in any settlement in Afghanistan. Pakistan's preoccupation with its eastern front has led it to snap up weapons as a pace Western experts say may, within the decade, turn it into the world's fourth-largest arms purchaser after the United States, Russia and China. Pakistan is also suspicious of the United States' ties with India and Washington's help for its nuclear program, a relationship it hopes to counter by cozying up to China. All that makes for an alliance that is, at best, half-hearted and one in which aid money is diverted toward what Pakistan sees as its strategic interest. "The U.S. wants to leave Afghanistan, and end terrorist threats, but Pakistan wants parity with India and domination over Afghanistan," Vali Nasr, a former State Department adviser on Afghanistan and Pakistan, wrote in the Financial Times. "It is not easy to change the calculations of a nuclear power that harbours deep distrust of U.Sharbors. motives." In the 2009-10 budget, official defense expenditures amounted to $4.45 billion out of a total national budget of $29 billion. In that same fiscal year, according to the Congressional Research Service, direct military-to-military transfers amounted to just over $1 billion, almost a quarter of Pakistan's military spending. A big chunk of the military aid has been spent on weapons systems that appear to have little to do with fighting terrorists in the mountain wilderness, including 31 F-16 fighters, anti-tank missiles and launchers, fast patrol boats, and the refurbishment of a frigate. Much of this equipment would, however, be of use on the eastern front where Indian and Pakistan forces have for decades been locked in a tense standoff over the disputed territory of Kashmir. Former Pakistan President Pervez Musharraf, who joined the U.S.-led "war on terrorism" after the September 11 attacks had no qualms about admitting that. "Whoever wishes to be angry, let them be angry," he once said in an interview. "We have to maintain our security." The Americans have turned a blind eye. "Back in even the 1980s when we were providing all kinds of assistance because they were helping us with the Soviet-Afghan war, did we sort of know that they were asking for weapons and systems that weren't necessarily for use in Afghanistan against Soviet troops? Yeah," said a senior U.S. official. "But it's always a trade-off." Some Congressional critics have raised the possibility that some of the aid might have been diverted to Pakistan's nuclear weapons program. "Possibly some of our monies are being diverted to help them increase their missile launch activities for their nuclear weaponry," said Republican Senator Bob Corker, who along with colleagues received a closed-door briefing by CIA Director Leon Panetta about the bin Laden mission. "So, you know, I think this is a major reset button for us, time for us to really look at this relationship in a serious way," he told CNN in an interview. SUPPLY LINES The convoys that carry non-lethal supplies for the U.S.-led war in landlocked Afghanistan, through crossings in Chaman in southern Pakistan and Khyber Pass in the north, are just one factor in the calculus. Pakistani lawmakers, angry over the U.S. raid that killed bin Laden have warned that Pakistan may cut the supply lines if the United States continues to launch missile strikes against Islamist militants on their soil. A NATO helicopter incursion into Pakistani territory on Tuesday will likely increase such calls. A 10-day shutdown followed last year after similar incursions. Their counterparts in the U.S. Congress have threatened to cut the $3 billion in annual military and economic aid to Islamabad if it turns out Pakistani authorities knew that the al Qaeda leader was holed up for year in a villa just 50 km (30 miles) from the capital. Several senior U.S. Senate Democrats this week urged the Obama administration not to disburse any more security aid to Pakistan until it is sure Islamabad is not letting al Qaeda and other militant groups operate there. U.S.-Pakistani relations have long been called a marriage of convenience but, since the killing of bin Laden, there have been increasingly strident calls in both nations for a divorce. But blowing up the relationship, and the aid that comes with it, is an option the United States and Pakistan can ill-afford, because the stakes are so high. Nasr, the former senior State Department advisor, said the United States should now "hug" Pakistan more closer than ever, and suggested Washington actually offer more assistance in exchange for a genuine agreement from Pakistan to change course. "The conventional wisdom says Washington's policy of engagement has been a failure, and argues for a return to the distrustful approach that dominated American policy during the early 2000s. This would be a serious mistake," he said. MORE RIGOROUS ACCOUNTING It has been widely assumed that some of the aid money is being diverted to well-connected pockets. A 2008 study by the U.S. Government Accounting Office found a number of abuses in money spent under the Coalition Support Funds (CSF) that reimburse countries for their spending in the battle against terrorism. They included $200 million for air defense radar equipment when the insurgents do not have air forces, and $30 million for roads and $15 million for bunkers that were not actually built. The navy received more than $19,000 per vehicle each month just to maintain and operate a fleet of 20 passenger vehicles. Between 2004 and 2007, Pakistan billed the U.S. government $200 a month per soldier in food costs -- it fluctuated between $500 and $800 for sailors. That's between 2.5 and 9.6 times Pakistan's per-capita annual income, which was just over $1,000 in 2009. When the Office of Defense Representative-Pakistan (ODRP) began to more rigorously verify the Pakistani claims after that 2008 GAO report, the percentage of claims that were rejected doubled in six months to 6 percent and then more than tripled to 22 percent in the next six-month period. For example, in the first two quarters of fiscal year 2010, Pakistan submitted claims of $531 million and $530 million. The United States paid out $263 million and $326 million. "We certainly get claims that we have questions about," a U.S. official in Islamabad told Reuters. The official asked for anonymity to speak candidly about the relationship. Another senior U.S. official dryly added: "In this part of the world, in many parts of the world, there's always a tendency to pad the contracts." The more rigorous accounting and slower disbursement has added another irritant to the uneasy partnership. Pakistan is at pains to point out that much of the money it gets is not really aid but a reimbursement of expenses it incurs in fighting the U.S.-led war on terrorism. Pakistan's Army spokesman Major General Athar Abbas said the military gets reimbursed for things like fuel, maintenance of equipment and vehicles, and maintaining soldiers in the field. He said the money goes first to the finance ministry, then the Defense ministry before it is allocated to the military. Pakistan is one of the top recipients of U.S. aid along with Egypt and Israel, but it has not bought America much popularity. Opinion surveys show an overwhelming majority of the Pakistani public holds an unfavorable view of their ostensible ally. So, is U.S. aid to Pakistan really worthwhile? Officials say only time can tell. "In the long run, in the historic perspective, will we be able to say it was worth it? Or will historians be able to say that?" mused the senior U.S. official. "I really don't know at this point." (Additional reporting by Rebecca Conway in Islamabad, David Alexander and Missy Ryan in Washington and Faisal Aziz in Quetta; Editing by Bill Tarrant and Miral Fahmy) World Afghanistan Tweet this Link this Share this Digg this Email Reprints   We welcome comments that advance the story directly or with relevant tangential information. We try to block comments that use offensive language, all capital letters or appear to be spam, and we review comments frequently to ensure they meet our standards. If you see a comment that you believe is irrelevant or inappropriate, you can flag it to our editors by using the report abuse links. Views expressed in the comments do not represent those of Reuters. Comments (3) truthtorpedo wrote: After the next 911 the US will again come running to Pakistan with bags of money and fake hugs and kisses and promises to never leave its side, only to wait and use Pakistan only to want to dump them after the job is done. This is an endless cycle and we have seen the movie before and know how it ends. US is a unrealiable partner that throws Pakistan under the bus faster than India can. May 19, 2011 1:32am EDT  --  Report as abuse Islander2010 wrote: Pakistan needs U.S. funding and the U.S. needs Pakistan as a strategic ally in Western Asia. The relationship between these two nations has been brittle in the best of times and downright scandalous in other times. Both countries have postured over bin Ladin’s Abbottabad hideout. As The U.S. and Pakistan have drifted apart, China has seized the opportunity to declare it is Pakistan’s “all-weather” friend. The global chess pieces are realigning and the U.S. position looks weaker without Pakistan. It would be wise for the U.S. leaders to try and forge a new understanding with Pakistan – if it at all possible. For the best interests of both countries. May 19, 2011 2:16am EDT  --  Report as abuse redbird wrote: The main reason for being in Afghanistan is to prevent radical groups from forming and training there, which led to 9/11. If the Afghans and Pakistanis won’t cooperate, then let’s just pull most of our troops out and cut off all aid to both countries. Leave behind on-the-ground intelligence units, and also use spy satellites and other technologies to track the terrorist groups. And we just bomb the crap out of them from afar with drones. What are they going to do? Complain that we killed terrorists in their country that they refused to deal with? Too bad. May 19, 2011 2:34am EDT  --  Report as abuse See All Comments » Add Your Comment Social Stream (What's this?) © Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters Editorial Editions: Africa Arabic Argentina Brazil Canada China France Germany India Italy Japan Latin America Mexico Russia Spain United Kingdom United States Reuters Contact Us Advertise With Us Help Journalism Handbook Archive Site Index Video Index Reader Feedback   Mobile Newsletters RSS Podcasts Widgets Your View Analyst Research Thomson Reuters Copyright Disclaimer Privacy Professional Products Professional Products Support Financial Products About Thomson Reuters Careers Online Products Acquisitions Monthly Buyouts Venture Capital Journal International Financing Review Project Finance International PEhub.com PE Week FindLaw Super Lawyers Attorney Rating Service Reuters on Facebook Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. 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