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Friday, 19 October 2012 - Smart new models shine light into opaque FX world |
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      Edition: U.S. Africa Arabic Argentina Brazil Canada China France Germany India Italy Japan Latin America Mexico Russia Spain United Kingdom Home Business Business Home Economy Technology Media Small Business Legal Deals Earnings Social Pulse Business Video The Freeland File Aerospace & Defense Markets Markets Home U.S. Markets European Markets Asian Markets Global Market Data Indices M&A Stocks Bonds Currencies Commodities Futures Funds peHUB World World Home U.S. Brazil China Euro Zone Japan Mexico Russia India Insight World Video Reuters Investigates Decoder Politics Politics Home Election 2012 Campaign Polling Supreme Court Politics Video Tech Technology Home MediaFile Science Tech Video Tech Tonic Social Pulse Opinion Opinion Home Chrystia Freeland John Lloyd Felix Salmon Jack Shafer David Rohde Nader Mousavizadeh Lucy P. Marcus Nicholas Wapshott Bethany McLean Anatole Kaletsky Edward Hadas Hugo Dixon Ian Bremmer Lawrence Summers Susan Glasser The Great Debate Steven Brill Reihan Salam Frederick Kempe Christopher Papagianis Mark Leonard Breakingviews Equities Credit Private Equity M&A Macro & Markets Politics Breakingviews Video Money Money Home Tax Break Lipper Awards 2012 Global Investing MuniLand Unstructured Finance Linda Stern Mark Miller John Wasik James Saft Analyst Research Alerts Watchlist Portfolio Stock Screener Fund Screener Personal Finance Video Money Clip Investing 201 Life Health Sports Arts Faithworld Business Traveler Entertainment Oddly Enough Lifestyle Video Pictures Pictures Home Reuters Photographers Full Focus Video Reuters TV Reuters News Article Comments (0) Follow Reuters Facebook Twitter RSS YouTube Read Binders bump Big Bird in post-debate chuckles | 1:17am EDT Apple loses tablet copyright appeal against Samsung 18 Oct 2012 Locked in tight race, Obama and Romney trade jokes at dinner 12:22am EDT FDA finds fungus in steroid shots, meningitis toll rises | 18 Oct 2012 Obama talks Libya and Biden's swimsuit on "Daily Show" | 18 Oct 2012 Discussed 172 Obama gets second chance in debate rematch with Romney 90 ”I take responsibility” for Benghazi, Clinton tells CNN 83 Obama grabs wide lead among those who have already voted: Reuters/Ipsos poll Sponsored Links Smart new models shine light into opaque FX world Tweet Share this Email Print Related News Morgan Stanley beats estimates on big bond trade gains Thu, Oct 18 2012 State Street third-quarter net rises, forex revenue plummets Tue, Oct 16 2012 Analysis & Opinion Kill switches may be too difficult to implement despite new call by CFTC member, expert says Give Corbat some time Related Topics Tech » By Nia Williams LONDON | Fri Oct 19, 2012 2:02am EDT LONDON (Reuters) - A new generation of computer trading models is emerging as banks come under pressure to prove they are offering clients the best price on currency trades in an ever more competitive market. Whereas investors might once have picked up the phone to ask brokers or traders for a quote, they are increasingly using complex models designed by the banks, known as algorithms, or algos, to transact large orders at the best possible price. Pressure from regulators, who are keen to ensure a fair deal for investors in the $4.5 trillion dollar-a-day market, is adding impetus to the trend. "We're moving away from the old opaque world of FX trading," said Pete Eggleston, head of Quantitative Solutions at Morgan Stanley. "Regulatory change and responsibility to investors are leading us into this world of best execution and transparency. Algos are part of the solution in helping clients adjust to these changes." With a slew of new regulations coming into force on both sides of the Atlantic, the asset managers who deal with currency trading desks must ensure "best execution" for their clients and prove, rather than simply promise, they are keeping transaction costs down. Spot currency trading will be exempt from reporting requirements outlined in the Dodd-Frank Act, a regulatory overhaul of financial markets passed by the U.S. government. But James Dalton, director of FX algorithmic execution at Citi, said some asset managers were already applying those rules to their currency transactions as the trend towards transparency was likely to spread. "I am seeing for the first time when I talk to clients that questions are starting to come from the underlying investor to asset managers on how they measure transaction costs in FX," Dalton said. "A lot of the main banks already have algo execution products or are about to launch. It's a must-have in the portfolio of execution tools." Lawsuits involving U.S. custodial banks BNY Mellon and State Street have prompted investors to look more carefully at whether they are getting good prices from their banks. A report by consulting firm Greenwich Associates found a growing number of the world's largest institutional investors are analysing - and cutting down on - the costs of trading currencies. Algorithms can provide electronic records of exactly how and when a trade is transacted, allowing investors to check the price at which a bank bought or sold a currency on their behalf against the price quoted in the market. Some banks offer a time-stamp to the millisecond for each part of an order. NEXT GENERATION As this activity, known as algo execution, becomes more popular, strategists are developing increasingly sophisticated models that can detect and adapt to sudden market swings, in much the same way as a human trader would. The earliest models were inherited from equity markets, and simply broke up large orders into smaller amounts that were traded at fixed intervals, irrespective of market rallies or routs. The next step was to equip models with different strategies for different market conditions. Passive strategies helped hide the order flow, while aggressive strategies were used at times of deep liquidity to move a large order quickly. But an investor or trader still had to decide which strategy was suitable for particular market conditions, and the algo would plough on regardless of a turnaround in the market. Now the more adaptive algos, like BNP Paribas' Cortex iX, can process feedback from trading activity and decide which execution rules are best suited to market conditions, helping capture the best price for clients. "Think of second generation algos as blind and deaf ... With third generation algos we have given them the power of sight and hearing," said Asif Razaq, global head of FX algo execution at BNP Paribas. Another feature of adaptive technology is that the execution of the order appears to be random, helping avoid detection from other algos in the marketplace which are on the lookout for trading patterns that they can exploit. PROTECTING THE HERD So far it has been the larger players in the currency market, such as Citi, Credit Suisse and BNP Paribas, which have forged ahead with the costly task of building these more sophisticated execution algos. Some banks have even recruited people with doctorates in physics and mathematics from the world of academia to help construct models that will win clients and protect their currency trading profits. Investment banks tend to lump currency trading in with bond and commodities trading. Overall, these units accounted for more than half of revenues at the top 10 investment banks in the first half of 2012, according to analytics group Coalition. But the contribution that currency trading made to this overall trading revenue stream dipped to 8 percent from 9 percent in the same period a year earlier, Coalition said. Unlike the rapid-fire models used by high-frequency trading firms (HFTs) to pounce on trading opportunities, execution algos are designed to ease large orders into the market without alerting other players to the flow, thus ensuring a good price. By limiting price "slippage" - the difference between the price at which a market player wants to execute an order and the price at which they are able to do so - they are especially useful for what Aite Group analyst Javier Paz defines as "slowing-moving buy-side clients" at risk from predatory HFTs. "The banks have to tweak their own execution algorithms that they provide to slow-moving clients so they can have that invisibility cloak. It's like protecting the herd from the velociraptors," Paz said. (Editing by Nigel Stephenson, Swaha Pattanaik and Giles Elgood) Tech Tweet this Link this Share this Digg this Email Reprints   We welcome comments that advance the story through relevant opinion, anecdotes, links and data. If you see a comment that you believe is irrelevant or inappropriate, you can flag it to our editors by using the report abuse links. Views expressed in the comments do not represent those of Reuters. For more information on our comment policy, see http://blogs.reuters.com/fulldisclosure/2010/09/27/toward-a-more-thoughtful-conversation-on-stories/ Comments (0) Be the first to comment on reuters.com. Add yours using the box above.   Edition: U.S. Africa Arabic Argentina Brazil Canada China France Germany India Italy Japan Latin America Mexico Russia Spain United Kingdom Back to top Reuters.com Business Markets World Politics Technology Opinion Money Pictures Videos Site Index Legal Bankruptcy Law California Legal New York Legal Securities Law Support & Contact Support Corrections Connect with Reuters Twitter   Facebook   LinkedIn   RSS   Podcast   Newsletters   Mobile About Privacy Policy Terms of Use AdChoices Copyright Our Flagship financial information platform incorporating Reuters Insider An ultra-low latency infrastructure for electronic trading and data distribution A connected approach to governance, risk and compliance Our next generation legal research platform Our global tax workstation Thomsonreuters.com About Thomson Reuters Investor Relations Careers Contact Us   Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. Thomson Reuters journalists are subject to an Editorial Handbook which requires fair presentation and disclosure of relevant interests. NYSE and AMEX quotes delayed by at least 20 minutes. Nasdaq delayed by at least 15 minutes. For a complete list of exchanges and delays, please click here.

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