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Thursday, 15 November 2012 - German Greens seek path to power, possibly with Merkel |
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      Edition: U.S. Arabic Argentina Brazil Canada China France Germany India Italy Japan Latin America Mexico Russia Spain United Kingdom Home Business Business Home Economy Technology Media Small Business Legal Deals Earnings Social Pulse Business Video The Freeland File Aerospace & Defense Investing Simplified Markets Markets Home U.S. Markets European Markets Asian Markets Global Market Data Indices M&A Stocks Bonds Currencies Commodities Futures Funds peHUB Dividends World World Home U.S. Brazil China Euro Zone Japan Mexico Russia India Insight World Video Reuters Investigates Decoder Politics Politics Home Election 2012 Campaign Polling Supreme Court Politics Video Tech Technology Home MediaFile Science Tech Video Tech Tonic Social Pulse Opinion Opinion Home Chrystia Freeland John Lloyd Felix Salmon Jack Shafer David Rohde Nader Mousavizadeh Lucy P. 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Reuters is chronicling the first year in the life of South Sudan - and assessing the odds of whether it will flourish or fail.  Live Coverage | Slideshow  South Sudan's Chinese oil puzzle A rocky start for the world's newest nation South Sudan rebel now president takes on poverty In South Sudan, a state of dependency The wonks who sold Washington on South Sudan Full Focus Editor's Choice Our best photos from the last 24 hours.   Slideshow  Download our Wider Image iPad app Images of October Follow Reuters Facebook Twitter RSS YouTube Read Israel launches Gaza offensive, kills Hamas commander | 3:22pm EST Emails that touched off scandal described CIA director's movements 13 Nov 2012 Anti-austerity strikes sweep Europe 7:46am EST Petraeus mistress had "substantial" classified data on computer: sources | 2:16pm EST Britain condemned for "mad house" care of schizophrenia patients 13 Nov 2012 Discussed 169 Obama plans ”fiscal cliff” statement as showdown looms 114 Republicans say deal can be done on ”fiscal cliff” 90 Top Hamas commander killed in Israeli airstrike Sponsored Links German Greens seek path to power, possibly with Merkel Tweet Share this Email Print Related News U.S. stops short of recognizing Syrian opposition body 2:39pm EST France recognizes new Syria opposition Tue, Nov 13 2012 Analysis & Opinion Why it’s all about Ohio Is Obama good for black people? Related Topics World » Germany » German Chancellor Angela Merkel makes a speech during the seventh national IT-Summit in Essen November 13, 2012. Credit: Reuters/Ina Fassbender By Erik Kirschbaum BERLIN | Wed Nov 14, 2012 12:32pm EST BERLIN (Reuters) - Once a fringe left-wing movement born in the heat of 1970s radicalism, Germany's Greens party may be heading for the unthinkable - a partnership with the conservatives that would keep Angela Merkel in power. Greens leaders deny any interest in forming a coalition with the Christian Democrats, but voting patterns and shared views on a surprising number of key policies may push both sides to break a taboo and form a ruling coalition after elections next year. Having shared power with the Social Democrats (SPD) from 1998 to 2005, the Greens long ago dropped their outsider image and are keen to return to power. A coalition with the main centre-left party would seem once again to be the natural fit. But, with the SPD losing votes to the Greens and Merkel's Free Democrats (FDP) coalition partner likely to exit parliament entirely, a "black-green" coalition could suit both parties - although neither is saying so, for fear of alienating their core supporters. "The possibility of a CDU-Greens coalition has never been greater," said Gerd Langguth, a Bonn University political scientist. "It's not probable but possible. If there isn't enough for a centre-left coalition with the SPD, I'm sure the Greens will change their tune on election night and form a coalition with Merkel. They want to get back into power." At a more local level, the two parties worked together in a reasonably successful coalition in the city-state of Hamburg from 2008 to 2011. The conservative Baden-Wuerttemberg has been run by a Greens state premier for the last 18 months. The parties hold similar positions on fiscal discipline, the need for more euro zone integration and energy policy, now that the CDU has agreed to scrap nuclear power by 2022. But they fiercely disagree on social issues, such as the CDU-backed preferential tax treatment for married couples. Talk of a black-green coalition - so-called due to the CDU's black party banner - erupted this week after the Greens unexpectedly picked a moderate pragmatist, Katrin Goering-Eckardt, as one of their two lead candidates for 2013. While the issue is not on the agenda at a three-day Greens party congress in Hanover starting on Friday, it will be on everyone's mind - especially after the Greens' Fritz Kuhn upset a CDU candidate to become mayor of Stuttgart last month. "A black-green coalition at the federal level is very much a possibility in 2013," said Manfred Guellner, director of the Forsa polling institute. "They speak the same language and have similar values. It was never a likely coalition. But at the same time the odds for 'black-green' were never higher than now." READY IF MERKEL CALLS More pressing that the policy convergences is simple coalition arithmetic. Merkel's conservatives are at 39 percent, according to a Forsa poll on Wednesday but their FDP coalition partner is now at only 4 percent. If it polls less than 5 percent in September, it will win no seats in parliament and Merkel will be forced to find a new partner. The SPD, which shared power with Merkel from 2005 to 2009 as junior partner is her likely first choice again if the centre right fails to win a majority. But SPD chancellor candidate Peer Steinbrueck has ruled out serving in another "grand coalition" after the SPD suffered a steep slide in popularity last time. The SPD would like a coalition with the Greens, but with its support down at about 26 percent, that would not secure a majority, even with the Greens polling a high 14 percent. "It doesn't look like there's going to be enough support for SPD-Greens," said ex Greens leader Daniel Cohn-Bendit. "It's possible voters could force us into another option and we should be ready for that," he told Der Spiegel online. Greens leaders are reluctant to pledge fealty to the SPD - fuelling speculation they are opening themselves to the CDU. "You should never say never," said Gero Neugebauer, political scientist at Berlin's Free University. "Neither the Greens nor the CDU would admit this now. But if the Greens have a choice of opposition or 'black-green' after the polls close and the CDU makes an acceptable offer I'm sure they'll take it." (Editing by Robin Pomeroy) World Germany Tweet this Link this Share this Digg this Email Reprints   We welcome comments that advance the story through relevant opinion, anecdotes, links and data. If you see a comment that you believe is irrelevant or inappropriate, you can flag it to our editors by using the report abuse links. Views expressed in the comments do not represent those of Reuters. For more information on our comment policy, see http://blogs.reuters.com/fulldisclosure/2010/09/27/toward-a-more-thoughtful-conversation-on-stories/ Comments (0) Be the first to comment on reuters.com. Add yours using the box above.   Edition: U.S. Arabic Argentina Brazil Canada China France Germany India Italy Japan Latin America Mexico Russia Spain United Kingdom Back to top Reuters.com Business Markets World Politics Technology Opinion Money Pictures Videos Site Index Legal Bankruptcy Law California Legal New York Legal Securities Law Support & Contact Support Corrections Connect with Reuters Twitter   Facebook   LinkedIn   RSS   Podcast   Newsletters   Mobile About Privacy Policy Terms of Use AdChoices Copyright Our Flagship financial information platform incorporating Reuters Insider An ultra-low latency infrastructure for electronic trading and data distribution A connected approach to governance, risk and compliance Our next generation legal research platform Our global tax workstation Thomsonreuters.com About Thomson Reuters Investor Relations Careers Contact Us   Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. Thomson Reuters journalists are subject to an Editorial Handbook which requires fair presentation and disclosure of relevant interests. NYSE and AMEX quotes delayed by at least 20 minutes. Nasdaq delayed by at least 15 minutes. For a complete list of exchanges and delays, please click here.

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