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Leftist may win Peru vote, but runoff likely
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Leftist may win Peru vote, but runoff likely
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By Marco Aquino
LIMA (Reuters) - Peru's left-wing front-runner, Ollanta Humala, has maintained his lead over three more business-friendly rivals, a poll showed on Saturday on the eve of the presidential election.
The Ipsos poll gave nationalist...
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A woman stands outside her house near a campaign sign of presidential candidate Ollanta Humala in Huaycan, a district on the outskirts of Lima, April 9, 2011.
Credit: Reuters/Mariana Bazo
By Marco Aquino
LIMA |
Sun Apr 10, 2011 1:15am EDT
LIMA (Reuters) - Peru's left-wing front-runner, Ollanta Humala, has maintained his lead over three more business-friendly rivals, a poll showed on Saturday on the eve of the presidential election.
The Ipsos poll gave nationalist Humala 28.1 percent of the vote, followed by right-wing lawmaker Keiko Fujimori with 21.1 percent, pointing to a close runoff between them on June 5. Fujimori is the daughter of imprisoned former President Alberto Fujimori.
The poll of 6,000 people, which was carried out on Saturday, gave former Prime Minister Pedro Pablo Kuczynski 19.9 percent and former President Alejandro Toledo 16.8 percent, a source with access to the survey told Reuters. The margin of error was not available.
Fujimori, Kuczynski and Toledo are favored over Humala by the business community in one of the world's fastest-growing economies, although Humala has sought to portray himself as a moderate leftist who has moved on from his radical past.
Peru's ruling party backed Kuczynski on Saturday, a step one pollster said could boost the former Wall Street banker's chances of making it into the expected runoff.
A second round is held if no candidate gets more than 50 percent of the vote.
The APRA party of President Alan Garcia, who cannot run again, said Kuczynski had "democratic convictions" that would guarantee the continuation of current government policy.
"Our support is unconditional and we haven't even spoken with (Kuczynski). We've done this with the country's interests in mind," Jorge del Castillo, an APRA figure, told Reuters.
ECONOMY BOOMING
Peru is enjoying a decade-long economic boom and much of the campaign has focused on who can guarantee continued growth, while also spreading the benefits to the one in three Peruvians who still lives in poverty.
Despite the strong economic growth seen during his presidency, Garcia has a disapproval rating of about 60 percent and the party is not running its own candidate.
Some political analysts say APRA's support could help swing the tight race, although others point to its weakened influence in recent years.
"The backing of APRA could mean about 3 percentage points," said Manuel Saavedra of the CPI pollsters. "APRA's support is very important. It wasn't for that, it would look tricky for (Kuczynski) to get to the second round."
Kuczynski, 72, known as "El Gringo" because of his European parents, is backed strongly by wealthy voters in the capital, Lima. But he could struggle to gain traction farther afield.
Most recent polls have shown him gaining ground. The previous Ipsos poll, published on Thursday, gave him 18.4 percent.
Humala has surged in the race by shedding his hard-line image and recasting himself as a soft leftist in the mold of Brazil's popular former president, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva.
(Additional reporting by Teresa Cespedes; Writing by Helen Popper; Editing by Peter Cooney)
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