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Humala seen facing Fujimori in Peru run-off
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Humala seen facing Fujimori in Peru run-off
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LIMA (Reuters) - Leftist presidential candidate Ollanta Humala is forecast to get just under 30 percent of the vote in Peru's election on Sunday and face lawmaker Keiko Fujimori in a run-off, sources with access to two different polls said on...
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Peru's presidential candidate Ollanta Humala rides a bicycle during a rally in the southern city of Arequipa, April 7, 2011.
Credit: Reuters/Pilar Olivares
LIMA |
Thu Apr 7, 2011 3:47pm EDT
LIMA (Reuters) - Leftist presidential candidate Ollanta Humala is forecast to get just under 30 percent of the vote in Peru's election on Sunday and face lawmaker Keiko Fujimori in a run-off, sources with access to two different polls said on Thursday.
Both candidates are polarizing figures and have the worst disapproval ratings in the race, of about 50 percent, but are expected to make it to the second round in one of the world's fastest-growing economies. A moderate majority is splintered between three other candidates: former President Alejandro Toledo, former Prime Minister Pedro Pablo Kuczynski and former Lima Mayor Luis Castaneda.
Though Humala has sought to recast himself as a soft-left leader like Brazil's previous president, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, many voters regard him as a hard-liner with an authoritarian streak he developed while an army colonel.
They fear he might roll back years of reforms that have turned Peru into one of the world's fastest-growing countries but left behind a third of the population living in poverty.
Critics of Fujimori, a right-wing populist, worry she would show little respect for human rights. Her father, former President Alberto Fujimori, is in jail for corruption and human rights crimes stemming from his 1990-2000 rule, when he cracked down on leftist insurgencies and halted hyperinflation. The elder Fujimori also once shut down Congress, a move that compromised Peru's democracy.
"It would truly be a catastrophe for Peru," Mario Vargas Llosa, a novelist and Nobel Prize winner, told CNN about a potential Humala-Fujimori run-off on June 5.
Vargas Llosa said he would vote for Toledo, the architect of Peru's free-trade pact with the United States who once led the race but has since stumbled in polls.
Toledo warned voters that neither of his rivals would be good for democracy.
"Democracy could be at risk," he told supporters.
An Ipsos poll showed Humala with 28 percent, while Fujimori had 21.4 percent of the vote. It showed that Toledo had 18.2 percent and Kuczynski 18.4 percent, one source said.
A second source confirmed Fujimori was favored in the Ipsos poll to face Humala in a run-off vote scheduled for June 5.
A poll by survey firm CPI gave Humala 29 percent of the vote, followed by Fujimori at 21.5 percent, a third source with details of the CPI poll said. Kuczynski was 19.3 percent and Toledo at 15 percent, that source said.
Humala also leads polls by Datum and Catholic University. Those polls have a margin of error of between 2.2 and 2.8 percent. The exact dates and margin of error of the latest Ipsos poll were not immediately known.
(Reporting by Teresa Cespedes and Ursula Scollo; Editing by Bill Trott)
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