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Tuesday, 19 June 2012 - Saudi succession in spotlight after new heir named |
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See the best of Reuters photography.  See more  The Afghan front On the frontlines of the war in Afghhanistan.  Slideshow  The Presidential diet President Obama eating things.  Slideshow  Saudi succession in spotlight after new heir named Tweet Share this Email Print Related News Oil falls on euro zone worry, fading stimulus hope Mon, Jun 18 2012 Prince Salman named Saudi heir at time of turmoil Mon, Jun 18 2012 Saudi appoints Prince Salman crown prince: state TV Mon, Jun 18 2012 Saudi security pressing issue after prince's death Mon, Jun 18 2012 Saudi king seeks successor as crown prince buried Sun, Jun 17 2012 Analysis & Opinion OPEC starting to look like a cartel of one German police raid scores of radical Islamists’ homes, ban Salafi group Related Topics World » By Angus McDowall RIYADH | Tue Jun 19, 2012 12:28pm EDT RIYADH (Reuters) - By appointing Prince Ahmed as Saudi Arabia's new interior minister, 89-year-old King Abdullah has indicated the likely path of succession in the world's top oil exporter after Crown Prince Salman, his new heir. At issue is whether the line of succession will continue along a diminishing line of brothers born to the kingdom's founder or move down a generation at a time of unprecedented upheaval in the Middle East. Saudi commentators say the decision to appoint Prince Ahmed, a brother of King Abdullah, the late crown prince Nayef and Salman, as interior minister makes him the most likely candidate to rule Saudi Arabia after Abdullah and Salman. "I think Prince Ahmed is the choice for continuation in the same direction," said Hossein Shobokshi, a columnist in the Red Sea city of Jeddah. "After him it will be up to the family who to choose next, whether it will be a generational change or continuity with the same generation," he added. A key U.S. ally, Saudi Arabia is attempting a series of cautious reforms aimed at reconciling its conservative traditions and the demands of a powerful Islamic clergy with the needs of a modern economy scarred by high youth unemployment. It is also navigating the aftermath of Arab uprisings that toppled local allies and destabilized neighboring Yemen and Bahrain against the backdrop of an overarching rivalry with non-Arab and Shi'ite Muslim Iran. However, Prince Ahmed, a long-time deputy interior minister born in 1941, has nothing like the public profile or executive experience enjoyed by Salman and several other prominent princes, meaning his eventual elevation to top office is far from automatic. "One cannot predict anything. This transition from the old guard must be done in a really mature manner. But on paper, someone who is given an important position like interior minister means he's moved up the ladder," said Khaled Almaeena, editor-in-chief of the English-language Saudi Gazette. Salman had long held one of the most prominent roles in the world's top oil exporter, acquiring executive experience as Riyadh governor while adjudicating royal disputes and working with businessmen, clerics, tribal chiefs and foreign diplomats. "It came to fulfill an expectation that goes back at least three decades. He has been well prepared for this post," said Asaad al-Shamlan, a political science professor in Riyadh. COMPLEX SUCCESSION King Abdullah and Crown Prince Salman were on Tuesday pictured on state television accepting the condolences of national leaders and foreign officials for the death of Crown Prince Nayef on Saturday. Although Abdullah has seemed in good health in television appearances, his heir is likely to swiftly assume substantial day-to-day responsibilities. It will ultimately be Salman who decides where the line of succession will move next. Under Saudi law, it is up to a new king to appoint his heir, a decision which in successions after Abdullah's death should be ratified by the Allegiance Council of the ruling family. However, it is difficult to by-pass a candidate who has both family seniority and decades of government experience. The only other brother of Abdullah, Salman and Ahmed seen as a likely candidate is Prince Muqrin, who is close to the current king and heads Saudi intelligence. However, the fact that his mother traces her roots to Yemen rather than the central Nejd area of Saudi Arabia is thought to count against Muqrin's position in the succession, meaning one of his nephews might be better placed. "Prince Ahmed is already younger than some of his nephews so we will have a generational change anyway," said a prominent Saudi who asked to remain anonymous. "Salman is really the last of the generation of Saudi leaders who were born before the Second World War and did not have a foreign education." Prince Khaled al-Faisal, who as governor of Mecca Province runs the kingdom's most populous region that is home to Islam's holiest sites, might attract the support of Saudi liberals. His younger cousin Prince Mohammed bin Nayef, son of the late crown prince, has won extensive praise for running the kingdom's operations against al Qaeda as a deputy interior minister. A 2009 U.S. diplomatic assessment released by WikiLeaks described Prince Mohammed as the effective head of the interior ministry ahead of his father Prince Nayef and uncle Prince Ahmed. (Reporting By Angus McDowall; Editing by Sami Aboudi and Andrew Osborn) World Tweet this Link this Share this Digg this Email Reprints   We welcome comments that advance the story through relevant opinion, anecdotes, links and data. If you see a comment that you believe is irrelevant or inappropriate, you can flag it to our editors by using the report abuse links. Views expressed in the comments do not represent those of Reuters. For more information on our comment policy, see http://blogs.reuters.com/fulldisclosure/2010/09/27/toward-a-more-thoughtful-conversation-on-stories/ Comments (0) Be the first to comment on reuters.com. Add yours using the box above.   Edition: U.S. Africa Arabic Argentina Brazil Canada China France Germany India Italy Japan Latin America Mexico Russia Spain United Kingdom Back to top Reuters.com Business Markets World Politics Technology Opinion Money Pictures Videos Site Index Legal Bankruptcy Law California Legal New York Legal Securities Law Support & Contact Support Corrections Connect with Reuters Twitter   Facebook   LinkedIn   RSS   Podcast   Newsletters   Mobile About Privacy Policy Terms of Use AdChoices Copyright Our Flagship financial information platform incorporating Reuters Insider An ultra-low latency infrastructure for electronic trading and data distribution A connected approach to governance, risk and compliance Our next generation legal research platform Our global tax workstation Thomsonreuters.com About Thomson Reuters Investor Relations Careers Contact Us   Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. 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