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Edition: U.S. Article Comments (0) Save Email Print Reprints Most Popular Most Shared U.S. waits Japan nod on F-35 security pact 09 Sep 2010 Florida pastor cancels Koran-burning plan | Video 09 Sep 2010 U.S. judge rules ban on gays in military unconstitutional 09 Sep 2010 Host company pulls plug on Florida pastor's website 09 Sep 2010 Former singer with boy band LFO dies of leukemia 08 Sep 2010 U.S. Marines seize ship from pirates in the Gulf of Aden 09 Sep 2010 UPDATE 2-China's imports leap, cutting trade surplus 12:17am EDT B vitamins found to halve brain shrinkage in old 08 Sep 2010 UPDATE 1-Australia blocks Virgin Blue-Air NZ tie-up 09 Sep 2010 Fidel Castro says Cuban model no longer works 08 Sep 2010 Strange and unusual 09 Sep 2010 U.S. judge rules ban on gays in military unconstitutional 09 Sep 2010 Florida pastor cancels Koran-burning plan | Video 09 Sep 2010 Florida pastor cancels Koran-burning plan | Video 2:55am EDT B vitamins found to halve brain shrinkage in old 08 Sep 2010 Month of Ramadan 09 Sep 2010 Analysis: High stocks, economic gloom to temper food inflation 09 Sep 2010 Host company pulls plug on Florida pastor's website 09 Sep 2010 Fidel Castro says Cuban model no longer works 08 Sep 2010 Apple eases app restrictions, Adobe shares jump 09 Sep 2010 NYSE and AMEX quotes delayed by at least 20 minutes. NASDAQ delayed by at least 15 minutes. For a complete list of exchanges and delays, please click here. Japan PM has edge in party race, outcome unclear Tweet This Share on LinkedIn Share on Facebook Related News Japan's Ozawa says may need to issue more debt Wed, Sep 8 2010 UPDATE 1-Japan PM candidate Ozawa: may need more debt issue Wed, Sep 8 2010 SCENARIOS-Close Japan leadership race clouds policy outlook Wed, Sep 8 2010 Japan PM ahead in party race, margin small: aide Tue, Sep 7 2010 UPDATE 2-Japan PM ahead in party race, margin small-aide Tue, Sep 7 2010 Analysis & Opinion Japan PM under fire — from his wife Related Topics World » Japan » Japan's Prime Minister Naoto Kan walks past a staircase at his official residence in Tokyo August 30, 2010. Credit: Reuters/Yuriko Nakao By Linda Sieg TOKYO | Fri Sep 10, 2010 3:06am EDT TOKYO (Reuters) - Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan has a slight edge over powerbroker Ichiro Ozawa ahead of a party leadership vote next week, NHK public TV said on Friday, but with many party lawmakers undecided the outcome is too close to call. Whoever wins the September 14 vote faces the mammoth task of trying to keep a deeply split Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) from unraveling while struggling with a strong yen, a fragile economic recovery, huge public debt and a divided parliament that threatens more policy deadlock. Markets are bracing for a shift toward a more stimulative fiscal policy if Ozawa wins the September 14 vote. But whether the 68-year-old political strategist, his future clouded by a funding scandal, could survive an opposition attack is unclear. "Strong arm policies may be welcomed by the markets short-term but in the longer term the preservation of the old economic and political set-up may only serve to strengthen the sense of hopelessness," said Masamichi Adachi, a senior economist at JP Morgan Securities Japan. NHK said Kan, who took office just three months ago as Japan's fifth premier in three years, was neck and neck with Ozawa among the DPJ's 411 members of parliament with about 50 still undecided. The prime minister was leading among local lawmakers and party rank-and-file, whose votes carry less weight. The winner is expected to become prime minister by virtue of the DPJ's majority in parliament's powerful lower house, the legacy of a huge election victory that swept the party to power for the first time last year. Kan has vowed to cap new bond issuance for the fiscal year from next April at this year's level of around 44 trillion yen ($524.7 billion) to rein in public debt, already about twice the size of the $5 trillion economy. ECONOMIC DATA COLD COMFORT Ozawa, once a protege of Kakuei Tanaka -- a former premier and the architect of Japan's political regime of pork-barrel and party factions -- has said he would consider issuing new debt to fund stimulus steps if the economy worsens. A win by Ozawa would likely give a short-term boost to stocks while weakening Japanese government bonds and the yen, a Reuters poll showed on Friday. Many market participants fear that Ozawa's old-style policies could leave Japan no better off once any initial boost wears off. More than two-thirds of respondents said Ozawa would be neutral or negative for the economy over the long haul, while roughly half of all respondents said Kan keeping his job would be neutral for stocks, bonds and the yen. Revised data showed Japan's economic growth slipped in April-June to 0.4 percent, a third of the pace seen in January-March, as economic recovery lost momentum. The revision was upward, but was cold comfort for a government grappling with deflation and a yen that hit a 15-year high this week against the dollar despite easier monetary policy and threats of currency intervention by policymakers. The yen's rise has heightened concerns among lawmakers that its strength will hit exports and undermine the economic recovery further at a time when world growth is cooling too. Kan's government, eager to look proactive on the economy, unveiled a package of measures on Friday, but analysts doubted it would have much impact. The Democrats swept to power for the first time last year, promising to change the way the country is governed after more than 50 years of dominance by the conservative Liberal Democratic Party. But the Democrats have since floundered, suffering a thrashing in a July upper house election. Even if Kan wins the party vote, a robust showing by Ozawa would cloud the outlook for efforts to rein in debt while engineering growth despite Japan's aging, shrinking population. "How to handle the Ozawa camp would be the first challenge for Kan after the election," said Sophia University professor Koichi Nakano, suggesting that some Ozawa backers could get cabinet posts in an attempt to keep the party together. An Ozawa victory would also leave big unanswered questions. Admirers say his political skills would help win opposition backing to get bills through parliament, but his scandal-tainted image could make rival parties wary of joining hands. A judicial panel of ordinary citizens is expected to decide in October whether Ozawa must face indictment over a funding scandal in which three of his aides have already been charged. "The opposition would harshly attack Ozawa over 'money and politics'," Koichi Kato, a former LDP executive, told Reuters. "Parliament would grind to a halt." Nor, Kato said, would many LDP lawmakers respond to overtures from Ozawa to create a new party if he bolted the DPJ in the wake of a defeat. "Ozawa doesn't have many fans in the LDP," he said. ($1=83.86 Yen) (Additional reporting by Yoko Nishikawa and Yoshiyasu Shida, editing by Jonathan Thatcher) World Japan Add a Comment *We welcome comments that advance the story directly or with relevant tangential information. We try to block comments that use offensive language or appear to be spam and review comments frequently to ensure they meet our standards. If you see a comment that you believe is irrelevant or inappropriate, you can flag it to our editors by using the report abuse links. Views expressed in the comments do not represent those of Reuters. © Copyright 2010 Thomson Reuters Editorial Editions: Africa Arabic Argentina Brazil Canada China France Germany India Italy Japan Latin America Mexico Russia Spain United Kingdom United States Reuters Contact Us Advertise With Us Help Journalism Handbook Archive Site Index Video Index Reader Feedback Mobile Newsletters RSS Podcasts Widgets Your View Analyst Research Thomson Reuters Copyright Disclaimer Privacy Professional Products Professional Products Support Financial Products About Thomson Reuters Careers Online Products Acquisitions Monthly Buyouts Venture Capital Journal International Financing Review Project Finance International PEhub.com PE Week FindLaw Reuters on Facebook Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. Thomson Reuters journalists are subject to an Editorial Handbook which requires fair presentation and disclosure of relevant interests. NYSE and AMEX quotes delayed by at least 20 minutes. Nasdaq delayed by at least 15 minutes. For a complete list of exchanges and delays, please click here.

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