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Saturday, 2 July 2011 - Thailand enters calm before election storm |
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    Edition: U.S. Article Comments (0) Video Full Focus Photos of the week Our top photos from the past week.  Full Article  Follow Reuters Facebook Twitter RSS YouTube Read Dealtalk: Google bid "pi" for Nortel patents and lost 01 Jul 2011 Venezuela gov't, army insist Chavez still in charge | 01 Jul 2011 Nearsightedness linked to serious eye disease 30 Jun 2011 Florida state workers get pink slips, more cuts ahead 01 Jul 2011 Analysis: Geithner may want to go; will Obama let him? 01 Jul 2011 Discussed 94 White House snubs McConnell invitation to Obama 81 U.S. cost of war at least $3.7 trillion and counting 69 Bachmann facing scrutiny as top-tier candidate Watched Hefner's revenge; Ryan Reynolds stops traffic Fri, Jun 17 2011 A Tokyo-Paris flight in under three hours on the horizon Fri, Jun 24 2011 Monaco's Prince Albert marries Fri, Jul 1 2011 Thailand enters calm before election storm Tweet Share this Email Print Factboxes Main parties contesting Thailand's election Fri, Jul 1 2011 How Thailand's election works Fri, Jul 1 2011 Election promises of Thailand's two main parties Fri, Jul 1 2011 Related News Scenarios: Trouble in store for Thailand after the election? Fri, Jul 1 2011 Thaksin's sister shakes up Thai election 12:47am EDT Analysis & Opinion Hizb ut-Tahrir urges Pakistanis to take to the streets for Islamic rule MQM’s pullout – Is it too late to have an impact ? Related Topics World » Thailand » Related Video Thais set to choose next government Thu, Jun 30 2011 Preps ahead of Thai election A woman prays in front of a picture of ousted Thai premier Thaksin Shinawatra during a religious ceremony at a temple in the village of Suan Mon near Udon Thani in northeastern Thailand June 25, 2011. Credit: Reuters/Damir Sagolj By Nick Macfie BANGKOK | Sat Jul 2, 2011 1:12am EDT BANGKOK (Reuters) - Political campaigning in Thailand drew to a close on Saturday, taking a day to cool off before an election which could exacerbate the country's six-year-old political crisis just as easily as end it. Opinion polls point to a win by the opposition Puea Thai (For Thais) party led by Yingluck Shinawatra, sister of ousted premier Thaksin Shinawatra, over the Democrat Party of Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva. The risk of turbulence lies in the margin of a Puea Thai win and the reaction of its red shirt supporters, mostly rural and urban poor whose protests last year prompted a bloody crackdown. Key as well will be the response of the military, which has a history of intervening in Thai politics. "It's almost certain the Puea Thai will win, the question is by how much," said Pavin Chachavalpongpun, a fellow at the Institute of Southeast Asian Studies in Singapore. If they win by a landslide, it would be a "slap in the face" of the Democrats, but would likely rile the military which has a record of launching coups when riled, he said. There also is the possibility that the Puea Thai party has reached a deal with the military -- allowing them to rule in return for not pursuing the generals responsible for last year's violence, which killed 91 people, mostly red shirts. If the margin of the win is small, Puea Thai would have to garner the support of smaller parties. Their backing could be contingent on Thaksin serving jail time for corruption as part of any plan to bring him back from self-exile in Dubai. There is also the possibility of the Democrats teaming up with smaller parties to get the necessary majority, an outcome sure to bring the red shirts back out on to the streets. At a stadium packed with about 20,000 people, many under umbrellas in driving rain, Yingluck on Friday called for reconciliation and promised an investigation of last year's violence. "If only you give this woman a chance to serve you," she said. Abhisit warned about 15,000 voters not to believe her. "They say they will move Thailand forward, but I don't believe they will do so on your behalf," he said, before assuring supporters he would heal rifts in Thai society. Amnesty International called on whoever wins to end repression, unlawful use of lethal force and intimidation of peaceful dissidents. "More than a year on, no security forces have been held to account for the deaths on Bangkok's streets," it said. "Security forces must strictly adhere to international standards in response to any demonstrations, while protesters themselves should not resort to violence." Election days in Thailand are traditionally dry affairs, with alcohol sales banned from 6 pm on Saturday to midnight on Sunday and the go-go bars closed. A spoof Web site called "Not the Nation" wondered how the city's foreigners would cope, and whether Thai police were bracing for a weekend of violence from "angry, sober alcoholic expatriates." (Editing by Brian Rhoads) World Thailand Tweet this Link this Share this Digg this Email Reprints   We welcome comments that advance the story through relevant opinion, anecdotes, links and data. If you see a comment that you believe is irrelevant or inappropriate, you can flag it to our editors by using the report abuse links. Views expressed in the comments do not represent those of Reuters. For more information on our comment policy, see http://blogs.reuters.com/fulldisclosure/2010/09/27/toward-a-more-thoughtful-conversation-on-stories/ Comments (0) Be the first to comment on reuters.com. Add yours using the box above. Social Stream (What's this?) © Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters Editorial Editions: Africa Arabic Argentina Brazil Canada China France Germany India Italy Japan Latin America Mexico Russia Spain United Kingdom United States Reuters Contact Us Advertise With Us Help Journalism Handbook Archive Site Index Video Index Reader Feedback   Mobile Newsletters RSS Podcasts Widgets Your View Analyst Research Thomson Reuters Copyright Disclaimer Privacy Professional Products Professional Products Support Financial Products About Thomson Reuters Careers Online Products Acquisitions Monthly Buyouts Venture Capital Journal International Financing Review Project Finance International PEhub.com PE Week FindLaw Super Lawyers Attorney Rating Service Reuters on Facebook Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. Thomson Reuters journalists are subject to an Editorial Handbook which requires fair presentation and disclosure of relevant interests. NYSE and AMEX quotes delayed by at least 20 minutes. Nasdaq delayed by at least 15 minutes. For a complete list of exchanges and delays, please click here.

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