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Wednesday, 21 December 2011 - Analysis: AT&T may eye Dish or Clearwire deals next |
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      Edition: U.S. Africa Arabic Argentina Brazil Canada China France Germany India Italy Japan Latin America Mexico Russia Spain United Kingdom Home Business Business Home Economy Davos 2012 Technology Media Small Business Legal Deals Earnings Summits Business Video Markets Markets Home U.S. Markets European Markets Asian Markets Global Market Data Indices M&A Stocks Bonds Currencies Commodities Futures Funds peHUB World World Home U.S. Brazil China Euro Zone Japan Mexico Russia India Insight World Video Politics Politics Home Election 2012 Issues 2012 Candidates 2012 Tales from the Trail Political Punchlines Supreme Court Politics Video Tech Technology Home MediaFile Science Tech Video Opinion Opinion Home Chrystia Freeland John Lloyd Felix Salmon Jack Shafer David Rohde Bernd Debusmann Gregg Easterbrook Nader Mousavizadeh James Saft Lucy P. 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Tech wrap: AT&T, T-Mobile pull plug on mega-merger Related Topics Tech » Deals » Global Deals Review: 2011 Q3 » Global Deals Review: 2011 Q2 » Global Deals Review » Inflows Outflows » Media » Reflections are seen in the window of an AT&T store in New York March 21, 2011. Credit: Reuters/Brendan McDermid By Sinead Carew NEW YORK | Tue Dec 20, 2011 6:04pm EST NEW YORK (Reuters) - AT&T Inc may look to Dish Network Corp or Clearwire Corp for its next deal as it recovers from its failure to buy T-Mobile USA. AT&T said its $39 billion proposal to buy T-Mobile USA was motivated solely by its spectrum shortage, so the No. 2 U.S. mobile service now needs to look for another acquisition to bolster its wireless airwaves holdings. AT&T is already seeking regulatory approval for its deal to buy a small amount of spectrum from wireless chip maker Qualcomm Inc. Dish and Clearwire are seen as the most likely places AT&T will look for new spectrum because Dish is poised to buy a massive chunk of airwaves and Clearwire needs funding and it has large amounts of spectrum it is not using today. "Clearwire and DISH are likely to be seen as the main beneficiaries given their strong existing and prospective spectrum holdings," said UBS analyst John Hodulik. Since satellite television provider Dish does not have a wireless network, it is seen as a key candidate for a partnership with an established mobile operator. Its shares went up 9 percent on Tuesday, the day after AT&T gave up on its bid to buy T-Mobile USA, as investors speculated on a Dish-AT&T deal. Dish is still looking for regulatory approval for a license to use wireless airwaves it agreed to buy this summer. But once it gains approval as many analysts expect, it could be in a strong position to sell the wireless assets or even the entire company to AT&T, which also offers video services. "AT&T is the most motivated buyer," said Roe Equity Research analyst Kevin Roe who noted bigger rival Verizon Wireless is already tied up with its proposed purchase of spectrum for cable operators, including Comcast Corp. Another analyst, Christopher King of Stifel Nicolaus, said Dish is AT&T's best choice for a deal. "It's either Dish or waiting for the next spectrum auction," said King who expects AT&T to reach an agreement with Dish chairman Charlie Ergen to buy all of Dish Because Dish has no wireless customers and AT&T is not a national television provider, King expects U.S. regulators to look much more kindly on an AT&T purchase of Dish than its failed T-Mobile USA deal. "We'd expect very minor conditions to be put on an AT&T deal with Dish," King said. Dish's market value is $12.3 billion based on its share price on Tuesday. But AT&T may have a tough time getting Ergen, a notoriously tough deal maker, to agree to a deal. Todd Mitchell, an analyst for Brean Murray, Carret & Co said he does not think "Charlie is willing to sell for anything close to what AT&T can pay." There is also a chance Dish decides to partner with another company. Dish Chief Executive Joe Clayton told Reuters earlier this month it could consider a partnership with T-Mobile USA if the AT&T deal failed. If AT&T cannot do a deal with Dish, its next best option may be a spectrum purchase or a wholesale deal with Clearwire, which previously said it could sell spectrum as part of its efforts to raise funding. "That would be a natural place for AT&T to tap additional capacity," Roe said. BTIG analyst Walter Piecyk said it would make more sense for AT&T to buy spectrum rather than do a wholesale agreement where it would have less control as it would have to pay to rent space on Clearwire's network. "They'd prefer to own assets," said Piecyk, who also cited a Dish deal as a potential source of airwaves for AT&T. However, several analysts noted that AT&T will likely face a lot of competition in any spectrum deal it pursues, especially now that T-Mobile USA also has a spectrum shortage. Since AT&T is paying T-Mobile USA a record break-up fee that is costing it $4 billion, including $1 billion worth of spectrum, this could strengthen T-Mobile USA's position in any deal. "Now AT&T not only will have to look for spectrum when it is more scarce, they will have to bid against T-Mobile, which they just funded with an extra $3 billion of cash," said Piecyk. Roe noted AT&T might potentially be able to snag a network sharing agreement with T-Mobile USA. But he said T-Mobile USA would not need to choose AT&T as its partner if it decides to go in this direction. AT&T declined comment for the story and Clearwire was not available for comment. (Reporting By Sinead Carew; additional reporting by Yinka Adegoke and Nicola Leske; editing by Andre Grenon) Tech Deals Global Deals Review: 2011 Q3 Global Deals Review: 2011 Q2 Global Deals Review Inflows Outflows Media Related Quotes and News Company Price Related News Tweet this Link this Share this Digg this Email Reprints   We welcome comments that advance the story through relevant opinion, anecdotes, links and data. If you see a comment that you believe is irrelevant or inappropriate, you can flag it to our editors by using the report abuse links. Views expressed in the comments do not represent those of Reuters. For more information on our comment policy, see http://blogs.reuters.com/fulldisclosure/2010/09/27/toward-a-more-thoughtful-conversation-on-stories/ Comments (0) Be the first to comment on reuters.com. Add yours using the box above.   Edition: U.S. Africa Arabic Argentina Brazil Canada China France Germany India Italy Japan Latin America Mexico Russia Spain United Kingdom Back to top Reuters.com Business Markets World Politics Technology Opinion Money Pictures Videos Site Index Legal Bankruptcy Law California Legal New York Legal Securities Law Support & Contact Support Corrections Advertise With Us Connect with Reuters Twitter   Facebook   LinkedIn   RSS   Podcast   Newsletters   Mobile About Privacy Policy Terms of Use Our Flagship financial information platform incorporating Reuters Insider An ultra-low latency infrastructure for electronic trading and data distribution A connected approach to governance, risk and compliance Our next generation legal research platform Our global tax workstation Thomsonreuters.com About Thomson Reuters Investor Relations Careers Contact Us   Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. Thomson Reuters journalists are subject to an Editorial Handbook which requires fair presentation and disclosure of relevant interests. NYSE and AMEX quotes delayed by at least 20 minutes. Nasdaq delayed by at least 15 minutes. For a complete list of exchanges and delays, please click here.

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