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Friday, 14 August 2009 - US retail sales' surprise dip clouds recovery
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    Read more with google mobile : US retail sales' surprise dip clouds recovery

    Yahoo! My Yahoo! Mail Yahoo! Search Search: Sign InNew User? Sign Up News Home - Help Navigation Primary Navigation Home Singapore Asia Pacific World Business Entertainment Sports Technology Top Stories Most Popular Secondary Navigation Search Search: US retail sales' surprise dip clouds recovery AFP - Friday, August 14 WASHINGTON (AFP) - - US retail sales unexpectedly dipped 0.1 percent in July, government data showed Thursday in a report highlighting weakness in consumer demand that is crucial for recovery from recession. ADVERTISEMENT The Commerce Department's headline figure surprised most analysts who had expected a monthly sales increase of 0.7 percent in July after two months in a row of gains, and dented those looking for "green shoots" of recovery. "This is awful -- a reality check for the green shooters," said Ian Shepherdson of High Frequency Economics. A separate report of an unexpected rise in weekly new unemployment insurance claims, however, revealed continued signs of stabilization in the ailing labor market that may eventually get wary consumers to pry open their wallets again. The retail sales report came a day after the Federal Reserve left its key interest rate unchanged at a historically low zero to 0.25 percent, as expected, and said although the recession-mired economy was showing signs of improvement "activity is likely to remain weak for a time." The monthly retail sales data signal the direction of consumer spending, which accounts for roughly two-thirds of output in the world's largest economy. After slumping in the second half of 2008, the seasonally adjusted monthly retail sales data, which do not reflect price changes, has shown only four months of rising sales since the start of the year. The Commerce Department revised upward the increase in June sales to 0.8 percent from an estimated 0.6 percent. July sales were 8.3 percent below their year-ago level. "The pace of sales declines have stabilized on a year-over-year basis. But we need much more than that to turn the corner on recession," said Robert Brusca of FAO Economics. Motor vehicles and parts sales were the strongest gainers, up 2.4 percent, benefiting from the government's "cash-for-clunkers" incentives program. The retail figures were "consistent with continued weakness in consumer spending outside of auto clunker sales," said Scott Hoyt at Moody's Economy.com. Excluding automobile sales, which can vary widely from month to month, retail sales fell 0.6 percent in July, steeper than the consensus forecast of a 0.1 percent drop and following a 0.5 percent gain in June. In a grim sign of weakening consumer demand that could restrain economic recovery, core retail sales -- excluding automobiles and gasoline, whose price is often volatile -- fell for the fifth consecutive month, by 0.4 percent, after a 0.1 decline in June. "The big story is the core ... the trend is still clearly downwards," Shepherdson said. Only five of the sales index's 13 components rose in July. Apart from the surge in vehicle sales, the strongest gain was a 0.7 percent rise in health and personal care store sales. The sharpest sales declines, 2.1 percent, were in building material and garden equipment stores and gasoline stations. The retail sales report came as discount king Wal-Mart, the world's largest retailer, reported second-quarter earnings that topped its own guidance and economists' forecasts. Economists warn that US consumer spending is under pressure as households saving rates increase amid the painful recession that began in December 2007 and high unemployment rates that could last at least into next year. US consumer spending nose-dived in the second half of 2008, when the global financial crisis accelerated and pulled the world economy into a deep slump. Consumers cautiously opened their wallets in the first quarter, pushing spending up at an annualized rate of 0.5 percent, but spending tumbled 1.2 percent in the April-June period despite a massive government stimulus program, according to official data. Email Story IM Story Printable View Blog This Sign in to recommend this article » 0 users recommend Enlarge Photo A shopper carries Saks Fifth Avenue bags up Fifth Avenue in New York City. US retail sales unexpectedly dipped 0.1 percent in July, government data showed Thursday in a report highlighting weakness in consumer demand that is crucial for recovery from recession. Most Popular – Top Stories Viewed Burglars steal $15m from Saudi princess Rare flowering of Chinese tree in Belgium Sweden's Princess Madeleine to marry: palace Perseid meteor showers heading your way Paradise is being in love -- or having a beer View Complete List » Search: Home Singapore Asia Pacific World Business Entertainment Sports Technology Top Stories Most Popular Copyright © 2009 Yahoo! Southeast Asia Pte Ltd. (Co. Reg. No. 199700735D). All Rights Reserved. Privacy Policy - Terms of Service - Community - Intellectual Property Rights Policy - Help

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