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Friday, 13 April 2012 - Nuclear talks aim to ease fears of Iran war |
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      Edition: U.S. Africa Arabic Argentina Brazil Canada China France Germany India Italy Japan Latin America Mexico Russia Spain United Kingdom Home Business Business Home Economy Technology Media Small Business Legal Deals Earnings Social Pulse Business Video The Freeland File Markets Markets Home U.S. Markets European Markets Asian Markets Global Market Data Indices M&A Stocks Bonds Currencies Commodities Futures Funds peHUB World World Home U.S. Brazil China Euro Zone Japan Mexico Russia India Insight World Video Reuters Investigates Decoder Politics Politics Home Election 2012 Issues 2012 Candidates 2012 Tales from the Trail Political Punchlines Supreme Court Politics Video Tech Technology Home MediaFile Science Tech Video Tech Tonic Social Pulse Opinion Opinion Home Chrystia Freeland John Lloyd Felix Salmon Jack Shafer David Rohde Bernd Debusmann Nader Mousavizadeh Lucy P. 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See the best of Reuters photography.  See more  Inside North Korea Rare scenes from within the reclusive state.  Slideshow  Refugee art Drawings on the canvas of tents in Syrian refugee camps on the Turkish-Syrian border.  Slideshow  Nuclear talks aim to ease fears of Iran war Tweet Share this Email Print Related News Ahmadinejad on eve of talks: Iran will not surrender atomic rights 7:44am EDT Analysis & Opinion Let’s kick Syria out of the United Nations Euro zone powerless to avoid big oil divide Related Topics World » Iranian workers stand in front of the Bushehr nuclear power plant, about 1,200 km (746 miles) south of Tehran October 26, 2010. Credit: Reuters/Mehr News Agency/Majid Asgaripour By Fredrik Dahl and Justyna Pawlak ISTANBUL | Thu Apr 12, 2012 12:50pm EDT ISTANBUL (Reuters) - Major powers will hold their first talks with Iran this week in more than a year, hoping Tehran will give enough ground on its nuclear program to extend negotiations and avert the threat of a Middle East war. Israel has hinted at military action against Iran, arguing time is running out to stop it developing atomic arms; Iran says it could retaliate by closing a major oil shipping thoroughfare, aware that would push up crude prices and hit the world economy. The six powers - the United States, France, Germany, China, Russia and Britain - will not lay out demands when the talks open in Istanbul on Saturday, a Western diplomat said, but will be looking for signs Iran is ready to make concessions. "The onus is on them in this first meeting to demonstrate that they are serious about a negotiation over their nuclear program. If they are, we will get into detail on what that would look like," the diplomat added. Iran - which will be represented by its chief nuclear negotiator Saeed Jalili - says it will put forward "new initiatives" in Istanbul but has given no details. Tehran says its nuclear program is purely peaceful. The West hopes that tough sanctions on Iran's oil exports will persuade Tehran to take meaningful steps - possibly on ending higher levels of uranium enrichment. But they will be wary of any Iranian attempt to buy time with "talks about talks" on resolving the decade-long dispute. The discussions will be "a gauge as to whether Iran is indeed serious about dealing" with international concerns, a Western envoy said, adding that Tehran's track record did not "augur well". The last time Iran and the powers - led by European Union foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton - sat down together in early 2011, they could not even agree an agenda. "The clock is definitely ticking. This may be the last best chance for diplomacy," senior researcher Shannon Kile at the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) said. If diplomacy fails, "you could be looking at the possibility of conflict in the region," said Daniel Keohane of FRIDE, a European think-tank. ENRICHMENT FLEXIBILITY? Iran has consistently ruled out suspending all enrichment, a process which can have both energy and weapons purposes. But it has hinted it may stop refining uranium to higher levels and diplomats and analysts expect this to be a focus of discussions. Two years ago, Iran spurned U.N. demands to halt enrichment and ramped up processing to 20 percent fissile purity, a major step on any path to the 90 percent level required for nuclear explosions. The West responded with broad sanctions on Iranian banks and oil exports. The country's 20 percent enrichment at an installation deep inside a mountain is "very high on our list of things where Iran would need to stop to begin convincing us about the peaceful nature of their program", a third Western diplomat said. Iranian nuclear energy chief Fereydoun Abbasi-Davani said on Sunday Tehran might scale back this production - which compares with the up to 5 percent level suitable for fuelling nuclear power plants - once it has what it needs for medical isotopes. "The 'enrich what we need' principle provides the Iranians with a face-saving solution for halting enrichment at 20 percent," said analyst Ali Vaez at the International Crisis Group think-tank. But a U.S.-based think-tank, the Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS), noted that Abbasi-Davani had also talked about the need for 20 percent enriched uranium for a planned second research reactor it had not yet declared to the U.N. nuclear watchdog. "Abbasi-Davani's offer to halt 20 percent enrichment at some point in the future should not be accepted and the (six powers) should reject anything less than an immediate freeze," ISIS said. NO IRANIAN CHANGE OF HEART? Russia and China last month joined the four Western powers in expressing "regret" at Iran's expansion of this higher-grade enrichment, most of which is now taking place at the underground site to protect it from possible Israeli or U.S. attack. But Moscow and Beijing have made clear their opposition to any new U.N. measures and have criticized unilateral punitive steps by the United States and EU. Israel says it fears Iran will soon have moved enough of its nuclear program underground to make it virtually impervious to a pre-emptive Israeli attack, creating what Defense Minister Ehud Barak recently referred to as a "zone of immunity". If Iran limits its nuclear activity, which it says is to generate electricity and produce isotopes for cancer treatments, it would probably expect to be rewarded with an easing of sanctions. "There is a need for both sides to meet each other half way, to show some flexibility," a senior diplomat from a non-Western country said, calling for "creative and innovative ideas". Western punitive steps over Iran's refusal to back down have piled pressure on the economy, said Mohammed Shakeel, an independent analyst based in Dubai across the Gulf from Iran. "The country's economy is showing strong signs of strain: real Gross Domestic Product is likely to contract over the next year or two as the mainstay of the economy - oil production - is expected to fall and export revenue declines," Shakeel said. But there is no indication tougher sanctions have prompted a change of heart by Iran's top authority, clerical Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, one of the Western diplomats said. "We see no sign of it changing the strategic calculus of the supreme leader," he said. On Thursday, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad struck a defiant tone, saying the Islamic state would not surrender its nuclear rights "even under the most difficult pressure". While the substance of Ahmadinejad's comments was not new - he has made similar statements many times before - the timing may be interpreted as a sign of Iranian unwillingness to negotiate transparent curbs on enrichment. (Additional reporting by Arshad Mohammed in Washington and Adrian Croft in London; Editing by Mark Heinrich) World Tweet this Link this Share this Digg this Email Reprints   We welcome comments that advance the story through relevant opinion, anecdotes, links and data. If you see a comment that you believe is irrelevant or inappropriate, you can flag it to our editors by using the report abuse links. Views expressed in the comments do not represent those of Reuters. For more information on our comment policy, see http://blogs.reuters.com/fulldisclosure/2010/09/27/toward-a-more-thoughtful-conversation-on-stories/ Comments (4) StevenFeldman wrote:   Edition: U.S. Africa Arabic Argentina Brazil Canada China France Germany India Italy Japan Latin America Mexico Russia Spain United Kingdom Back to top Reuters.com Business Markets World Politics Technology Opinion Money Pictures Videos Site Index Legal Bankruptcy Law California Legal New York Legal Securities Law Support & Contact Support Corrections Connect with Reuters Twitter   Facebook   LinkedIn   RSS   Podcast   Newsletters   Mobile About Privacy Policy Terms of Use AdChoices Copyright Our Flagship financial information platform incorporating Reuters Insider An ultra-low latency infrastructure for electronic trading and data distribution A connected approach to governance, risk and compliance Our next generation legal research platform Our global tax workstation Thomsonreuters.com About Thomson Reuters Investor Relations Careers Contact Us   Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. Thomson Reuters journalists are subject to an Editorial Handbook which requires fair presentation and disclosure of relevant interests. NYSE and AMEX quotes delayed by at least 20 minutes. Nasdaq delayed by at least 15 minutes. For a complete list of exchanges and delays, please click here.

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