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My Profile Top News Reuters top ten news stories delivered to your inbox each day. Subscribe You are here: Home > News > Technology > Article Home Business & Finance News U.S. Politics International Technology Internet Entertainment Sports Lifestyle Oddly Enough Health Science Special Coverage Video Pictures Your View The Great Debate Blogs Weather Reader Feedback Do More With Reuters RSS Widgets Mobile Podcasts Newsletters Your View Make Reuters My Homepage Partner Services CareerBuilder Affiliate Network Professional Products Support (Customer Zone) Reuters Media Financial Products About Thomson Reuters Apple's on a roll, but iPhone sales pivotal Mon Oct 19, 2009 7:26am EDT Email | Print | Share | Reprints | Single Page [-] Text [+] By Gabriel Madway SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - Apple Inc is once again expected to top Wall Street's estimates when it unveils quarterly earnings today, but it may have to beat by a lot to drive an already lofty share price higher. The maker of the Mac, iPhone and iPod is on a roll: CEO Steve Jobs is back at the helm, its stock has more than doubled this year to within spitting distance of a record high, and it has smashed profit expectations two years running. Now, analysts say one potential speed bump this quarter is the iPhone. Sales of the device that competes with Research in Motion's BlackBerry and Palm's Pre may look weaker in comparison to strong numbers a year ago, and may not be enough to satisfy the voracious hopes of some investors. "The driver is if the iPhone keeps selling well," said Hudson Square Research analyst Daniel Ernst. He also noted that Mac sales, the largest single chunk of Apple's revenue, should be impressive. "Mac is a huge part of the company and I think it's going to get better next year, so while there may be some risk in the iPhone sales for the quarter, people will take some solace in that the Mac sales are pretty strong." Investors have grown accustomed to Apple crushing Wall Street estimates, so there are strong expectations for the company's fiscal fourth-quarter, which ended September. Nearly 20 analysts have lifted price targets since September. "Expectations for Q4 are high going into FY Q4, and we would not be looking to make a big bet on the quarter," Sanford Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi wrote in a recent research note, adding that Apple may not deliver a "blow-out" iPhone number. Simply exceeding average expectations isn't guaranteed to please investors. IBM surpassed Wall Street forecasts for revenue and earnings slightly and raised its full-year outlook, but its shares slid 5 percent on Friday. On the other hand, Google's shares rose 4 percent after it beat by a wide margin. Apple has bested consensus Wall Street EPS estimates in every quarter for the past two years, and beat on revenue every quarter save one. That's why Apple detractors are tough to find, and many analysts argue the stock still has room to run. The company has handily outperformed competitors despite an economic downturn that was supposed to hurt sales of its expensive products, and unlike others it has not slashed costs to protect its bottom line. With Jobs back in the driver's seat following half a year of medical leave -- during which time his lieutenants carried on -- the stock is now nearing its all-time high of $202.96. But Apple's shares now trade at 32 times forward earnings, versus RIM's 16 times. "People are expecting a beat, EPS numbers have climbed up over the last couple weeks," said Oppenheimer & Co analyst Yair Reiner. But for the top-line, "it depends on what happens with the iPhone." ROOM TO MOVE The company moved 6.9 million iPhones in the year-ago quarter, so it will be a tough comparison. Wall Street expects around 7.5 million units this quarter although some estimates are well below that. In September, Apple reported sales of more than 30 million iPhones to date, which some analysts say translated into about 3.5 million so far for the quarter, meaning the company would have to pick up the pace to best the total from a year ago. Continued... View article on single page Share: Del.icio.us Digg Mixx Yahoo! Facebook LinkedIn Next Article: Spotify to launch mobile offering with 3, HTC Also on Reuters Five years on, Senator Kerry makes comeback U.S. hunters, anglers lobby for climate bill "Where the Wild Things Are" tops weekend box office More Technology News Google goes global with Apps Fake security software in millions of computers: Symantec Spotify to launch mobile offering with 3, HTC First Microsoft store looks set to open Pardon my bootleg: Navigating China's pirated waters More Technology News... Related News AT&T finds a double-edged sword in iPhone 16 Oct 2009 Editor's Choice Slideshow A selection of our best photos from the past 24 hours. Slideshow Most Popular on Reuters Articles Video Iran threatens U.S. and Britain after Guard bombing | Video Google goes global with Apps, has 2 million customers Corporate America worried about sinking dollar Modern man a wimp says anthropologist Balloon boy case a hoax, says sheriff; charges coming | Video Fake security software in millions of computers: Symantec Death toll in Iran attack rises to 42 - TV Report finds new wrinkle in U.S. bankruptcies Pakistani forces pound Taliban in South Waziristan | Video Did Rajaratnam's money find way to Tamil Tigers? Most Popular Articles RSS Feed Video Militants die in Pakistan attack Suicide attack kills Iran guards Sri Lanka refugees in limbo Helicopter downed in Rio violence Mexican police find bodies. Dozens injured in Thailand blast Elephant gives birth in tea garden Peru new counterfeiting centre. UK climate protest, scores arrested Skepticism rises over balloon saga Most Popular Videos RSS Feed Reuters.com: Help and Contact Us | Advertise With Us | Mobile | Newsletters | RSS | Labs | Journalism Handbook | Archive | Site Index | Video Index Thomson Reuters Corporate: Copyright | Disclaimer | Privacy | Professional Products | Professional Products Support | About Thomson Reuters | Careers International Editions: Africa | Arabic | Argentina | Brazil | Canada | China | France | Germany | India | Italy | Japan | Latin America | Mexico | Russia | Spain | United Kingdom | United States Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. Thomson Reuters journalists are subject to an Editorial Handbook which requires fair presentation and disclosure of relevant interests. NYSE and AMEX quotes delayed by at least 20 minutes. Nasdaq delayed by at least 15 minutes. For a complete list of exchanges and delays, please click here.

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