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Japan's machinery orders in record losing streak
AFP - Thursday, March 12
TOKYO (AFP) - - Japan's machinery orders fell for a fourth straight month, the longest unbroken decline on record, as the global economic downturn sent exports plunging, data showed Wednesday.
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The government said there was no sign yet of a recovery in the orders, a closely watched gauge of corporate spending on factories and equipment, after a 3.2 percent drop in January from the previous month.
"Honestly, this month's result is so bad," a government official told reporters. "We couldn't find any positive factors anywhere."
Orders from the car industry fell 36.2 percent while overseas orders plunged 49 percent -- both unprecedented drops.
"We believe capital expenditure will continuously decrease this year," said RBS Securities economist Junko Nishioka.
Investors managed to look beyond the latest raft of poor data. The Nikkei stock index soared 4.55 percent, rebounding from a more than 26-year low after a powerful rally on Wall Street.
Japan's corporate sector was a key driver of a recovery in Asia's largest economy following the 1990s recessions, as companies enjoyed strong profits and invested heavily to expand their production facilities.
But the global downturn has caused demand for Japanese goods to dry up, prompting companies such as Toyota and Sony to shed thousands of jobs.
Japan's exports almost halved in January from a year earlier as factory output plummeted 10 percent month-on-month.
"Turmoil in the global financial markets in September-October last year paralysed trade finance globally, which depressed production (and) orders at epic proportions," Morgan Stanley economist Takehiro Sato wrote in a note.
Fears of a return to deflation mounted as the central bank announced that wholesale prices fell 1.1 percent in February from a year earlier, the sharpest fall in almost six years.
Japan was plagued by a deflationary spiral for years after its asset price bubble burst in the early 1990s, deterring consumers from spending and reducing corporate profits.
After soaring last year on the back of higher oil and material costs, inflation has since evaporated as energy prices cooled, but analysts say Japan should avoid another full-blown deflationary spiral.
"I'm sure deflation will reappear but I don't think it will be a problem," said Graham Davis, director of the Economist Intelligence Unit in Tokyo, who does not expect falling prices to lead to much weaker consumption.
Japan's export-led economy has been battered by a worldwide drop in demand for the cars, high-tech goods and machinery for which it is famous, putting it on course for its deepest recession since World War II.
The economy contracted 12.7 percent on an annualised basis in the final quarter of 2008, the worst performance in almost 35 years, the government said last month. There are concerns that the figure might be revised on Thursday to show an even bigger decline.
-- Dow Jones Newswires contributed to this story --
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