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Yahoo! My Yahoo! Mail Yahoo! Search Search: Sign InNew User? Sign Up News Home - Help Navigation Primary Navigation Home Singapore Asia Pacific World Business Entertainment Sports Technology Top Stories Most Popular Secondary Navigation Australia China India Indonesia Japan Malaysia Philippines Thailand Vietnam Search Search: CORRECTED - Japan opposition could win by a landslide - media Reuters - 2 hours 38 minutes ago By Linda Sieg ADVERTISEMENT TOKYO - Japan's opposition Democratic Party may be headed for a landslide election victory, trouncing the conservative party that has ruled for most of the past half-century, a newspaper said on Thursday. The Democrats could win 300 of the 480 seats in parliament's lower house while the long-ruling Liberal Democrats may be halved to around 150 seats, said the Asahi newspaper, based on a detailed survey of electoral districts ahead of the August 30 poll. But the paper also said that around 30 to 40 percent of voters in its survey of electoral districts had not revealed how they would vote while 25 percent might change their minds, so results could shift significantly in the final days. Opinion polls have for some time shown the Democrats well ahead of the conservative Liberal Democratic Party , raising the prospect that the business-friendly LDP will lose power for only the second time in its 54-year history. Democratic Party leader Yukio Hatoyama, now looking likely to become the next prime minister, has pledged to put more money in the hands of consumers to revive the economy, hold off on raising the 5 percent sales tax for four years and adopt a diplomatic stance less subservient to top security ally the United States. A solid Democratic Party victory would end a deadlock in parliament, where the party and its allies already control the less powerful upper chamber. A clear result would cheer financial markets would as it would smooth policy-making as Japan shakes off a recession. BIG SPENDING PLANS "In the face of predictions of such a sweeping victory, some voters could shift to the LDP, meaning that uncertainty may actually have increased," said Koichi Ogawa, chief fund manager at Daiwa SB. The Nikkei stock average climbed from Wednesday's three-week closing low, but financial markets were more focussed on a rebound in Chinese shares and a surge in crude oil prices. "Whether the Democrats win or the LDP wins, you're still likely to have an accommodative monetary policy and the deficit's still likely to grow due to stimulus plans," said Nagayuki Yamagishi, strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Securities. "On the other hand, if the Democrats do win and it becomes a situation like Obama and Congress, it could be good in terms of getting policies passed." Some market participants worry that ambitious Democrat spending plans would inflate already sky high public debt and push up long-term interest rates. The Asahi said its survey showed the LDP, which had 300 seats ahead of the election, could be halved in strength in the powerful lower house, while its junior partner, the New Komeito party, was likely to keep somewhere around 31 seats. "If this trend continues, I think the results will be close to the Asahi's prediction," said Keio University professor Yasunori Sone. "Maybe not 300 seats but around 270 ... It would be hard for the LDP to turn it around." Experts note, however, that predictions are complicated by Japan's electoral system, in which only 300 seats are from winner-take-all, single member districts. The remaining 180 come from multiple-seat proportional representation blocks in which voters cast ballots for a party. The Asahi's prediction, based on surveys of half of the 300 single-seat districts, broadly matches opinion polls showing the LDP in deep trouble nationally. For a graphic tracking all poll results, click: http://graphics.thomsonreuters.com/059/JP_VTRS0509.jpg For a graphic of polls by news provider, click: http://graphics.thomsonreuters.com/089/poll.html KOIZUMI RESIGNED TO CHANGE The Democrats and two small allies won control of the upper house in 2007, enabling them to stall bills and creating a policy deadlock as Japan struggled with deep-seated problems due to its shrinking, ageing population and the global financial crisis. Popular former leader Junichiro Koizumi led the LDP to a huge victory in 2005 on a platform pledging market-friendly reforms. But the party's support slid as his two successors each quit after less than a year and incumbent Prime Minister Taro Aso came under fire for a series of gaffes and policy flip-flops. Koizumi admitted the LDP faced a tough fight this time. "Unless something big happens, it's possible that we'll see a change in government," Koizumi, who is retiring from parliament, was quoted by the Yomiuri newspaper as saying on Wednesday. "It's not bad to be the opposition party from time to time." Aso has been stressing the success of the LDP's economic stimulus packages in helping Japan weather the global financial crisis and attacked the Democrats as weak on security policy and irresponsible on financial issues. But analysts said that news on Monday that Japan's economy returned to growth in the second quarter would probably do little to rescue the LDP, even though the figures marked the end of the country's longest recession since World War Two. Email Story IM Story Printable View Blog This Sign in to recommend this article » 0 users recommend Related Articles: Asia Pacific Japan opposition could win by a landslide - mediaReuters - Thursday, August 20 Australia, NZealand travel, military plansAFP - 2 hours 53 minutes ago Software caused SKorean rocket launch problemsAFP - Thursday, August 20 Australia swine flu jabs plan: ministerAFP - Thursday, August 20 NKorea to send mourners to SKorea, seeks US talksAFP - Thursday, August 20 Most Popular – Asia Pacific Viewed UK UFO sightings spiked when blockbusters released Canadian singer Celine Dion pregnant with second child Egypt warns pharaohs' tombs could disappear Sleep disorders linked to premature deaths: study It's nuts! Squirrel becomes a Web sensation View Complete List » Search: Home Singapore Asia Pacific World Business Entertainment Sports Technology Top Stories Most Popular Copyright © 2009 Yahoo! Southeast Asia Pte Ltd. (Co. Reg. No. 199700735D). All Rights Reserved. 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