InfoAnda - Scientists see early warning to damaging El Nino

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Yahoo! My Yahoo! Mail More Yahoo! Services Account Options New User? Sign Up Sign In Help Yahoo! Search web search Home Singapore Asia Pacific World Business Entertainment Sports Technology Scientists see early warning to damaging El Nino AFP - Monday, February 22 Send IM Story Print This NASA satellite image shows Tropical storm Ida as it move inland over the Gulf Coast of the US. Weather experts say they have a tip that could give up to 14 months' warning before the onset of an El Nino, the weather anomaly that whacks countries around the Pacific and affects southern Africa and even Europe. PARIS (AFP) - – Weather experts say they have a tip that could give up to 14 months' warning before the onset of an El Nino, the weather anomaly that whacks countries around the Pacific and affects southern Africa and even Europe. At present, scientists are unable to give little more than a few months' notice that an El Nino is in the offing, which is often too late for farmers, fishermen and others to prepare for weather disruption. El Nino occurs every two to seven years, when the trade winds that circulate surface water in the tropical Pacific start to weaken. A mass of warm water builds in the western Pacific and eventually rides over to the eastern side of the ocean. The outcome is a major shift in rainfall, bringing floods and mudslides to usually arid countries in western south America and drought in the western Pacific, as well as a change in nutrient-rich ocean currents that lure fish. El Nino is ushered out by a cold phase, La Nina, which usually occurs the following year. Meteorologists led by Takeshi Izumo of the Research Institute for Global Change in Yokohama, Japan, believe the world can gain a precious early warning from a similar event that occurs in the Indian Ocean. This oscillation, first identified in 1999, occurs roughly every two years. Analysis of weather records from 1981 to 2009 found that when the so-called Indian Ocean Dipole was in a "negative" phase -- with the waters warm in the west and cold in the east -- an El Nino event in Pacific followed more than a year later. The driver for this pendulum appears to be a pattern in atmospheric circulation linking the two oceans, Izumo believes. The paper is published online on Sunday by the journal Nature Geoscience. In a commentary, Peter Webster and Carlos Hoyos, earth scientists at the Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, said that work was needed to delve into the past. The 1981-2009 period did indeed show a "strong two-year rhythm" in which the Dipole swung along with El Nino. Other research, based on sea temperatures from 1890-2008, suggests the Indian Ocean pendulum may vary from decade to decade, the pair cautioned. Recommend Send IM Story Print News Search Top Stories Poor weather could delay Endeavour's return Scientists see early warning to damaging El Nino Greece united despite economic woes, insists PM Fed chief to throw light on policy after rate hike Singing helps stroke victims regain speech More Top Stories » Most Popular Most Viewed Most Recommended Chemicals suspected in breast cancer Dozens of primate species on the brink: study Fed chief to throw light on policy after rate hike US scientists warn of fraud of stem cell 'banks' Singing helps stroke victims regain speech More Most Viewed » Third-hand smoke also bad for you: study DNA reveals some mystery on King Tut, raises questions Pitt, Jolie sue British paper over split claims Fury heats up after new AIG bonuses Sugary soft drinks linked to pancreatic cancer: study More Most Recommended » Elsewhere on Yahoo! Financial news on Yahoo! Finance Stars and latest movies Best travel destinations More on Yahoo! News Home Singapore Asia Pacific World Business Entertainment Sports Technology Subscribe to our news feeds Top StoriesMy Yahoo!RSS » More news feeds | What are news feeds? Also on Yahoo Answers Groups Mail Messenger Mobile Travel Finance Movies Sports Games » All Yahoo! Services Site Highlights Singapore Full Coverage Most Popular Asia Entertainment Photos Copyright © 2010 Yahoo! Southeast Asia Pte. Ltd. (Co. Reg. No. 199700735D). All Rights Reserved. Terms of Service | Privacy Policy | Community | Intellectual Property Rights Policy | Help

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