Forum Views ()
Forum Replies ()
Read more with google mobile :
Can an election of generals help reform Myanmar?
|
Edition:
U.S.
Article
Comments (0)
Email
Print
Reprints
Read
Super-rich investors buy gold by ton
04 Oct 2010
Drone strike kills 8 Germans in northwest Pakistan
|
04 Oct 2010
U.S. sues AmEx, Visa, MasterCard, latter two settle
04 Oct 2010
Dieters need a good night's sleep to fight fat: study
04 Oct 2010
Iran blames Bushehr delay on "small leak," not virus
04 Oct 2010
Discussed
69
Health reform to worsen doctor shortage: group
61
U.S. apologizes for syphilis experiment in Guatemala
60
Ex-maid says Whitman knowingly employed her illegally
Watched
Uncovering the mysteries of the deep
Mon, Oct 4 2010
Red faces over top model gaff
Tue, Sep 28 2010
Ocean census reveals deep secrets
Mon, Oct 4 2010
Can an "election of generals" help reform Myanmar?
Tweet This
Share on LinkedIn
Share on Facebook
Factbox
Myanmar's shift to democracy
1:00am EDT
Analysis & Opinion
Pakistan, India and the value of democracy
Related Topics
World »
By Martin Petty
BANGKOK |
Tue Oct 5, 2010 1:01am EDT
BANGKOK (Reuters) - By holding an election to legitimize decades of military rule, Myanmar's power-hungry generals may have inadvertently created a framework for a democratic system they might not be able to control.
An army-dominated political process will culminate in November 7 polls dubbed an "election of generals" and widely dismissed as a sham, but there is hope that the system could spur reforms and gradually take power away from authoritarian military officers.
For now, few expect any change to the status quo, just more suits and a lot less army uniforms. Most analysts say a transfer of power to civilians -- whether intentional or not -- would be an evolutionary process of at least a decade.
"Of course the election won't be free and fair, but there's a chance here that over time, more political space will be created," said Georgetown University's David Steinberg, a veteran Myanmar analyst who has studied the former British colony since before the generals seized power in a 1962 coup.
"There's potential for improvements to the economy and for the first time in decades, a parliament will convene and normal people will have some voice."
But it's almost certain that voice will be silent at first.
Myanmar's complex and verbose constitution, which few Burmese admit to having read, appears to be a blueprint for cementing the military's grip on power, with recently retired generals poised to win scores of parliament and senate seats, in addition to the 25 percent quota reserved for serving soldiers.
Restrictive election laws and steep registration fees mean pro-democracy parties will present no challenge to two well-heeled pro-military parties, whose lawmakers are sure to choose a powerful army-backed president whose policies and ministerial appointments will sail through parliament.
But even with the generals still at the helm, analysts expect they will initiate some reforms -- perhaps self-serving -- in the resource-rich country's ailing economy after decades of mismanagement, corruption and crippling western sanctions.
WISER POLICIES?
"The election might help with the overall civilianization of the government and so lead to slightly wiser economic policies," said Josh Kurlantzick, a Southeast Asia expert at the U.S.-based Council on Foreign Relations think tank. He said, however, it was unlikely much would change in the near-term.
A privatization drive is underway, although the process has been extremely opaque and fraught with cronyism, benefitting the junta and its allies among a wealthy civilian elite set to become the country's economic powerbrokers for years to come.
There are now 19 private banks -- four owned by tycoons close to the generals and targeted by western sanctions -- which will provide more branches, cash machines and small loans, although Australian economist Sean Turnell, a Myanmar expert, dismissed the banks as "cash-boxes" and "playthings" for their rich owners.
But the mass selloff of about 300 state assets this year in areas like banking, telecommunications, transport and shipping may not be all bad. It has transferred vital sectors away from the direct control of notoriously corrupt and inept generals.
Perhaps of more benefit to the population are plans to improve agriculture, which employs about 70 percent of the population and accounts for more than half of Myanmar's economic output. Under British rule, Myanmar was once the world's biggest rice exporter and is aiming to become a top exporter again. It shipped more than 1 million metric tons in 2009.
1
2
Next
World
Add a Comment
*We welcome comments that advance the story directly or with relevant tangential information. We try to block comments that use offensive language or appear to be spam and review comments frequently to ensure they meet our standards. If you see a comment that you believe is irrelevant or inappropriate, you can flag it to our editors by using the report abuse links. Views expressed in the comments do not represent those of Reuters.
© Copyright 2010 Thomson Reuters
Editorial Editions:
Africa
Arabic
Argentina
Brazil
Canada
China
France
Germany
India
Italy
Japan
Latin America
Mexico
Russia
Spain
United Kingdom
United States
Reuters
Contact Us
Advertise With Us
Help
Journalism Handbook
Archive
Site Index
Video Index
Reader Feedback
Mobile
Newsletters
RSS
Podcasts
Widgets
Your View
Analyst Research
Thomson Reuters
Copyright
Disclaimer
Privacy
Professional Products
Professional Products Support
Financial Products
About Thomson Reuters
Careers
Online Products
Acquisitions Monthly
Buyouts
Venture Capital Journal
International Financing Review
Project Finance International
PEhub.com
PE Week
FindLaw
Reuters on Facebook
Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. Thomson Reuters journalists are subject to an Editorial Handbook which requires fair presentation and disclosure of relevant interests.
NYSE and AMEX quotes delayed by at least 20 minutes. Nasdaq delayed by at least 15 minutes. For a complete list of exchanges and delays, please click here.
Other News on Tuesday, 5 October 2010 Afghan attacks kill five NATO soldiers
US-TECH Summary
Drone strike kills 8 Germans in northwest Pakistan
|
U.S. views sought in Iraqi contractor torture case
Hard drive makers face challenge from tablets
Afghan civil leaders slam Karzai's peace council
|
Taliban claim deadly NATO tanker blaze in Pakistan
NY Times to pay back Carlos Slim loan early
U.N. council heads to Sudan amid fears new war looms
|
3 blasts kill at least 2 Afghan police in Kandahar
Study shows Israelis and Palestinians both retaliate
|
Survey Shows U.S. Teens More Conscious of Safe-Sex
Chinese Monopoly On Rare Earth Metals Challenged
France launches warnings to web pirates
Philadelphia Duck Boats To Resume Operations Despite Deaths
Drone strike kills 8 Germans in northwest Pakistan
Israel orders pro-Palestinian Nobel laureate deported
|
Facebook Co-Founder Mark Zuckerberg Lends Voice On "The Simpsons"
Japan to plead its case on islands at ASEM summit
Music Boss Tommy Mottola To Pen Memoir
4 NATO troops killed in Afghanistan's south, east
China's Wen urges stability of major currencies
Suspect In Boston Murders To Appear In Court
Emma Stone Rumored To Take On Role Of Spider-Man's Mary Jane Watson
Twitter COO Costolo replaces co-founder as CEO
|
Japan's leadership woes hinder reforms: OECD
3 NATO troops killed in Afghanistan's south, east
Hard drive makers face challenge from tablets
|
Lady Gaga and Justin Bieber nearing 1 billion YouTube views
|
Venice mayor mocks billboard critics
'Desirable' 38M dlr pink diamond up for auction
Google announces content partners for 'Google TV'
Condom-use common among US teens, rare for old folk: study
Beer record smashed at Munich fest's 200th birthday
US drone strike kills Germans in Pakistan: officials
Viktor Bout extradition stalled by Thai ruling
Summer comes to Paris with Ungaro garden party
Viktor Bout wears flak jacket to Bangkok court
John Lennon 70th Birthday Events
|
Nicki Minaj, Jay-Z big winners at BET Awards
|
Die Hard director John McTiernan gets year in prison
|
Wynton Marsalis in Cuba to bring people together
|
Largest Avedon photograph auction set for Paris
|
Report: AIG to sell India mutual fund business
No 'adjustments' needed on war fronts: Obama
British comedy actor Norman Wisdom dies aged 95
French take to barricades over Internet piracy law
Rousseff favored in Brazil runoff
|
Egypt-Iran flights to resume after 30 year break
Car bomb explodes outside N. Ireland shopping centre
Doctors fueled US starlet's drug addiction
French rogue trader Kerviel faces verdict
US deficit is 'real and growing' threat: Bernanke
Can an election of generals help reform Myanmar?
|
Google has content deals with media/internet firms
Blasts kill 4 NATO troops, up to 4 Afghan police
Japan and China agree to improve ties despite row
|
Europe on alert after attacks warning
Global marine life census charts vast world beneath the seas
DoCoMo to launch Samsung Galaxy phone, tablet this year
White House Downplays European Travel Warning Threat
Egypt-Iran flights to resume after 30 year break
|
Video Details How Stuxnet Worm Can Blow Up Power Plant
Skype names senior Cisco exec Bates as CEO
Stocks Tumble As Microsoft, Macys Downgraded
Corrected: Bosnia vote points to deadlock on ethnic lines
|
4 NATO troops, Afghan policemen die in Afghanistan
Ecuador raises military wages after police revolt
|
California AG Sues 8 Car Washes For Unpaid Wages
T-Mobile USA to offer new Microsoft phones
Kashmiri Hindus Demonstrate Against Indian Government
Car bomb explodes in Northern Ireland: police
|
Supreme Court Faces Controversial Cases as New Term Starts
Cisco executive taking over as Skype CEO
Twitter co-founder steps down as CEO
N.Korea restores facilities at nuclear reactor
Hollywood festival to honor Sylvester Stallone
DoCoMo to launch Samsung Galaxy phone, tablet this year
Indonesian flood toll rises to 26
T-Mobile USA to offer new Microsoft phones
"Die Hard" director John McTiernan gets year in prison
Mexico police search for US tourist after shooting
Japan and China agree to improve ties despite row
Sparse crowds dog Delhi Games, as Aussies dominate
China, Japan leaders agree to improve ties
US drone strike kills Germans in Pakistan terror zone
Terrorism alert tips U.S. hand, but just barely
N.Zealand broadcaster suspended over race comments
US drone strike kills Germans in Pakistan: officials
Google has content deals with media/internet firms
|
US-ENTERTAINMENT Summary
Weather forecast for the Asia-Pacific region
Viktor Bout extradition stalled by Thai ruling
T-Mobile USA to offer new Microsoft phones
|
Flash floods in eastern Indonesia kill at least 26
Return of "Deadliest Catch" trio still uncertain
Skype names senior Cisco exec Bates as CEO
|
Yves Saint Laurent brings sexy back for Spring 2011
Samsung plans to launch tablet globally this year
|
Facebook film paints harsh portrait of Zuckerberg
Canada MPs get a whiff of a spliff
Verizon Wireless to pay refunds for billing errors
|
'Social Network' scores box-office success
Zack Snyder at helm of new Superman movie
Bruno Mars strikes out on his own with "Doo-Wops"
Taiwan Formosa says No.2 naphtha cracker to shut Tues
Seoul shares flat;techs down, Lotte Samkang gains
Detroit musicians strike days before new season
Indonesia wraps up Australia drug smuggler hearing
Bank of Japan adopts zero-interest rate policy
Japan to demand China resume rare earth shipments
S.Korea warns of more limits on FX forward trading
PAKISTAN
Taiwan dollar rises, but gains seen pared by c.bank, won
Defiant Beijing facing more pressure on yuan
Seoul shares take breather; techs, banks fall
Lady Gaga and Justin Bieber nearing 1 billion YouTube views
|
RPT-PREVIEW-Taiwan Sept CPI seen rebounding to +0.41 pct
Crime doesn't pay for Keanu Reeves in spoof
|
Return of Deadliest Catch trio still uncertain
|
Zack Snyder at helm of new Superman movie
|
Bruno Mars strikes out on his own with Doo-Wops
|
Online critics pick 100 best, first films
|
Detroit musicians strike days before new season
|
Hollywood festival to honor Sylvester Stallone
|
Ex-trader Kerviel sentenced to 3 years in jail
|
French police arrest nine in terror probe
Wonder carbon pioneers win Nobel Physics Prize
Militants plan attacks on oil sea transport hubs: Russia
France holds 12 in Europe anti-terrorism operation
|
ECB soaks up cash to offset help through bond buying
Ally of ex-Moscow mayor 'charged with corruption'
Duo wins 2010 physics Nobel for super-thin carbon
|
French rogue trader Kerviel guilty of breach of trust
Florida Man Kills 1, Wounds 5 In Shooting Spree
Verizon Under Investigation by FCC, Agrees To Issue 15 Million Customer Refunds
Moody's considers possible downgrade of Irish debt
Dutch Christian Democrats back pact with Wilders
|
Feds: Federal Judge Bought Drugs For Stripper
Samsung plans to launch tablet globally this year
Police Investigate 2 Deaths In Florida Shooting
Nigeria leader's rival decries witch hunt over bombs
|
Doctors: Blacks Need To Start Hypertension Treatment Sooner
Europe terror alert fuelled by German militants
|
Thai court clears way for Viktor Bout extradition
Vatican keeps up attack on Nobel committee over IVF
|
Afghan election official arrested; vote tally delayed
|
Thai court drops case against Viktor Bout
Hungary declares emergency after red sludge spill
|
Thai court to rule on Viktor Bout extradition
Thai ruling brings Viktor Bout closer to US custody
Indonesian president postpones Dutch visit
Ke$ha says former manager acted as unlicensed agent
Thai court dismisses extra charges against Bout
Special report: The Pentagon's new cyber warriors
|
Microsoft CEO says will see Windows slates by Christmas
|
Philippines tells anthem crooners not to do it their way
UAE and BlackBerry users stick to device as deadline nears
|
Asian growth boosts Tesco profits
Suu Kyi sues Myanmar junta over party dissolution
Pakistani rupee gains vs dollar; stocks edge lower
Nokia MeeGo chief leaves ahead of key launch
|
Japan man apologises for killing British teacher
Taiwan to ask banks to report loans on land-sources
Hard drive makers face challenge from tablets
|
N.Korea, UN Command fail to agree on warship talks
Chinese movies dominate Asia's top film festival
S.Korea private bad bank to buy troubled loans
Samsung to launch smartphone, tablet PC in Japan
Slapstick British comedian Norman Wisdom dies at 95
|
$4 million Chagall painting sets new Asian record
|
Israeli orchestra set to play at Wagner festival
|
Ke$ha says former manager acted as unlicensed agent
|
Microsoft CEO says will see Windows slates by Christmas
Japan tech fair offers glimpse of future lifestyles
Apple faces $625 million fines over patents: report
Greece at new risk of being pushed off euro
Bodies of missing Tenn. mom, Jo Ann Bain, and daughter found
Female Breasts Are Bigger Than Ever
AMD Trinity Accelerated Processing Units Now in Volume Production
The Avengers (2012 film), made the second biggest opening- and single-day gross of all-time
AMD to Start Production of piledriver
Ivy Bridge Quad-Core, Four-Thread Desktop CPUs
Islamists Protest Lady Gaga's Concert in Indonesia
Japan Successfully Broadcasts an 8K Signal Over the Air
ECB boosts loans to 1 trillion Euro to stop credit crunch
Egypt : Mohammed Morsi won with 52 percent
What do you call 100,000 Frenchmen with their hands up
AMD Launches AMD Embedded R-Series APU Platform
Fed Should not Ignore Emerging Market Crisis
Fed casts shadow over India, emerging markets
Why are Chinese tourists so rude? A few insights