InfoAnda - Obama moves spark hope and uncertainty in Cuba

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Yahoo! My Yahoo! Mail Yahoo! Search Search: Sign InNew User? Sign Up News Home - Help Navigation Primary Navigation Home Singapore Asia Pacific World Business Entertainment Sports Technology Top Stories Most Popular Secondary Navigation Africa Europe Latin America Middle East North America Search Search: Obama moves spark hope and uncertainty in Cuba Reuters - Tuesday, April 21 By Jeff Franks ADVERTISEMENT HAVANA - President Barack Obama's easing of the U.S. trade embargo against Cuba has awakened long-frustrated hopes for change in U.S.-Cuba relations but also uncertainty about whether the two governments are too locked into old positions to end 50 years of enmity. Obama said he wants to "recast" relations with the communist government and Cuban President Raul Castro responded that he was willing to discuss "everything" with the United States, but translating words into action will be difficult, analysts said. Their scepticism is shared by Cubans, who say they long for an end to the bitter stalemate, yet do not want to get their hopes too high. "I hope Obama can radically change things but I am not so optimistic," said economist Maritza Ramos, 44. "I think the wishes we all have to see improvement in relations are greater than the real possibilities. Nobody knows, after so many years of conflict," she said while waiting for a bus in the Cuban capital Havana. The Cubans' reserve rests in part on the fact they have been down this road before, when relations that went sour after Fidel Castro took power in a 1959 revolution thawed during the administrations of Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton. Both periods ended badly when Fidel Castro allowed 125,000 Cubans to flee to the United States in the 1980 Mariel boatlift, and in 1996 when Cuban fighter jets shot down two planes off the Cuban coast piloted by anti-Castro exiles. The two incidents led to suspicions about the seriousness of Cuba's oft-stated demands for the lifting of the U.S. embargo, which it blames for many of the island's problems, Cuban leaders deny allegations that the embargo gives them political cover, pointing out that the trade ban is U.S. policy, not Cuban. CUBA ANATHEMA Their problem is that the United States has always insisted that the embargo will be lifted only when Cuba makes political and economic changes that are anathema to Cuban leadership. Obama did the same thing last week when he granted Cuban Americans the right to freely travel to Cuba and send money to relatives there, and eased restrictions on U.S. telecommunications companies, all supposedly in the name of furthering change in Cuba. Speaking to reporters at the weekend Summit of the Americas in Trinidad and Tobago, he pegged further U.S. steps to Cuban advances on human rights and political prisoners. "The Cuban people are not free and that's our lodestone, our North Star, when it comes to our policy on Cuba," he said. That, said Washington attorney Robert Muse, who specializes in Cuba issues, could make further progress difficult because Cuba will not accept anything that smacks of U.S. interference in what it considers internal affairs. "Conditionality throws the air brakes on any kind of attempts to improve relations with Cuba," he said. Analysts doubt Cuba would give up much to get more concessions because it feels has been the victim of years of U.S. interference. "Cuba could say 'You have a total trade embargo on us, so why are you telling us to make the gesture?'" said Phil Peters at the Lexington Institute in Washington. But President Castro said on Thursday in Venezuela that Cuba "is willing to discuss everything -- human rights, freedom of the press, political prisoners, everything" as long as there is no "shadow" on Cuban sovereignty. He had expressed a similar willingness on various occasions, but it was the first time he explicitly mentioned key U.S. issues, which the Obama administration took as an important gesture. He also repeated a previous offer to send Cuba's political prisoners, who are believed to number about 200, to the United States in exchange for five Cuban agents jailed there. "We'll send them to you with their families and whatever they want -- these so-called dissidents and patriots," Castro said. 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