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Edition: U.S. Article Comments (0) Save Email Print Reprints Most Popular Most Shared Wal-Mart to slash grocery prices 19 Mar 2010 House Democrats see momentum on health bill | Video 19 Mar 2010 US states sue EPA to stop greenhouse gas rules 19 Mar 2010 Putin offers U.S. hints of support 19 Mar 2010 Court says no oil money for Anna Nicole's heirs 19 Mar 2010 New password-stealing virus targets Facebook 17 Mar 2010 Wal-Mart to slash grocery prices 19 Mar 2010 SCENARIOS-Fed to tread lightly, verbosely, toward exits 24 Feb 2010 US states sue EPA to stop greenhouse gas rules 19 Mar 2010 Insurer targeted HIV patients to drop coverage 17 Mar 2010 Smartphones not enough for carriers at CTIA Sinead Carew NEW YORK Fri Mar 19, 2010 5:46pm EDT Related News PREVIEW-Smartphones not enough for carriers at CTIA Fri, Mar 19 2010 Some broadcasters like US spectrum plan - FCC Fri, Mar 12 2010 Cisco shares rise on bullish analyst reports Mon, Mar 8 2010 Sprint shares rise on CFO hopes for rev turnaround Mon, Mar 8 2010 CH Robinson shares may prove a bargain-Barron's Sun, Mar 7 2010 A model demonstrates the Nexus One smartphone, the first mobile phone Google will sell directly to consumers based on its Android platform, after a news conference at Google headquarters in Mountain View, California in this January 5, 2010 file photo. Credit: Reuters/Robert Galbraith NEW YORK (Reuters) - Smartphones may be one of the hottest areas in technology with big names like Apple and Google tussling for share, but investors are questioning the growth prospects for mobile carriers as subscriber gains slow. Technology | Media While it is true that clever devices like the iPhone or Android phones will boost demand for advanced wireless services such as video, games and mobile web, analysts worry that returns from such services cannot sustain revenue growth. Mobile subscriber growth is slowing as about 90 percent of people in the United States already own cellphones. Expectations for new subscribers are already lower than usual for the current quarter, which ends days after the March 23-25 CTIA wireless show in Las Vegas. First-quarter subscriber additions typically tend be 5 percent to 10 percent lower than in the busy fourth-quarter holiday season. But this time, analysts see as much as a 15 percent drop in additions of monthly bill-paying customers, known as postpaid subscribers. Against this backdrop, operators such as AT&T Inc and Verizon Communications Inc are expected to focus on advanced mobile services at the CTIA show. Carriers can charge smartphone users extra monthly fees for data services, such as Internet access and texting. But analysts say that will not be enough to offset falling voice revenue and the cost of supporting data services. "You can wave your arms about data all you like, but the reality is that the revenue growth for the U.S. wireless industry was only 2.6 percent by the end of 2009," said Bernstein analyst Craig Moffett. "It's just not a growth business any more," he said, forecasting a 10 percent sequential drop in postpaid subscriber additions industry wide in the first quarter. Pacific Crest analyst Steve Clement expects a 10 percent to 15 percent drop saying, "Demand on the postpaid side has been pretty tepid." He said the weakness is partly due to the fact that operators themselves pulled some sales forward to the fourth quarter from the first quarter through particularly heavy promotions of smartphones like the Motorola Inc Droid. CALL FOR TIERED PRICING Another issue is pricing because Verizon Wireless, AT&T, Sprint Nextel Corp and T-Mobile USA have been discounting services to win customers from each other and to fend off Leap Wireless and MetroPCS Communications, which sell prepaid wireless services. Prepaid customers tend to switch carriers often as they do not commit to long-term contracts. Carriers also have to spend to upgrade their networks in the face of heavy data use by smartphones and other gadgets. Bernstein's Moffett said operators may have to charge heavy data users more than today's flat fees for unlimited mobile Web surfing. That way they could invest the extra fees in easing network congestion. "We're in a period of high demand and constrained supply for wireless data (capacity)," Moffett said "That should be a recipe for pricing power." But carriers have been hesitant because many consumers are still balking at paying $30 or more per month for unlimited data services. Thus, operators are not expected to announce any kind of tiered pricing structure at the CTIA show this year. Some analysts say the launch of fourth-generation (4G) wireless services could be a good opportunity for carriers to introduce new pricing structures. Clearwire Corp, which is majority owned by Sprint, is building a 4G network based on an emerging technology known as WiMax. Verizon Wireless, owned by Verizon Communications and Vodafone Group Plc, is also planning a 4G offering. "That's where we might see prices move somewhat higher," said CL King analyst Lawrence Harris. But other analysts are less sure, saying they don't expect Sprint to lead the charge with higher pricing when it launches the U.S. market's first 4G phone -- HTC Corp's Supersonic -- expected to be unveiled at CTIA. For 4G data card customers, Sprint now charges $59.99 a month for unlimited Internet access. "That will be interesting to see how they price (services for) the Supersonic," Harris said. Headline speakers at CTIA include AT&T's chief executive, Randall Stephenson, and its mobile chief, Ralph de La Vega, as well as Sprint CEO Dan Hesse and Clearwire CEO William Morrow. Other speakers include Rene Obermann, CEO of T-Mobile USA's parent Deutsche Telekom, and J.K. Shin, president of the mobile phone unit of Samsung Electronics. (Reporting by Sinead Carew; Editing by Tiffany Wu) Technology Media Add a Comment More from Reuters States take aim to block plan As the Congress once again rallies to pass healthcare reform legislation, momentum is growing in many states to pass laws to block the changes. Full Article Factbox: States and healthcare reform Factbox: Winners and losers in House healthcare bill Healthcare Reform Healthcare Reform: Momentum on healthcare bill Democratic leaders pushed undecided House members for support and voiced growing confidence they will win a close vote on the sweeping overhaul. Full Article | Video What does reform mean for Obama? Graphic: Projected effects of reform Document: Amended health bill Healthcare Reform John Kemp: Be careful what you wish for The yuan debate is exposing dangerous illiteracy among policymakers: Despite the jobs boost for Americans, it would also cut our living standards. How? Commentary China tries to cool U.S. yuan dispute Factbox: Hints of divisions in China Currencies © Copyright 2010 Thomson Reuters Editorial Editions: Africa Arabic Argentina Brazil Canada China France Germany India Italy Japan Latin America Mexico Russia Spain United Kingdom United States Reuters Contact Us Advertise With Us Help Journalism Handbook Archive Site Index Video Index Analyst Research Mobile Newsletters RSS Podcasts Widgets Your View Labs Thomson Reuters Copyright Disclaimer Privacy Professional Products Professional Products Support Financial Products About Thomson Reuters Careers Online Products Acquisitions Monthly Buyouts Venture Capital Journal International Financing Review Project Finance International PEhub.com PE Week Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. Thomson Reuters journalists are subject to an Editorial Handbook which requires fair presentation and disclosure of relevant interests. NYSE and AMEX quotes delayed by at least 20 minutes. Nasdaq delayed by at least 15 minutes. For a complete list of exchanges and delays, please click here.

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