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My Profile Holiday Gift Guide Gift ideas & reviews for this holiday season Start Browsing You are here: Home > News > Entertainment > Article Home Business & Finance News U.S. Politics International Technology Entertainment Film Music People Television Arts Industry Sports Lifestyle Oddly Enough Environment Health Science Special Coverage Video Pictures The Great Debate Blogs Weather Reader Feedback Do More With Reuters RSS Widgets Mobile Podcasts Newsletters You Witness News Make Reuters My Homepage Partner Services CareerBuilder Affiliate Network Professional Products Support (Customer Zone) Reuters Media Financial Products About Thomson Reuters Golden Globe contenders a complicated bunch Fri Dec 19, 2008 6:54am EST Email | Print | Share | Reprints | Single Page [-] Text [+] By Stephen Galloway LOS ANGELES (Hollywood Reporter) - The Hollywood Foreign Press Assn.'s decision to divvy up its Golden Globe nominations among a slew of pictures has made the task of predicting winners at the January 11 event all the harder. So where do the leading candidates stand? Three movies tied for most nominations with five apiece: "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button," "Frost/Nixon" and "Doubt." That would seem to make "Button" and "Frost/Nixon" the best bets for best picture (drama) ("Doubt" wasn't nominated) and hence the early front-runners for Academy Awards. In fact, handicapping the Globes race is much more complicated. "Button" is undoubtedly toward the top of the pack. It is a big, epic adventure of the sort Hollywood hardly ever pulls off anymore. (The HFPA deemed that another epic, "Australia," didn't pull it off at all, shutting it out of the nominations.) The fact that it also earned nominations for writing and directing is indicative of its strength across the board. An even louder signal comes from Brad Pitt's nomination for best actor (drama), as that category is widely viewed as the most competitive this year, and Pitt beat out such strong contenders as Michael Sheen ("Frost/Nixon"), Benicio Del Toro ("Che") and Richard Jenkins ("The Visitor"). That's the good news. On the negative side for "Button," awards season darling Cate Blanchett got spurned; the film's admirers have not been as fervent in their accolades as they have for some of the other contenders; and the HFPA has rarely been as swayed by the sheer scope of a movie as Oscar voters, many of whom come from the technical/crafts side that makes such scope possible. So look to "Button" as a strong contender, but by no means a lock. Another major player is a movie that didn't get any acting nominations, usually critical to awards success. "Slumdog Millionaire" is one off the lead in terms of its total nominations with four, but it is a much stronger best drama candidate than the numbers might indicate. For one thing, it got nominated in the same two crucial areas as "Button": director and screenplay. Its fourth nomination, for its original score by Bollywood legend A.R. Rahman, is also telling. Since 1994, every movie that has taken home the best drama prize has also been nominated for original score. But most importantly, "Slumdog" earned nominations in pretty much every category in which it was a serious contender. That it received no acting nominations is hardly a surprise; few expected the movie's best-known actors, Dev Patel and Irfan Khan, to be recognized for their roles. So put down "Slumdog" as a leading rival. What about the others? "The Reader" and "Revolutionary Road" were the two biggest surprises among this year's best picture (drama) nominations, as neither has yet drawn the level of critical acclaim or audience enthusiasm that might be expected for films in the top categories. Also, both are emotionally difficult movies, which could hurt them in an era when HFPA members, just like everybody else, might be looking for something more positive. The fact that "Road" wasn't nominated in the screenplay category could also hint that its support is somewhat weaker. On the plus side, each has a formidable force behind it: Both "Road" and "Reader" (along with "Doubt") were produced by the redoubtable Scott Rudin,one of the men behind last year's "No Country For Old Men" and "There Will Be Blood" -- though he took his name off "Reader" after a spat with executive producer Harvey Weinstein. And one of the story lines of this year's Globes is Weinstein's resurgence, with both "Reader" and "Vicky Cristina Barcelona" earning best picture noms. Still, even with their big-name producers, insiders believe both "Road" and "Reader" are long shots for the top prize. That leaves "Frost/Nixon" among the dramas. It, too, has a heavyweight producer backing it: Brian Grazer; it was made by a respected director, Ron Howard, who is about to celebrate his 50th year in the business; and it reteams writer Peter Morgan with actor Michael Sheen after their previous triumph, "The Queen." But despite rave reviews, the movie has not quite earned the buzz that "Queen" had in 2006-07, and it is uncertain whether Globes voters -- mostly foreign journalists working in the U.S. -- will connect emotionally to a story about Richard Nixon the same way Americans might. In the best picture (comedy/musical) category, handicapping is even tougher. The lineup was predicted to be the weakest in years leading up to the nominations, the consensus being that the HFPA would be forced to include non-awards-type films such as Ben Stiller's "Tropic Thunder" and the Judd Apatow-produced "Pineapple Express." Then the HFPA caught pundits by surprise, choosing a much more pedigreed group than anyone had anticipated. It did so by counting some pictures as comedies, even though their own backers regarded them as dramas (most notably "Happy-Go-Lucky"), and singling out one movie that hadn't even gotten an Oscar campaign: Martin McDonagh's "In Bruges." Continued... View article on single page Share: Del.icio.us Digg Mixx My Web Facebook LinkedIn Next Article: Critics weigh in on year's best films Also on Reuters Sketches behind da Vinci painting may be Leonardo's Slideshow Slideshow: The shoe incident continues... Full Coverage: Reuters 2008 Year In Review Video Talk of the Town: SAG nominations Play Video More Video... 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