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Monday, 15 August 2011 - $25 billion Groupon valuation very high: analyst |
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Sat, Aug 13 2011 Underwater volcano erupts off Oregon coast Wed, Aug 10 2011 Stage collapse kills four Sat, Aug 13 2011 $25 billion Groupon valuation "very high": analyst Tweet Share this Email Print Related News Groupon IPO dented by market, new numbers Wed, Aug 10 2011 UPDATE 5-Several U.S. IPOs postponed amid volatile markets Tue, Aug 9 2011 AOL reports disappointing ad growth Tue, Aug 9 2011 Special report: The "shorts" who popped a China bubble Fri, Aug 5 2011 UPDATE 5-Telus profit rises on smartphones, wireless growth Fri, Aug 5 2011 Analysis & Opinion Tech wrap: Cisco beats “low bar” Why Apple might just be the first $1 trillion company Related Topics Technology » Small Business » Media » An online coupon sent via email from Groupon is pictured on a laptop screen November 29, 2010 in Los Angeles. Credit: Reuters/Fred Prouser By Alistair Barr SAN FRANCISCO | Fri Aug 12, 2011 5:21pm EDT SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - Estimates that Groupon Inc is worth $25 billion are very high because the largest online daily deals company is losing money, Benchmark Co analyst Fred Moran said on Friday. Even based on a forgiving revenue multiple approach, a $25 billion valuation is rich compared to Internet and e-commerce companies including Google Inc, Amazon.com Inc and eBay Inc, Moran said in an interview. Moran is one of the few sell-side analysts to have published research on Groupon. The company is working toward an initial public offering later this year and many major investment banks and brokers are underwriters. That prevents them from publishing research opinions on the company. Benchmark is not an underwriter and the company does not deal in the stock, Moran said. Estimating Groupon's valuation is tricky because the company is growing quickly and nobody knows when it might start making money. Benchmark's Moran said he came up with the $25 billion valuation based on media reports. Moran reckons Groupon can generate $3.96 billion in revenue this year. A market value of $25 billion is roughly six times those sales. "Groupon's valuation will likely appear high relative to industry peers and our Internet e-commerce sector," the analyst wrote in a note to investors on Friday. A group of seven publicly-traded Internet and e-commerce companies, including Google, Amazon and eBay, traded below three times estimated 2011 revenue, according to a June 10 report by neXtup Research. NeXtup estimated Groupon was worth about $14 billion in that report, based on multiple of 3.5 times revenue. Moran expects Groupon to have a "successful" IPO. "To go public with losses would normally present a challenge," he said. "But the daily deals industry is so young and growing so fast, and Groupon is so dominant, that it can probably go public based on a revenue multiple." After Groupon disclosed second-quarter results this week, Moran raised his revenue estimate and cut his loss forecasts for the company. That was partly because Groupon spent less money on marketing. (Editing by Robert MacMillan) Technology Small Business Media Related Quotes and News Company Price Related News Tweet this Link this Share this Digg this Email Reprints   We welcome comments that advance the story through relevant opinion, anecdotes, links and data. If you see a comment that you believe is irrelevant or inappropriate, you can flag it to our editors by using the report abuse links. Views expressed in the comments do not represent those of Reuters. For more information on our comment policy, see http://blogs.reuters.com/fulldisclosure/2010/09/27/toward-a-more-thoughtful-conversation-on-stories/ Comments (1) Bobtail wrote: Ok…so Groupon is LOSING money. No one knows when it MIGHT make money..And its valued at $25 Billion?? Whats wrong with that picture? Aug 12, 2011 8:12pm EDT  --  Report as abuse See All Comments » Add Your Comment Social Stream (What's this?)   Edition: U.S. Africa Arabic Argentina Brazil Canada China France Germany India Italy Japan Latin America Mexico Russia Spain United Kingdom Back to top Reuters.com Business Markets World Politics Technology Opinion Money Pictures Videos Site Index Mobile Legal Bankruptcy Law California Legal New York Legal Securities Law Support & Contact Contact Us Advertise With Us Connect with Reuters Twitter   Facebook   LinkedIn   RSS Our Flagship financial information platform incorporating Reuters Insider An ultra-low latency infrastructure for electric trading and data distribution A connected approach to governance, risk and compliance Our next generation legal research platform Our global tax workstation Thomsonreuters.com About Thomson Reuters Investor Relations Careers Contact Us   Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. 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