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Indian inflation at 10-month low
AFP - Saturday, January 10
NEW DELHI (AFP) - - India's inflation rate fell to a 10-month low, government data showed Friday, on the heels of a second government stimulus package announced last week.
Annual inflation fell to 5.91 percent from 6.38 percent for the week ending December 27, due to falls in the price of food and manufactured goods, according to official figures.
Inflation has fallen sharply from a peak of just over 12 percent in August.
Economists said the central Reserve Bank of India (RBI) was expected to lower interest rates at its next scheduled monetary policy meeting, on January 27.
"We see a sharp drop in manufacturing prices. We expect a further price correction in coming months," said Siddhartha Sanyal, economist with Edelweiss Securities.
Analysts expect the RBI to cut short-term lending rate by 50 basis points.
"The RBI could lower rates further, but it is crucial for other banks to follow suit" and cut lending rates, said D.K. Joshi, principal economist with rating agency Crisil.
Various Indian government officials have projected economic growth of between seven and eight percent for the year to March 2009, down from nine percent.
However, many economists forecast growth of around 6.8 percent this year and as low as 5.5 percent the following year.
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