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Tuesday, 23 March 2010 - Japan government to face big fund shortage in 2011/12: Nikkei |
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    Edition: U.S. Article Comments (0) Save Email Print Reprints Most Popular Most Shared Florida says several states to file healthcare lawsuit 22 Mar 2010 Republicans target Democrats on US healthcare reform 22 Mar 2010 FACTBOX-US healthcare bill would provide immediate benefits 19 Mar 2010 UPDATE 1-Virginia to sue U.S. over healthcare reform 22 Mar 2010 Wal-Mart to slash grocery prices 19 Mar 2010 FACTBOX-US healthcare bill would provide immediate benefits 19 Mar 2010 Factbox: Healthcare bill would provide immediate benefits 22 Mar 2010 Florida says several states to file healthcare lawsuit 22 Mar 2010 UPDATE 1-Virginia to sue U.S. over healthcare reform 22 Mar 2010 Virgin Galactic spaceship makes first test flight 22 Mar 2010 Pictures Editor's Choice A selection of our best photos from the past 24 hours.  Slideshow  Japan government to face big fund shortage in 2011/12: Nikkei Rie Ishiguro and Stanley White TOKYO Mon Mar 22, 2010 11:48pm EDT TOKYO (Reuters) - Japan's government may need to issue more bonds or drop some spending plans as it faces a shortage of up to 7 trillion yen ($78 billion) in funds in the year to March 2012, the Nikkei newspaper reported. World  |  Japan An increase in bond issuance would raise the specter of a cut in Japan's sovereign ratings as the national debt is nearing 200 percent of its gross domestic product, analysts say. Fitch, Moody's and Standard and Poor's have all warned Japan it faces a ratings downgrade, which could raise the borrowing costs for the most indebted of the industrialized nations and rattle investors who are already nervous about Greece's debt and the sovereign risk facing other European nations. "The government has said it will launch a fiscal framework this year, and that could be the trigger for a downgrade if it doesn't go well," said Nobuto Yamazaki, executive fund manager at DIAM Asset Management in Tokyo. "There is also the possibility the government will alter its campaign pledges, because even the general public accepts that some of what the government is promising is unrealistic." The Democratic Party-led government plans to issue a record 44 trillion yen in new bonds in the budget for the business year beginning in April. It may need to issue even more in the following year from April 2011 as it faces a 6 trillion yen to 7 trillion yen fund shortage if it is to meet the party's election pledges while tax revenues shrink, the Nikkei said without citing sources. The government would have to cut spending, raise taxes or issue more new bonds to cover the shortfall, the paper said. The Nikkei said tax revenues were likely to fall to 42.6 trillion in 2011/12 from an expected 48 trillion in the year from April 1, a forecast some economists said might be too gloomy and probably reflected a desire by finance ministry mandarins to pressure politicians to do more on fiscal reform. The bond market didn't react immediately to the Nikkei story. Benchmark 10-year JGB futures rose 0.11 point to 138.74 as investors worried about whether Europe will agree to support Greece sought safety in government debt in other countries. Still, traders and investors said Japan's fiscal woes could push up bond yields in the long term as markets brace for a steadily increasing supply of new debt. Some analysts are sanguine because Japanese household savings, totaling around $15 trillion, are about the size of the U.S. economy, and this money regularly flows into Japanese government debt. "Japan has been able to run budget deficits for years, but that's because high savings means households and the corporate sector finance the public sector," said Shane Oliver, head of investment strategy and chief economist at AMP Capital Investors in Sydney. "This is a worry in the long term, but in the short term it's more of the same." The government will announce a long-term fiscal policy framework and a fiscal discipline target in June. A legally binding framework is one possibility, Finance Minister Naoto Kan told lawmakers in the parliament on Tuesday. Some investors and government officials worry that the fiscal framework could bring Japan closer to a downgrade if it does not include a credible plan to reduce the debt burden. The government has faced calls from outspoken banking minister Shizuka Kamei, head of a small coalition party, for more spending to stimulate the fragile economy before an upper house election expected in July. Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama has rejected such calls, helping markets shrug off Kamei's comments. Kamei's push last year for big spending was also unsuccessful. Analysts say pressure for more spending may grow as tumbling public support for the Democratic Party-led government raises the chances of a poor showing in the upper house election. The ruling party needs to avoid fueling market worries about rising government debt when it drafts its platform for the election, Democratic Party Vice Secretary General Goshi Hosono told Reuters in an interview on Friday. (Editing by Chris Gallagher) World Japan     Add a Comment More from Reuters Google risks China's ire with slap to censorship BEIJING/SHANGHAI (Reuters) - Google Inc shut its mainland Chinese-language portal and began rerouting searches to an uncensored Hong Kong-based site, unleashing a blast of ire from Beijing and prompting concerns over its future business in China. | Video Obama to revel in hard-fought healthcare victory | Video Asian shares up near 2-month peak | Video Fed to keep pro-growth policies: Chicago Fed chief Time Warner leads bids of up to $1.5 billion for MGM U.S. judge orders release of Guantanamo detainee » More Top News Reuters Breakingviews: Not as cheap as it looks The debate over fair value for the yuan is far from over, but a revaluation may not be the cure-all U.S. politicians are looking for.  Commentary  Case for appreciation not iron-clad "Too much noise" on yuan China Now comes the hard part With the healthcare victory under his belt, President Obama now has to sell it to dubious Americans as Republicans gear up their attack.   Full Article  GOP targets Democrats on healthcare Next battle in healthcare: lawsuits Healthcare: Buy now, pay later? Video: Healthcare reform scorecard Healthcare Reform © Copyright 2010 Thomson Reuters Editorial Editions: Africa Arabic Argentina Brazil Canada China France Germany India Italy Japan Latin America Mexico Russia Spain United Kingdom United States Reuters Contact Us Advertise With Us Help Journalism Handbook Archive Site Index Video Index   Analyst Research Mobile Newsletters RSS Podcasts Widgets Your View Labs Thomson Reuters Copyright Disclaimer Privacy Professional Products Professional Products Support Financial Products About Thomson Reuters Careers Online Products Acquisitions Monthly Buyouts Venture Capital Journal International Financing Review Project Finance International PEhub.com PE Week Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. Thomson Reuters journalists are subject to an Editorial Handbook which requires fair presentation and disclosure of relevant interests. NYSE and AMEX quotes delayed by at least 20 minutes. Nasdaq delayed by at least 15 minutes. For a complete list of exchanges and delays, please click here.

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