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Analysis: Talks fail to bridge gap with Iran
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By Fredrik Dahl
VIENNA (Reuters) - An agreement to hold more talks in the dispute over Iran's nuclear program was probably the best result major powers could have hoped for in their first meeting with the Islamic Republic in more than a year.
But...
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Iran's chief negotiator Saeed Jalili leaves after two day of talks between Iran and six world powers in Geneva, December 7, 2010. Iran and six major powers will meet again in Istanbul in late January to address basic concerns about Iran's nuclear programme, Ashton said on Tuesday. The EU is coordinating negotiations with Iran on its nuclear programme on behalf of the six powers -- the United States, Russia, China, Britain, France and Germany.
Credit: Reuters/Valentin Flauraud
By Fredrik Dahl
VIENNA |
Tue Dec 7, 2010 10:34am EST
VIENNA (Reuters) - An agreement to hold more talks in the dispute over Iran's nuclear program was probably the best result major powers could have hoped for in their first meeting with the Islamic Republic in more than a year.
But while the outcome of two days of discussions in Geneva -- a plan to meet again early next year in Turkey -- may allow the West to nurture hopes of possible progress toward resolving the row, there was no sign of any rapprochement in substance.
Iran's nuclear negotiator Saeed Jalili made clear his country would not back down over its uranium enrichment work, activity which the West suspects is aimed at developing bombs but Tehran says is for peaceful electricity generation.
The six big powers involved in efforts to find a diplomatic solution -- the United States, Russia, France, Germany, Britain and China -- want Iran to curb such activity to reassure the world about its intentions.
But analysts say Iran's hardline leaders, who use the nuclear program to rally nationalist support and distract from domestic problems, are unlikely ever to agree to this demand.
"This government has obviously linked the development of the nuclear program so closely to its own legitimacy that it would be difficult for them to backtrack on it," said Gala Riani of the IHS Global Insight consultancy.
Western officials say tougher international sanctions imposed on Iran since June are hurting the oil-dependent economy, and they hope this will persuade Tehran to enter serious negotiations about its nuclear program.
Iran dismisses the impact of these penalties, saying trade and other measures imposed since the 1979 Islamic revolution toppled the U.S.-backed shah have made the country stronger.
Such rhetoric is to be expected from Tehran, but experts and diplomats are far from confident that external pressure alone will be enough to force Tehran to climb down, with some suggesting the big powers may also have to compromise.
Echoing the views of others, analyst Nicole Stracke of the Dubai-based Gulf Research Center said the West could agree to continued Iranian uranium enrichment, which can have both civilian and military purposes.
Under this scenario, Iran would need to let the U.N. nuclear watchdog carry out more intrusive, wider-ranging inspections to make sure it is not secretly developing nuclear weapons.
"It would be painful but it could be acceptable for the U.S.," Stracke said about the possibility of the powers backing down on their demand that Iran suspends all enrichment-related activities, provided that Tehran accepts tougher inspections.
"It puts the ball in the Iranian corner."
SUCCESS POSSIBLE?
In Geneva, a U.S. official said enrichment suspension remains the powers' position, mandated by U.N. resolutions.
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Comments (1)
commondsence wrote:
nothing new here!
1] who pays the bill if iran gets a nuke??
2] who pays the bill if iran nukes are taken out?
the area nations do not want to live with iran holding a nuke!!
the issue is stability in the middle east.
iran is boxed in, and containing the nuke is a must to the area nations. and that will be done with a hammer.
Dec 07, 2010 9:29am EST -- Report as abuse
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