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Dubai cameras shine light on killers' dark arts
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Dubai cameras shine light on killers' dark arts
William Maclean, Security Correspondent
LONDON
Fri Feb 26, 2010 7:38am EST
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LONDON (Reuters) - Suspected Israeli assassins have inadvertently given the world an unusual master class in clandestine killing in broadcast surveillance video of them going about their murderous trade.
World
There is cold-eyed admiration in the intelligence community for a near flawless "hit" by the nondescript group of travelers who executed a Hamas commander undetected within hours of his arrival in Dubai thanks to strong teamwork and preparation.
Putting aside questions of morality -- not core concerns in espionage -- security experts say the skills on display to a fascinated global TV and online audience are those of a national intelligence service adept at hiding in plain sight.
The fact that no one can definitely say which one -- despite strong signs it was Israel -- simply underscores the notion that this was a truly clandestine state service at work, they say.
"They got in, killed the guy and disappeared, without leaving proof of who they were," said Robert Ayers, a former U.S. intelligence officer.
"It doesn't get any better than that."
Israel has not denied or confirmed it played any role.
Experts say the fact they would be caught on security cameras would have been factored in, although Dubai's decision to publish the photos might have raised eyebrows.
Hamas military commander Mahmoud al-Mabhouh was killed on January 19 in his hotel room in what Dubai police say they are near certain was a hit by Israel's Mossad spy agency.
SPIES: BALDING AND PUDGY PREFERRED
The killers and their support team -- shorts-wearing tennis players, a black-haired young woman in a business suit, heavyset men in leisure gear, a bearded middle-aged man wearing a cap -- look forgettable. Not too smart, not too dowdy. Like anyone.
"The best intelligence agent in the world is five foot six, balding and pudgy," said Ayers. "Being middle-aged can help."
Dubai authorities rapidly dissected the operation thanks to the ubiquity of surveillance cameras at hotels and the airport. The images have bounced around cyberspace, providing a gripping dose of the "reality TV" in vogue among global audiences.
"This was not a drone killing, or some kind of video game. This was visceral," said Roderick Jones, a former British Special Branch police officer.
Dubai is hunting for at least 26 people over the killing, and some commentators have been struck by the number, suggesting this is a cumbersome number for an assassination squad.
But the prevailing view in the intelligence community for now is that this indicates the seriousness of the killers' intent.
"It's entirely normal. Things can and do go wrong, and if they do, you need to get out. For that you need support," a former member of a European intelligence service said.
"On the video they do a good job of looking relaxed. This comes from knowing you have backup in the field," he added.
Phillip Knightley, a historian of espionage, said the size of the team was not excessive, saying: "You can never have too many people on the ground."
The team may not have known which hotel Mahbouh was going to, requiring them to stake out several. They could not be sure he would not have bodyguards, so men had to be on hand for that.
Some team members may have flown to Dubai beforehand for reconnaissance, or afterwards to gather up loose equipment and paperwork or watch how police were handling the case.
LARGE TEAM INDICATES SERIOUSNESS
Mahbouh had to be followed in Dubai. Surveillance is labor intensive: The more spotters are tracking a target, the less chance there is that the target detects it. Normal "foot surveillance" of a single target needs five people, Ayers said.
"The use of a large team lents itself to the idea that it was professionally planned," said security expert Henry Wilkinson of Janusian risk advisory consultants.
Outside the Middle East, it is the killers' use of cloned passports of real nationals of Britain, Ireland, Australia and France that has caused the most uproar.
Some analysts suspect the governments of these countries may order a downgrading of intelligence cooperation with Israel for a few months as a form of retaliation.
Israel, believed to give more actionable intelligence to these nations than it receives from them, may not be that worried. But it will likely stop using passports of those nations for a couple of years or so, to mollify concern.
While governments may be publicly aghast at the use of false passports, they know the tactic is a fact of life in espionage.
(Editing by Samia nakhoul)
World
Comments
See All Comments (8) | Post Comment
Feb 26, 2010 8:10am EST
Was it the same Mossad team that celebrated while they filmed the Twin Towers fall? Google “Israeli art students and 911″.
Robcph
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Feb 26, 2010 8:44am EST
question is why we support that little spec of desert nation with sevaral billions of our tax dollars
bibousa
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Feb 26, 2010 8:48am EST
I don’t understand why UAE is so concerned with bringing these guys to justice. Aren’t UAE supposed allies with the US? I use the term “allies” loosely. It leads one to believe UAE may support Hamas.
Death2Communism
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Feb 26, 2010 8:57am EST
What is the difference between this hit and the hits on Taliban and al Qaida leaders using rockets fired from drones and on the other side, by the Taliban and al Qaida attacks on Afghan and Pakistani leaders … an assassination is far safer for civilians.
50Otis50
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Feb 26, 2010 9:05am EST
Let’s not forget all the billions given directly and indirectly to repressive Arab dictatorships, and all the money we pay for oil going to support dictators who do not take care of their own citizens?? (not one freely elected Arab country yet ever except maybe Iraq where they have had elections…)
booradley
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Feb 26, 2010 9:45am EST
How many Palestinians and Israelis will not have to die now because of this execution of a prover of death.
Curly
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Feb 26, 2010 10:01am EST
Kuddos to the people who mastermined this great feat.
Most of the time dictators or other rulers who do not want to play the game of the global elite just end up dead any way.
Anna123
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Feb 26, 2010 10:29am EST
The target was an arms dealers with (maybe) many enemies. He was in the UAE on a fake passport, one of many he had. Does the UAE care that terrorists with fake ID like to do business there? The hit could have been done by any of a number of states, mafias, oil or munitions firms, etc. If fingers point at Israel, it was probably someone else. How entertaining.
RicRic
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