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Edition: U.S. Article Comments (0) Save Email Print Reprints Most Popular Most Shared BP sees progress on new oil containment system 2:50am EDT Tired Gay succumbs to Dix in 200 meters 03 Jul 2010 Germans shell-shocked by oracle octopus 06 Jul 2010 Japan PM's party at risk of setback in Sunday vote 10 Jul 2010 Spain grab World Cup with extra-time goal | Video 11 Jul 2010 Uganda bombings kill 64 as World Cup fans targeted 2:15am EDT German fans want revenge grilling of oracle octopus 08 Jul 2010 Federal Reserve worry list gets longer 11 Jul 2010 White House: Republicans could win control of House 11 Jul 2010 U.S. troops face Afghan enemy too young to kill 11 Jul 2010 Tired Gay succumbs to Dix in 200 meters 03 Jul 2010 Uganda bombings kill 64 as World Cup fans targeted 2:15am EDT Germans shell-shocked by oracle octopus 06 Jul 2010 Spain grab World Cup with extra-time goal | Video 11 Jul 2010 Fidel Castro makes first appearance in four years 10 Jul 2010 Rising sea drives Panama islanders to mainland 1:09am EDT Uruguay's Forlan named player of World Cup 11 Jul 2010 Pandora founder pursues bigger piece of radio pie 09 Jul 2010 German fans want revenge grilling of oracle octopus 08 Jul 2010 BP sees progress on new oil containment system 2:50am EDT Australian PM may call election within days: media Digg This Tweet This Share on LinkedIn Share on Facebook Related News Where next for climate policy in Australia? Thu, Jul 8 2010 Australian Greens set to be kingmaker after poll Thu, Jul 8 2010 Q+A-When will Australian PM call elections after mine deal? Thu, Jul 1 2010 Australian Greens propose A$23/ton carbon tax Tue, Jun 29 2010 WRAPUP 1-Australia PM seeks to end mining row, may call poll Tue, Jun 29 2010 Related Topics World » Australia's Prime Minister Julia Gillard makes an address during a news conference to announce the government's proposed minerals and resources tax at Parliament House in Canberra July 2, 2010. Credit: Reuters/Tim Wimborne By Michael Perry SYDNEY | Mon Jul 12, 2010 2:57am EDT SYDNEY (Reuters) - Australia's ruling Labor party is set for a narrow victory in upcoming elections, two new opinion polls showed on Monday, as speculation grew that Prime Minister Julia Gillard could call an election as soon as this week. While the robust economy, in its 17th year of growth, should be a winning ticket for Gillard, voters believe the opposition is the better economic manager, according to the polls. Gillard has also been seeking to reframe government policy in key areas such as climate and asylum seekers. Opinion polls published in Fairfax and News Ltd newspapers put Labor ahead of the conservative opposition at 52 percent versus 48 percent. "They're in front and they've got a primary vote that can deliver victory," John Stirton, research director with pollster Nielsen, told local radio. Gillard, 48, is Australia's first woman prime minister. She replaced Kevin Rudd on June 24, in a move that has resurrected Labor's electoral standing and reshaped Australian politics. Speculation Gillard may be set to call an election grew after Governor-General Quentin Bryce delayed leaving for a trip to Europe by a day until Saturday, sparking talk that Gillard could ask the representative of Australia's head of state, Queen Elizabeth, to dissolve parliament as early as this week. Gillard declined to comment on the timing when questioned by reporters on a trip to Adelaide, but said in a speech "in the days to come I will be putting forward more detailed arguments about some of the biggest challenges facing our nation. "I will be explaining the steps I think we need to take and asking for people's consideration of those steps. I will ask for the Australian people's trust to move Australia forward," she said. Political commentators said Gillard's words meant she may seek to call an election on Thursday or Friday this week. But commentators warned that Labor still risked losing an election expected in late August. "The coming of Julia Gillard to the Labor Party leadership appears to have stopped the decay in her party's fortunes," said The Age newspaper's national editor Tony Wright. "She has stopped the Rudd rot, though she hasn't been able to make any serious inroads into Labor's loss of the disaffected to the Greens." Labor took power in 2007 promising to tackle climate change, but under Rudd failed to implement a carbon trading scheme, a disappointment that saw Green voters desert Rudd. Labor needs to woo them back to ensure victory over the Liberal-National opposition. Gillard has acted quickly on key policies, ending a three-month row with mining companies over a new tax that was hurting the government in the polls, and proposing a regional asylum processing center, possibly in East Timor, to curb boatpeople arrivals. The tax deal has been generally accepted by voters, but her asylum policy has received criticism for being in its infancy. The cabinet will meet on Tuesday and was expected to discuss a new climate policy, but it is not clear whether Gillard will go as far as announcing a carbon tax as an interim measure before a full blown carbon trading scheme can be created. She has said a carbon price is inevitable, probably via a market-based scheme, but that any decision on such a scheme would not be until 2012 and not without community consensus. But voters want quick action on climate change, according to opinion polls and public comments in local media. Until now the political risk of announcing a carbon price ahead of an election has been the threat of rising power bills. But two new surveys suggest power bills will rise and energy investment will fall because of a lack of a carbon price. The lack of an emissions trading scheme and price on carbon would cost the Australian economy and consumers an extra A$2 billion by 2020 due to investment in less energy efficient coal-fired power plants, The Climate Institute estimates. (Additional reporting by Ed Davies; Editing by Alex Richardson) World Add a Comment *We welcome comments that advance the story directly or with relevant tangential information. We try to block comments that use offensive language or appear to be spam and review comments frequently to ensure they meet our standards. If you see a comment that you believe is irrelevant or inappropriate, you can flag it to our editors by using the report abuse links. Views expressed in the comments do not represent those of Reuters. © Copyright 2010 Thomson Reuters Editorial Editions: Africa Arabic Argentina Brazil Canada China France Germany India Italy Japan Latin America Mexico Russia Spain United Kingdom United States Reuters Contact Us Advertise With Us Help Journalism Handbook Archive Site Index Video Index Reader Feedback Analyst Research Mobile Newsletters RSS Podcasts Widgets Your View Labs Thomson Reuters Copyright Disclaimer Privacy Professional Products Professional Products Support Financial Products About Thomson Reuters Careers Online Products Acquisitions Monthly Buyouts Venture Capital Journal International Financing Review Project Finance International PEhub.com PE Week FindLaw Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. Thomson Reuters journalists are subject to an Editorial Handbook which requires fair presentation and disclosure of relevant interests. NYSE and AMEX quotes delayed by at least 20 minutes. Nasdaq delayed by at least 15 minutes. For a complete list of exchanges and delays, please click here.

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