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Edition: U.S. Article Comments (5) Save Email Print Reprints Most Popular Most Shared Tired Gay succumbs to Dix in 200 meters 03 Jul 2010 Election looms for Democrats: How bad can it be? 14 Jul 2010 Iran nuclear scientist returns home from U.S. | Video 3:08am EDT CORRECTED - WRAPUP 1-BP runs crucial test on Gulf oil leak 1:29am EDT More than 1,000 exposed to dengue in Florida: CDC 13 Jul 2010 CORRECTED - WRAPUP 1-BP runs crucial test on Gulf oil leak 1:29am EDT Apple to hold iPhone press conference Friday 14 Jul 2010 BP runs crucial test on Gulf oil leak | Video 2:19am EDT UK Stocks -- Factors to watch on Thursday July 15 2:05am EDT Asian stocks under pressure but China data helps | Video 3:00am EDT Tired Gay succumbs to Dix in 200 meters 03 Jul 2010 NTT to buy Dimension Data for $3.4 billion: report 1:52am EDT More than 1,000 exposed to dengue in Florida: CDC 13 Jul 2010 Apple to hold iPhone press conference Friday 14 Jul 2010 Higher vitamin E intake tied to lower dementia risk 13 Jul 2010 Vivus' weight-loss drug faces key U.S. test 1:00am EDT Brightest star explosion seen blinds satellite 14 Jul 2010 Russia curators plan appeal against art conviction 13 Jul 2010 Israeli attack on Iran would start long war: report 14 Jul 2010 PersonalFinance: The lure of low mortgage rates 14 Jul 2010 Israeli attack on Iran would start long war: report Digg This Tweet This Share on LinkedIn Share on Facebook Factbox Factbox: U.S., EU and U.N. sanctions on Iran Wed, Jul 14 2010 Related News Timeline: Missing Iranian nuclear scientist surfaces Wed, Jul 14 2010 Timeline: Missing Iranian nuclear scientist surfaces Wed, Jul 14 2010 Vanished Iranian scientist turns up in Washington Tue, Jul 13 2010 Strong Russian remarks on Iran please Washington Mon, Jul 12 2010 Related Topics World » An Israeli soldier stands beside a tank in Avivim near the Israel-Lebanon border May 23, 2010. Credit: Reuters/Baz Ratner By Adrian Croft LONDON | Wed Jul 14, 2010 7:07pm EDT LONDON (Reuters) - An Israeli attack on Iranian nuclear facilities would start a long war and probably not prevent Iran from eventually acquiring nuclear weapons, a think-tank said on Thursday. Oxford Research Group, which promotes non-violent solutions to conflict, said military action should be ruled out as a response to Iran's possible nuclear weapons ambitions. "An Israeli attack on Iran would be the start of a protracted conflict that would be unlikely to prevent the eventual acquisition of nuclear weapons by Iran and might even encourage it," it said in a report. It would also lead to instability and unpredictable security consequences for the region and the wider world, it added. The United Nations Security Council imposed a fourth round of sanctions on Iran last month over a nuclear program the West suspects is aimed at developing atomic weapons in secret. Iran says it wants nuclear energy for peaceful uses only. The report, by Paul Rogers, professor of peace studies at the University of Bradford, said U.S. military action against Iran appeared unlikely but Israel's capabilities had increased. "Long-range strike aircraft acquired from the United States, combined with an improved fleet of tanker aircraft, the deployment of long-range drones and the probable availability of support facilities in northeast Iraq and Azerbaijan, all increase Israel's potential for action against Iran," it said. Israeli leaders usually speak only of leaving all options on the table, although Israeli Deputy Prime Minister Moshe Yaalon said in May that Israel had the capability to hit Iran. Israel is widely believed to have the Middle East's only nuclear arsenal. The Jewish state neither confirms nor denies this. THREE TO SEVEN YEARS The Oxford report estimated it might take three to seven years for Iran to develop a small arsenal of nuclear weapons if it decided to do so. It said there was no firm evidence such a decision had been taken by the Islamic Republic. Any Israeli strike would be focused not only on destroying nuclear and missile targets but would also hit factories and research centers and even university laboratories to damage Iranian expertise, the report said. This would cause many civilian casualties, it added. Military action would include the direct bombing of targets in Tehran and probably include attempts to kill technocrats who managed Iran's nuclear and missile programs, the report said. Iranian nuclear scientist Shahram Amiri alleged on Wednesday that had been abducted in Saudi Arabia and flown to the United States. Washington denies kidnapping him. Iran's Foreign Ministry said Amiri was on his way back home. Iran's responses to an Israeli attack could include withdrawing from the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and immediate action to produce nuclear weapons to deter further attacks, the report said. They could also include missile attacks on Israel, closing the Strait of Hormuz to push up oil prices and paramilitary or missile attacks on Western oil facilities in the Gulf. After a first strike, Israel might have to carry out regular air strikes to stop Iran developing atom bombs and medium-range missiles, the report said. "Iranian responses would also be long-term, ushering in a lengthy war with global as well as regional implications," Rogers said. Other options open to the West were to redouble efforts to get a diplomatic settlement or accept that Iran may eventually acquire a nuclear capability and use that as the start of a process of balanced regional de-nuclearization, the report said. (Editing by Mark Heinrich) World Comments See All Comments (5) | Post Comment Jul 14, 2010 8:48pm EDT No duh! A nuclear Iran would be even worse. Thats why we need sanctions that work. USAalltheway Report As Abusive Jul 14, 2010 9:58pm EDT “If these Muslim Nations don’t want to play nice in the sand box, then kick them out.” jfz50 ,First take a nice walk around your trailer park then see if you can score some quarters so that you can take a shower cause you stink!!! I am no fan of iranian government but this kind of ignorant talk is very unamerican and divisive instead we should work with iranian oppostion if we really like to see any results. purified Report As Abusive Jul 15, 2010 1:44am EDT Israel has about 100 Atom Bombs, if Iran have few, it wouldn’t change the Middle East picture. sadat Report As Abusive Jul 15, 2010 1:47am EDT It is amazing how you americans manage to keep fooling yourself despite the dumbest arguements ever. Iran has not attacked a country in 400 years. U.S. is jumping around the world murdering hundreds of thousands of civilians on a regular basis, all the while accusing iran of “developing nuclear weapons”, aparently for the sole purpose of nuking europe or israel as soon as it acquires them. Who do you think you’re fooling here? Nobody but yourselves with your ridiculous propaganda channels like Fox News which could easily stand shoulder-to-shoulder with the most shameless of soviet TV stations. Get a grip, nobody is buying your crap around the world, maybe Israel. Alyosha Report As Abusive Jul 15, 2010 2:53am EDT Now the Iranian people are going to be sanctioned to death.Not happy with the devastation caused for the Iraqi people with the sanctions America now wants to see the Iranian children with malnutrition.After destroying the only democracy Iran ever had, America now wants to destroy its people. What a world diddums Report As Abusive See All Comments (5) Add a Comment *We welcome comments that advance the story directly or with relevant tangential information. We try to block comments that use offensive language or appear to be spam and review comments frequently to ensure they meet our standards. If you see a comment that you believe is irrelevant or inappropriate, you can flag it to our editors by using the report abuse links. Views expressed in the comments do not represent those of Reuters. © Copyright 2010 Thomson Reuters Editorial Editions: Africa Arabic Argentina Brazil Canada China France Germany India Italy Japan Latin America Mexico Russia Spain United Kingdom United States Reuters Contact Us Advertise With Us Help Journalism Handbook Archive Site Index Video Index Reader Feedback Analyst Research Mobile Newsletters RSS Podcasts Widgets Your View Labs Thomson Reuters Copyright Disclaimer Privacy Professional Products Professional Products Support Financial Products About Thomson Reuters Careers Online Products Acquisitions Monthly Buyouts Venture Capital Journal International Financing Review Project Finance International PEhub.com PE Week FindLaw Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. 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