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Tuesday, 18 May 2010 - Israel plays wargame assuming Iran has nuclear bomb |
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    Edition: U.S. Article Comments (6) Save Email Print Reprints Most Popular Most Shared Iran fuel deal would not fix nuclear issue-France 17 May 2010 Iran says will continue 20 percent enrichment 17 May 2010 Pesticides tied to ADHD in children in U.S. study 17 May 2010 Apple's iPhone replaces BlackBerry for some bankers 17 May 2010 U.S. reverses stance on treaty to regulate arms trade 14 Oct 2009 BP says turns corner in oil spill | Video 17 May 2010 Europe blocks U.S. emergency exit door 16 May 2010 Wall St recovers late to edge up on bargain hunting 17 May 2010 Thai troops close in on protest encampment | Video 17 May 2010 Supreme Court bars some life terms for juveniles 17 May 2010 Pesticides tied to ADHD in children in U.S. study 17 May 2010 Apple's iPhone replaces BlackBerry for some bankers 17 May 2010 U.S. reverses stance on treaty to regulate arms trade 14 Oct 2009 Iran says will continue 20 percent enrichment 17 May 2010 Study suggests processed meat a real health risk 17 May 2010 Supreme Court bars some life terms for juveniles 17 May 2010 Worst may be yet to come in deepening Thai crisis 17 May 2010 WHO study has no clear answer on phones and cancer 16 May 2010 Thai troops close in on protest encampment | Video 17 May 2010 Amorous Aussie roo has outback residents hopping 14 May 2010 Live Event Afghanistan: The way forward Join us from 6:45 pm ET on Tuesday, May 18 for a unique, open and frank on-the-record debate in which our panel of experts, steeped in experience of the Afghan conflict, will lead a discussion on the options for Afghanistan’s future and the wider strategic picture.  Live Coverage  Israel plays wargame assuming Iran has nuclear bomb Dan Williams HERZLIYA, Israel Mon May 17, 2010 5:21pm EDT Related News Timeline: Iran's nuclear program Mon, May 17 2010 Israel sees no discord with U.S. on nuclear issue Tue, May 11 2010 Israel primed for war on Iran: Netanyahu deputy Mon, May 10 2010 Israel won't move on U.N. call for nuclear-free zone Fri, May 7 2010 Iran accepts Brazil mediation to revive atom deal Wed, May 5 2010 HERZLIYA, Israel (Reuters) - A nuclear-armed Iran would blunt Israel's military autonomy, a wargame involving former Israeli generals and diplomats has concluded, though some players predicted Tehran would also exercise restraint. World Sunday's event at a campus north of Tel Aviv followed other high-profile Iran simulations in Israel and the United States in recent months. But it broke new ground by assuming the existence of what both countries have pledged to prevent: an Iranian bomb. "Iranian deterrence proved dizzyingly effective," Eitan Ben-Eliahu, a retired air force commander who played the Israeli defense minister, said in his summary of the 20-team meeting at the Interdisciplinary Center (IDC) Lauder School of Government. Though the wargame saw Iran declaring itself a nuclear power in 2011, the ensuing confrontations were by proxy, in Lebanon. In one, emboldened Hezbollah guerrillas fired missiles at the Defense Ministry in Tel Aviv. That was followed by U.S. and Israeli intelligence findings that Iran had slipped radioactive materials to its Lebanese cohort, to assemble a crude device. Neither move drew Israeli attacks, though Ben-Eliahu said his delegation had received discreet encouragement from Arab rivals of Iran to "go all the way" in retaliating. Instead, Israel conferred with the United States, which publicly supported its ally's "right to self-defense" and mobilized military reinforcements for the region while quietly insisting the Israelis stand down to give crisis talks a chance. "As far as the United States was concerned, Israel was trigger-happy. It sought to use the Hezbollah (missile) attack as justification for what the United States was told would be an all-out war," said Dan Kurtzer, a former U.S. ambassador to Israel who flew in to play President Barack Obama at the IDC. Kurtzer voiced satisfaction with his team's response to the "dirty bomb," which entailed cajoling U.N. Security Council powers into mounting an armed intervention against Hezbollah. "Countries like China and Russia have their own terrorists, and don't want to see them getting nuclear weapons," he said. "In certain circumstances, agile U.S. diplomacy can actually work in this region, and it ends up not only leaving Israel in check but it also ends up (with Washington) leading a willing international coalition." STRATEGIC BALANCE Those playing Iran and Hezbollah went as far as to question the very premise that Tehran would let the Lebanese guerrillas goad Israel into a potentially catastrophic fight, or give the nuclear know-how that would worry even sympathizers like Syria. Aharon Zeevi-Farkash, a retired Israeli intelligence chief acting as Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, insisted Iran would regard its bomb as a means of "self-defense and strategic balance" -- an allusion to Israel's own, assumed atomic arsenal. Such assessments are seldom voiced by Israel's rightist government, which describes a nuclear-armed Iran as a mortal danger. Where Israeli officials would once make veiled threats to strike Iran, now they often try to warn the West against accommodating their foe, which denies seeking atomic weapons. In what appeared to signal government discomfort with the wargame, a senior Israeli defense official who had been due to attend withdrew at short notice. A Foreign Ministry spokesman said a written summary would be studied at government-level. That left Tzipi Livni, the centrist head of Israel's opposition, as the most prominent observer of the IDC event. "As leader of the free world, the United States has the responsibility of leading more effective sanctions that can turn around, absolutely, this shift from a process of stopping (Iran's nuclear aims) to a process of acceptance," she said. While the simulation found no immediate international drive to tackle Iran, Kurtzer attributed this to passive factors such as U.S. war-fatigue. He complained of a failure to address ramifications such as a nuclear arms race among Arab powers. Some of the participants -- including those playing Israel, the Palestinians and Syria -- saw an opportunity for renewed Middle East peacemaking that might head off Iran's ascendancy. "This was tactical, but of course tactics can often serve real strategic interests, both for us and for the Americans," said Zalman Shoval, a former Israeli ambassador to Washington, after playing Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. World Comments See All Comments (6)  |  Post Comment May 17, 2010 6:14pm EDT I don’t want a single Israeli weapon caught sitting on its launch platform when the real shooting starts! captainjim Report As Abusive     May 17, 2010 6:30pm EDT Is Israel still around? Uggg the more and more I read, the more I want to side with Iran. Oops that probably put me on the terrorist watch list. Fleetfoxxx Report As Abusive     May 17, 2010 6:42pm EDT Its funny how every aggressive imperialist act is dependent on rehashing in some new form the same old lie about “threats” and “weapons of mass destruction.” The only real Nuclear threat is the United States and Israel with their huge nuclear arsenals and a record of violence. Rfairb Report As Abusive     May 17, 2010 8:40pm EDT It’s amazing. Israel plays a simulated war game in which the US is goaded along like some helpless mindless blind ogre to go against Iran, and fight another Middle East war for Israel. boreal Report As Abusive     May 17, 2010 8:43pm EDT The world needs a Nuremberg II Trial. The world’s turmoil is again caused by Europe – who established and created a host of fictional Arab states 120 years ago when oil was discovered, and signed secretive, corrupt contracts with dictatorial Regimes which have spread terror to retain their thrones. Palestine and Pakistan are robbed countries, fostered by Europe to please the Arab regimes it created. Palestine is the name Europe originally dumped on Judea in 70 CE – the Jewish homeland, not an Islamic or Arab one. Europe is engaged in a PC Holocaust against Israel today – only this is done at the UN instead of Europe’s death camps. At least the Nazis were honest about it. BUTseriously Report As Abusive     May 17, 2010 10:30pm EDT I think Israel has been block bully long enough..now comes the new game.. gramps Report As Abusive       See All Comments (6)       Add a Comment *We welcome comments that advance the story directly or with relevant tangential information. We try to block comments that use offensive language or appear to be spam and review comments frequently to ensure they meet our standards. If you see a comment that you believe is irrelevant or inappropriate, you can flag it to our editors by using the report abuse links. Views expressed in the comments do not represent those of Reuters.   © Copyright 2010 Thomson Reuters Editorial Editions: Africa Arabic Argentina Brazil Canada China France Germany India Italy Japan Latin America Mexico Russia Spain United Kingdom United States Reuters Contact Us Advertise With Us Help Journalism Handbook Archive Site Index Video Index   Analyst Research Mobile Newsletters RSS Podcasts Widgets Your View Labs Thomson Reuters Copyright Disclaimer Privacy Professional Products Professional Products Support Financial Products About Thomson Reuters Careers Online Products Acquisitions Monthly Buyouts Venture Capital Journal International Financing Review Project Finance International PEhub.com PE Week Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. Thomson Reuters journalists are subject to an Editorial Handbook which requires fair presentation and disclosure of relevant interests. NYSE and AMEX quotes delayed by at least 20 minutes. Nasdaq delayed by at least 15 minutes. For a complete list of exchanges and delays, please click here.

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