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Edition: U.S. Article Save Email Print Reprints Most Popular Most Shared Obama rallies troops on first Afghan trip | Video 28 Mar 2010 Bombers kill at least 38 in Moscow subway | Video 11:31am EDT Junk food addiction may be clue to obesity: study 28 Mar 2010 Obama did not snub Israeli PM: Axelrod 28 Mar 2010 Sex virus blamed for rise in head and neck cancers 26 Mar 2010 Junk food addiction may be clue to obesity: study 28 Mar 2010 Bombers kill at least 38 in Moscow subway | Video 11:31am EDT Sex virus blamed for rise in head and neck cancers 26 Mar 2010 U.S. lobbies a hurdle in Mexico drug war: Calderon 28 Mar 2010 Obama rallies troops on first Afghan trip | Video 28 Mar 2010 Israel to focus on key Iran nuclear targets in any strike Dan Williams JERUSALEM Mon Mar 29, 2010 7:56am EDT Related News Israel-Iran standoff challenges Mideast, investors 7:56am EDT Israel, Iran pose impossible conundrum for markets 7:56am EDT Iran strike would test resilient Israeli markets 7:56am EDT Scenarios: Global impact if Israel strikes Iran 7:56am EDT Timeline: Israel and Iran statements 7:56am EDT This handout satellite image of the Natanz Uranium Enrichment plant in Iran, taken June 11, 2007, shows the facility being built by Iran with a new tunnel facility inside a mountain near a key nuclear complex. Credit: Reuters/Courtesy of DigitalGlobe-ISIS/Handout JERUSALEM (Reuters) - Should Israel attack Iranian nuclear facilities, it would probably carry out precision strikes while making every effort not to hit the oil sector or other civilian sites. World Past Israeli operations, such as the 1981 bombing of Iraq's Osirak atomic reactor and a similar sortie against Syria in 2007, suggest a strategy of one-off pinpoint raids, due both to military limitations and a desire to avoid wider war. A simulation at the Brookings Institution in Washington last December theorized that Israel, intent on halting what the West suspects is Tehran's covert quest for atomic arms, would launch a sneak attack against half a dozen nuclear facilities in Iran. Israel might then argue the mission "had created a terrific opportunity for the West to pressure Iran, weaken it, and possibly even undermine the regime," Brookings expert Kenneth Pollack wrote in a summary of the wargame, though he saw little chance of the Obama administration looking kindly on this tack. Israel's advanced F-15 and F-16 warplanes have the range to bomb western Iran and strike further inland with air-to-air refueling and using stealth technology to pass through the air space of intermediate hostile Arab nations. Israel could also launch Jericho ballistic missiles with conventional warheads, according to a 2009 report by the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington. Israel's three German-built Dolphin submarines are believed to be capable of carrying conventional and nuclear-tipped cruise missiles. They would have to transit through Egypt's Suez Canal -- as one did last year -- to reach the Gulf. Special forces might be deployed to spot targets and possibly launch sabotage attacks. Israel has also been developing "cyber warfare" capabilities and could use this together with other activities by Mossad secret service agents on the ground, security sources say. Israel would not want to risk drawing in Iranian allies like Hezbollah, Hamas or Syria. Israel also does not want to damage ties with neutral Arab powers or the United States. And finally - speaking in favor of a short, sharp assault - its conventional forces are designed for brief border wars, not prolonged action. STRATEGIC FOCUS "If there were to be an Israeli attack, the only thing that might be contemplated by Israel would be a precision strike focused on nuclear facilities alone," said Emily Landau, senior research associate at Tel Aviv University's Institute for National Security Studies. "Israel has no issue with Iran beyond the fact that it is developing a military nuclear capability, coupled with the harsh rhetoric coming out of Iran," she said. Israel would be loath to attack Iranian energy assets, like oil production and shipping facilities. This could stoke the inevitable spike in oil prices, turning international opinion against Israel, while alienating the Iranian dissident movement. Still, Israel could be forced to broaden its target book. Should Iran retaliate for a sneak Israeli strike with Shehab missile launches against Tel Aviv, for example, the Netanyahu government would find it hard not to escalate. It would need outside assurances that the Shehab salvoes would stop -- say, through a U.S. military enlistment against Iran, or a truce. "It would obviously not be in Israel's interest to enter into any wider conflict with Iran, because there is always a wider danger of escalation. When conflict spirals, it is hard to say how it will end," Landau said. After losing the tactical edge of any initial sneak ambush, Israeli forces would find it hard to keep up precision attacks. Iran would be on alert for hostile warplanes, submarines and commandos. Iraq, Turkey or Saudi Arabia -- which a 2006 study by the Massachusetts Institutes of Technology saw Israeli warplanes overflying en route to Iran -- would shut down their air space. The Israeli public, meanwhile, would chafe at living in shelters and the loss of troops. In such a situation, Israel might rely increasingly on "stand-off" weaponry such as the Jerichos, which Jane's missile experts believe are accurate only to around 1,000 yards (meters). This could mean more damage to Iran's civilian infrastructure, including the lifeblood energy sector. (Editing by Samia Nakhoul/Janet McBridre) World More from Reuters Blasts rock Moscow subway stations Suicide bombers detonated explosives on two packed Moscow subway trains during morning rush hour, in what officials say is the worst attack in the Russian capital for six years. Video | Full Article Medvedev vows to root out "terrorists" Factbox: Moscow subway a Stalinist prestige project Your View: Send us your photos from the scene Russia Special Report: High-rollers and a Vegas giant A murder-for-hire case masterminded by the head of one of China's triad organized crime groups sheds light on their ties to Macau's booming gambling industry and raises troubling questions about one of the world's largest gaming companies. Full Article China Top 100 hospitals in the country Do you live near a top hospital? Our interactive graphic maps out the best 100 on Thomson Reuters' annual list. Full Coverage | Full Article Healthcare Reform © Copyright 2010 Thomson Reuters Editorial Editions: Africa Arabic Argentina Brazil Canada China France Germany India Italy Japan Latin America Mexico Russia Spain United Kingdom United States Reuters Contact Us Advertise With Us Help Journalism Handbook Archive Site Index Video Index Analyst Research Mobile Newsletters RSS Podcasts Widgets Your View Labs Thomson Reuters Copyright Disclaimer Privacy Professional Products Professional Products Support Financial Products About Thomson Reuters Careers Online Products Acquisitions Monthly Buyouts Venture Capital Journal International Financing Review Project Finance International PEhub.com PE Week Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. Thomson Reuters journalists are subject to an Editorial Handbook which requires fair presentation and disclosure of relevant interests. NYSE and AMEX quotes delayed by at least 20 minutes. Nasdaq delayed by at least 15 minutes. For a complete list of exchanges and delays, please click here.

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