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Monday, 20 September 2010 - Ireland needs to rethink budget plan: central bank government |
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    Edition: U.S. Article Comments (0) Email Print Reprints Read Analysis: Swedish government seeks way to exclude far-right 19 Sep 2010 BP says oil spill compensation payout rate soars | Video 9:50am EDT China media warn Japan over escalating sea row 8:36am EDT Australia, U.S. warn citizens as India probes shooting 5:05am EDT BP to conduct test to show if Gulf well dead 18 Sep 2010 Shared Editor's choice 17 Sep 2010 Best of the week 17 Sep 2010 Analysis: Swedish rout highlights European socialist crisis 9:33am EDT Editor's choice 8:05am EDT Facebook denies plans to build its own phone 19 Sep 2010 Watched Soros: Gold "not safe" Wed, Sep 15 2010 The week ahead Fri, Sep 17 2010 BP oil well sealed. Sun, Sep 19 2010 NYSE and AMEX quotes delayed by at least 20 minutes. NASDAQ delayed by at least 15 minutes. For a complete list of exchanges and delays, please click here. Editor's choice Our top images from the past 24 hours.   Slideshow  Ireland needs to rethink budget plan: central bank government Tweet This Share on LinkedIn Share on Facebook Related News UPDATE 3-Ireland needs to rethink budget plan -central bank gov 9:31am EDT EU's Rehn confident Ireland will deal with troubles 5:05am EDT Anglo Irish bill not as high as some fear-c.bank 4:58am EDT Ireland slams IMF rumors Fri, Sep 17 2010 UPDATE 2-Ireland's Fin Min signals even more pain ahead Mon, Sep 13 2010 Analysis & Opinion Irish plight about more than austerity Norway’s long Greece Related Topics World » By Carmel Crimmins DUBLIN | Mon Sep 20, 2010 9:35am EDT DUBLIN (Reuters) - Ireland will need to rethink its plan for cutting a bloated budget deficit due to weak economic growth and higher borrowing costs, though the price of its bank bailout will not be as high as some fear, the central bank said Monday. Touted last year as a role model for cutting spending aggressively after a property market crash, the rising cost of rescuing its banks has made investors nervous about a full-blown debt crisis, sending Irish borrowing costs soaring to levels that are unsustainable over the long-term. The head of the central bank signaled Monday the government needed to take even tougher fiscal action in the next few years to win back investor confidence and get borrowing costs down. "I think these kinds of budgetary programs do need to be reprogrammed in the light of circumstances," Patrick Honohan told an audience at a regulatory conference in Dublin. "My overarching goal is to ensure that the government's funding costs are not damaged by a market perception that the government might not be going to deliver what it is going to deliver." Despite three austerity budgets in two years, the cost of propping up nationalized Anglo Irish Bank could push Dublin's 2010 budget deficit to around 25 percent of gross domestic product (GDP), far above an EU limit of 3 percent. Ireland has vowed to return its finances to the EU target by 2014 and Honohan said that the shortfall could come close to that if the economy stays on an originally envisaged course, but he added the real economy and the cost of government borrowing had so far evolved in a "less favorable way." Ireland's 10-year bond yield was around 6.5 percent Monday, driving the yield premium investors demand over German bunds to a fresh euro lifetime high of 414 bps. That is still less than half that of Greece. The finance ministry said this year's budget trends were in line with plans so far and it was committed to further stabilization measures going forward. "The government is in agreement with the governor that it is important for Ireland that we tackle our public finances," it said in a statement. The next update on fiscal plans is expected in the second half of October after the release of some important economic data, it added. BANK BAILOUT FEARS OVERDONE Last week the government and the International Monetary Fund sought to calm financial markets after a newspaper report on the possibility of an IMF bailout sent investors running for cover. "Recent movements in the yield spread on government debt -- both for Ireland and for some other countries -- readily demonstrate the costs that can result unless international lenders remain convinced that the budget is going to be kept on a convergent path," Honohan said. A further test of sentiment will come when Dublin auctions up to 1.5 billion euros of bonds Tuesday. Despite his budget warnings, Honohan also said some of the estimates for the scale of the bank bailout cost were overdone. Rating agency Standard & Poor's recently said the cost of bailing out Anglo could reach 35 billion euros ($46 billion), versus the nearly 23 billion euros Ireland has so far into the nationalized lender. "It will be less than numbers recently touted around," Honohan said. He did not name S&P. The budget and banks issues have put Ireland back at the forefront of concerns for investors worried that another euro zone state may wind up in similar trouble to debt-laden Greece. In Athens, a source at the central bank told Reuters on Monday that Greece will postpone stress testing its banks until later in the year to allow its largest lender to complete a big rights issue. Honohan told the conference that Ireland's banks had made good progress in meeting tough new capital requirements. The European Union's Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn also said Monday he was confident that Ireland would deal with the current problems. "I have full confidence on Ireland and its capacity to act with determination to complete the financial repair and the necessary restructuring of the banking and financial sector," Rehn said at an event in Estonia. (Writing by Andras Gergely, additional reporting by Marc Jones in Tallinn; editing by Patrick Graham) World     Add a Comment *We welcome comments that advance the story directly or with relevant tangential information. We try to block comments that use offensive language or appear to be spam and review comments frequently to ensure they meet our standards. If you see a comment that you believe is irrelevant or inappropriate, you can flag it to our editors by using the report abuse links. Views expressed in the comments do not represent those of Reuters.   © Copyright 2010 Thomson Reuters Editorial Editions: Africa Arabic Argentina Brazil Canada China France Germany India Italy Japan Latin America Mexico Russia Spain United Kingdom United States Reuters Contact Us Advertise With Us Help Journalism Handbook Archive Site Index Video Index Reader Feedback   Mobile Newsletters RSS Podcasts Widgets Your View Analyst Research Thomson Reuters Copyright Disclaimer Privacy Professional Products Professional Products Support Financial Products About Thomson Reuters Careers Online Products Acquisitions Monthly Buyouts Venture Capital Journal International Financing Review Project Finance International PEhub.com PE Week FindLaw Reuters on Facebook Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. Thomson Reuters journalists are subject to an Editorial Handbook which requires fair presentation and disclosure of relevant interests. NYSE and AMEX quotes delayed by at least 20 minutes. Nasdaq delayed by at least 15 minutes. For a complete list of exchanges and delays, please click here.

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