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Putin warns Russia against economic complacency
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By Gleb Bryanski and Timothy Heritage
MOSCOW (Reuters) - Prime Minister Vladimir Putin said Wednesday Russia was emerging powerfully from the global financial crisis but must reduce its reliance on energy and raw materials to see off external...
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Russia's Prime Minister Vladimir Putin addresses the parliament at Russian State Duma in Moscow April 20, 2011.
Credit: Reuters/Alexsey Druginyn/RIA Novosti/Pool
By Gleb Bryanski and Timothy Heritage
MOSCOW |
Wed Apr 20, 2011 11:13am EDT
MOSCOW (Reuters) - Prime Minister Vladimir Putin said Wednesday Russia was emerging powerfully from the global financial crisis but must reduce its reliance on energy and raw materials to see off external threats to its economy.
In a speech to parliament, he did not say whether he and President Dmitry Medvedev had agreed which of them would run in next year's presidential election but underlined his own credentials by outlining his government's economic achievements.
Putin told the State Duma lower house in his more than two-hour annual report that inflation would not exceed 6.5 to 7.5 percent in 2011 and that gross domestic product grew by 4.4 percent in the first quarter of the year.
He also made a number of promises likely to please voters, including putting aside $2.7 billion for a possible increase in state pensions in August. Other spending pledges included support for farmers, teachers and the military.
But he said Russia faced unspecified external threats to its $1.5 trillion economy and the country of 143 million people could not afford to sit back after overcoming the worst of the financial crisis.
"Based on GDP, Russia should enter the ranks of the five leading countries (by 2020)," he told deputies, adding that GDP per capita should more than double to $35,000 by then.
"The current beneficial environment in the raw materials and hydrocarbons (markets) should not make us relax. The oil boom we are witnessing only underlines the need to move quickly to a new model of economic development."
High oil prices helped fuel Russia's economic resurgence during Putin's 2000-2008 presidency and the price of oil, Russia's main export commodity, is up 28 percent this year.
But the economy is over-reliant on energy and raw materials exports, and any fall in the oil price will have a big impact on its overall economic performance unless it diversifies.
"Economic weakness and sensitivity to external shocks result in threats to national sovereignty," Putin said, calling for a decade of "strong, calm" economic development and referring to unnamed groups which he said wanted to destabilize Russia.
Putin compared Russia favorably with indebted European countries which have had to be bailed out and, criticizing the U.S. policy of quantitative easing under which central banks flood the market with money, pointed out that the United States' triple-A credit rating was under threat.
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Putin underlined his intention to keep a lid on inflation, one of the biggest threats to economic stability, by saying the unexpected windfall from oil revenues would not be spent and should instead be kept in the state reserves.
Russia has struggled to attract as much direct foreign investment as it wants but Putin said he expected the annual sum to rise soon to $60-$70 billion from $40.5 billion in 2010.
He also said that by 2015 he expected birth rates to rise by 25-30 percent from 2006 levels and average life expectancy to grow from 69 to 71 years because of $53 billion worth of state investment in demographic programs.
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