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Edition: U.S. Article Comments (0) Email Print Reprints Full Focus Editor's choice A selection of our best pictures from the past 24 hours. Full Article Read UPDATE 1-U.S. mortgage rates at new record lows-Freddie Mac 10:57am EDT WRAPUP 2-Bank shares hit by U.S. foreclosure woes 2:19pm EDT September home foreclosures top 100,000 for first time 12:59pm EDT U.S. is currency war's "tomb maker": China economist 6:39am EDT Rescued Chile miners recover, face celebrity status 3:59pm EDT Discussed 198 California governor debate turns into verbal brawl 75 Republicans to take House at midterm vote: Reuters/Ipsos poll 70 Obama administration appeals ruling backing gay marriage Watched Red faces over top model gaffe Tue, Sep 28 2010 Banksy takes on the Simpsons Tue, Oct 12 2010 From the mine to the minefield Wed, Oct 13 2010 Serra draws closer in Brazil poll, markets react Tweet This Share on LinkedIn Share on Facebook Related News Rousseff holds ground in Brazil election race Wed, Oct 13 2010 UPDATE 3-Rousseff holds ground in Brazil election race Wed, Oct 13 2010 UPDATE 1-Rousseff holds lead in Brazil election race-poll Wed, Oct 13 2010 Analysis: Surprise: Brazil's election is anything but over Mon, Oct 11 2010 UPDATE 2-Rousseff leads Brazil poll by 7 percentage points Sat, Oct 9 2010 Analysis & Opinion Brazil “values voters” go YouTube against prez hopeful Rousseff Rousseff courts Brazil’s faith voters with “for life” comments Related Topics World » By Raymond Colitt BRASILIA | Thu Oct 14, 2010 4:19pm EDT BRASILIA (Reuters) - Brazil's presidential race narrowed to a statistical dead heat in a new poll on Thursday, causing investors to react for the first time in months to the possibility of a victory by opposition candidate Jose Serra. The survey by polling firm Sensus showed Serra trailed ruling party candidate Dilma Rousseff by just four percentage points -- within the poll's margin of error, and a far cry from the 20-point lead Rousseff enjoyed in late August. The poll showed Rousseff with 46.8 percent support and Serra with 42.7 percent in the October 31 runoff. Other recent polls have given Rousseff a lead of as much as eight points, raising questions about whether the Sensus survey was an outlier. Still, it is clear that a recent corruption scandal, plus a controversy over Rousseff's abortion views, have badly eroded support for the career civil servant whom President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva chose as his preferred successor. As a result, many investors began to hedge their bets on Thursday in case Serra wins -- signaling a potential shift in an election financial markets have largely ignored because Rousseff was the prohibitive favorite. "No one imagined we could see this 'technical tie' so early, and so the market is pricing this in," said Paulo Nepomuceno, an economist at Brazil's Coinvalores brokerage. "The movement (in markets) is very strong." Yields on Brazil's interest-rate future contracts fell as markets accounted for Serra's more hawkish stance on public spending, which would probably bring rates down over time. Brazil's real also sank 0.54 percent to 1.662 per dollar in local trade, underperforming other major currencies in Latin America after it hit two-year highs in recent sessions. Serra has repeatedly said he thinks the real is overvalued, which investors interpret as a sign he could take steps to weaken the currency if elected. Neither candidate is expected to deviate substantially from the mix of center-left economic policies that have made Brazil one of the world's hottest emerging markets under Lula's rule, though there are enough potential differences in fiscal policy, for example, to send some investors scrambling. Rousseff, 62, is still favored by most to prevail, thanks to Lula's support and Brazil's booming economy. A report issued on Monday by the Eurasia Group, a thinktank, gave Rousseff a 75 percent chance of winning the runoff. Yet the momentum in the race has clearly shifted since Rousseff just failed to win a majority of votes in the first round of the election on October 3. The focus on social issues has shifted the election away from her central message that she is the best candidate to continue Brazil's recent run of prosperity. SERRA POUNDS AWAY AT SOCIAL ISSUES Former Sao Paulo state governor Serra has hammered away at his opponent for her contradictory statements on abortion -- a hot-button issue in the world's most populous Roman Catholic country and where Christian evangelicals are a powerful force. 1 2 Next World Add a Comment *We welcome comments that advance the story directly or with relevant tangential information. We try to block comments that use offensive language or appear to be spam and review comments frequently to ensure they meet our standards. If you see a comment that you believe is irrelevant or inappropriate, you can flag it to our editors by using the report abuse links. Views expressed in the comments do not represent those of Reuters. © Copyright 2010 Thomson Reuters Editorial Editions: Africa Arabic Argentina Brazil Canada China France Germany India Italy Japan Latin America Mexico Russia Spain United Kingdom United States Reuters Contact Us Advertise With Us Help Journalism Handbook Archive Site Index Video Index Reader Feedback Mobile Newsletters RSS Podcasts Widgets Your View Analyst Research Thomson Reuters Copyright Disclaimer Privacy Professional Products Professional Products Support Financial Products About Thomson Reuters Careers Online Products Acquisitions Monthly Buyouts Venture Capital Journal International Financing Review Project Finance International PEhub.com PE Week FindLaw Reuters on Facebook Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. Thomson Reuters journalists are subject to an Editorial Handbook which requires fair presentation and disclosure of relevant interests. NYSE and AMEX quotes delayed by at least 20 minutes. Nasdaq delayed by at least 15 minutes. For a complete list of exchanges and delays, please click here.

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