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Iran slows atom plant growth but fuel stockpile jumps
Thu Feb 19, 2009 2:20pm EST
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By Mark Heinrich
VIENNA (Reuters) - Iran has slowed the expansion of its uranium enrichment plant but markedly built up a stockpile of low-enriched nuclear fuel, an International Atomic Energy Agency report showed on Thursday.
The U.N. watchdog said Iran had increased the number of centrifuges refining uranium -- a process that can produce fuel for civilian energy or potentially for atom bombs -- by only 136 from 3,800 in November.
"We see the pace of installing and bringing centrifuges into operation has slowed quite considerably since August," a senior U.N. official versed in the IAEA's findings said.
But Iran's reported stockpile of low-enriched uranium had risen to 1,010 kg from 630 kg in November and 480 kg in August. The heightened output rate suggested existing centrifuges were operating at higher capacity and more glitch-free than before.
Western non-proliferation analysts estimate from 1,000 to 1,700 kg would be needed as a basis for conversion into high-enriched uranium suitable for one bomb and Tehran could reach that threshold within a few months.
But it would take Iran another 2-5 years before it was technically capable of producing nuclear weaponry, if it so chose, IAEA Director Mohamed ElBaradei said this week.
Iran says it is producing nuclear fuel only for civil nuclear energy. Western powers suspect otherwise due to Iran's record of nuclear secrecy and restrictions on IAEA inspections.
The IAEA report also said Iran had refused to let IAEA inspectors conduct a design check at its Arak heavy water reactor project in January and had built a dome over it, preventing satellites from taking images of the facility.
More broadly, the report said Iran was still boycotting IAEA investigators looking into intelligence allegations of past covert atom bomb work by Tehran, with the silent stalemate now more than six months old.
As long as Iran continued to withhold documentation, permission to interview relevant Iranian officials and visits to sites in question, it said, the IAEA would be unable to verify whether Iranian nuclear activity was peaceful or not.
OBAMA POLICY
Progress in the IAEA inquiry, which Iran regards as unjust and driven by American pressure, looks unlikely before Iran sees what new U.S. President Barack Obama has to offer under his stated policy of engagement with foes.
The IAEA report said aside from the 3,936 centrifuges actively enriching uranium, another 1,476 were undergoing vacuum -- dry run -- tests without nuclear material in them and 125 more had been installed but remained stationary.
ElBaradei said on Tuesday that Iran had not added as many centrifuges recently as it could have and the reason was probably political rather than technical.
He was alluding to perceptions Iran may want to give Obama political cover for talks, not provoke harsher U.N. sanctions over its refusal to suspend enrichment. Continued...
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