Forum Views ()
Forum Replies ()
Read more with google mobile :
Tight credit could limit eurozone growth: analysts
Yahoo!
My Yahoo!
Mail
Yahoo! Search
Search:
Sign InNew User? Sign Up
News Home -
Help
Navigation
Primary Navigation
Home
Singapore
Asia Pacific
World
Business
Entertainment
Sports
Technology
Top Stories
Most Popular
Secondary Navigation
Singapore
Asia Pacific
World
Search
Search:
Tight credit could limit eurozone growth: analysts
AFP - Sunday, August 2
FRANKFURT (AFP) - - Eurozone consumers can count on the European Central Bank's main interest rate staying at 1.0 percent this week, but tight credit could throttle the chances of a stout economic recovery, analysts say.
ADVERTISEMENT
The ECB "is biding its time for now, hoping that its generous liquidity provision will achieve the desired boost to commercial bank lending," Capital Economics economist Jennifer McKeown said.
In late June, the central bank lent commercial banks more than 440 billion euros (620 billion dollars) for a year, and has urged them to share the windfall with the wider economy.
But the ECB's latest bank lending survey showed banks are still tightening loan standards owing mainly to poor economic prospects for businesses, even though the number of banks doing so has dropped sharply.
In Britain, the Bank of England is expected to keep its main lending rate unchanged at 0.50 percent on Thursday, with analysts looking for more purchases of government bonds under the bank's quantitative easing scheme.
The BoE could pump another 25 billion pounds (29 billion euros, 41 billion dollars) into the economy via its non-conventional policy.
Comparable rates at the US Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan are essentially zero.
Another development the ECB governing council will watch is the threat of deflation, when prices fall for a protracted period and economic activity gets stuck as consumers and businesses wait for costs to fall even further.
Consumer prices in the 16-nation eurozone fell by a record 0.6 percent in July over one year, after dropping for the first time in June, according to an official EU estimate.
The European Commission found more consumers now expect prices to fall than before, with so-called inflation expectations at their lowest level last month since a survey began in 1985.
In general, consumer sentiment rose for the fourth month running in July to hit an eight-month high however, while a key purchasing managers index posted its second sharpest rise on record.
Eurozone economic activity is nonetheless forecast to contract by 1.9 percent this year.
The International Monetary Fund said the eurozone could expect "a modest recovery starting in the first half of 2010," but also warned of "a small risk of sustained deflation."
Prices have fallen sharply when compared with a spike in energy costs a year ago, but the financial crisis and recession have also created spare industrial capacity and rising unemployment that could push prices downward in general.
A solid recovery would protect against deflation, but it depends in part on getting credit flowing to companies and households again.
"Financial crises have historically led to period of protracted growth weakness," Goldman Sachs economist Saleem Bahaj noted.
"This is because one of the key fuels for a recovery, credit, is in short supply."
Commerzbank economist Michael Schubert nontheless noted that "mounting evidence of an economic recovery inspires some hope that lending will also improve again without further intervention on the ECB's part."
The bank's lending survey also found weaker demand for credit, despite a slight pick up from households seeking mortgages.
If economies in Asia and North America grow, eurozone companies might then need credit to meet rising demand and "tighter credit standards might start to bite" at that point, Deutsche Bank economist Gilles Moec said.
Email Story
IM Story
Printable View
Blog This
Sign in to recommend this article »
0 users recommend
Related Articles: Business
Hyundai, Kia to offer incentives for jobless in S.KoreaReuters - 2 hours 34 minutes ago
China steel output to grow despite falling demandAFP - 2 hours 35 minutes ago
Philippine c.bank says domestic liquidity adequateReuters - Sunday, August 2
Tight credit could limit eurozone growth: analystsAFP - Sunday, August 2
Talks collapse at troubled SKorean auto firmAFP - Sunday, August 2
Enlarge Photo
Tight credit could limit eurozone growth: analysts
Related Photos
Slideshow Full Photo Coverage: Business & Economy
Most Popular – Business
Viewed
Comets probably won't cause the end of life as we know it: study
Organic food not healthier, says British study
Madonna writes of her spiritual awakening
Beer flows as Obama tries to cool down a hot furor
US on track to pump $2 bln into cash-for-clunkers program
View Complete List »
Search:
Home
Singapore
Asia Pacific
World
Business
Entertainment
Sports
Technology
Top Stories
Most Popular
Copyright © 2009 Yahoo! Southeast Asia Pte Ltd. (Co. Reg. No. 199700735D). All Rights Reserved.
Privacy Policy
- Terms of Service
- Community
- Intellectual Property Rights Policy
- Help
Other News on Sunday, 2 August 2009 One French, three US soldiers killed in Afghan attacks
Karzai promises Afghan voters a brighter future
Afghan poll workers ambushed; U.S. soldiers killed
| International
|
Passengers on swine flu cruise liner allowed ashore
Iraqis fear al Qaeda violence after mosque bombs
Honduran pro-Zelaya protester dies after shooting
| International
|
Fatah to hold congress despite Hamas ban
| International
|
Militant urges targeting China over Uighurs
| International
|
India mulls late-night TV as population control
Former Philippine leader Aquino dies
Iran says three US nationals arrested near Iraq border
Malaysia police use tear gas against mass protest
New York airport terminal evacuated due to suspicious bag
Japan PM flags N.Korea abductions ahead of vote
Apple, labels stir up deluxe digital Cocktail
| Technology
|
Schools reopen in NW Pakistan after Taliban offensive
Hollywood stars visit Havana amid U.S.-Cuba thaw
Actor Jude Law to be father to fourth child
Afghan mission falls short of expectations: lawmakers
Forest fires rage on Spanish island, 4,000 evacuated
New robots help humans cope with illness
Dalai Lama urges global cooperation in economic crisis
Iran tries 100 reformists over election unrest
| International
|
Abdullah campaign king in Afghan vote hunt
Gunman kills 2 at Tel Aviv club for gay youths
| International
|
Malaysian newspapers face challenge from online media
Cuba set to unveil belt-tightening steps amid crisis
US-TECH Summary
Gunman kills 2 at Tel Aviv club for gay youths
Steyn breaks record as Boks beat All Blacks again
Castro to U.S.: communist Cuba will not change
| International
|
Iraqi death toll down in July after US handover
Apple, labels stir up deluxe digital Cocktail
Iran reformists back down in court as 100 face riot trial
Ousted Honduran president vows peaceful resistance
| International
|
Iran tries 100 reformists over election unrest
China-based cyber attack hits Australia film festival site
Afghan campaign worker attacked, guard killed
Yahoo Labs chief sees real-time search opportunity
Apple fixes iPhone SMS vulnerability
China win women's medley relay world title in world record
Dalai Lama urges global cooperation in economic crisis
Castro to U.S.: communist Cuba will not change
Militant urges targeting China over Uighurs
Steyn breaks rugby point record as Boks beat All Blacks
Flower still harbours victory hopes after Ashes washout
S.Korea first rocket launch set for August 11
Six Christians killed in Pakistan over Koran 'insult'
N.Korea 'helping Myanmar build nuclear plant': report
Dems look to limit increases in cost of insurance
Pakistan arrests suspect in Marriott hotel bombing
Malaysian police arrest hundreds in protest
Ore. faith-healing father gets 60 days in jail
Kentucky man charged in '80 slaying of Wis. couple
US Mint must seek court OK to keep rare 1933 coins
Popularity, Web snafus nearly broke 'clunkers'
China steel output to grow despite falling demand
Tight credit could limit eurozone growth: analysts
Talks collapse at troubled SKorean auto firm
S.Korea sees FX reserves rising up to $270 bln-reports
Couples wed on boat during Amsterdam gay pride
Chaos hits French holiday drivers: officials
Two Killed Changing Flat Tire On Highway In Massachusetts
Stockholm turns rainbow-coloured for gay pride
House Committee Approves Healthcare Bill
One U.S., Three French Soldiers Die In Afghanistan
Tens of thousands of Jehovah's Witnesses meet in France
US-ENTERTAINMENT Summary
Update: Flights Resume At LaGuardia Airport After A Bomb Hoax
Q&A: Juliette Lewis pushes to the limit with new band
Billboard singles reviews: Brad Paisley, Jay-Z
More Mozart: 2 new pieces being unveiled
Princess wins suit against German publisher
Peter Andre wins libel case over sex claims
Israel evicts Palestinians from Jerusalem homes
Five Russians killed in northern Caucasus: reports
Khatami condemns Iran's show trial of reformists
| International
|
Head of English Catholics warns about emails/texting
India's board backs stars in anti-doping row
Maliki on first visit to Iraqi Kurdistan
Israeli gays' safe haven turns deadly
| International
|
Maliki on first visit to Iraqi Kurd region as PM
Merkel urged to stand up to Obama on Opel jobs
Iraq's Tareq Aziz gets 7 years jail in Kurds case
| International
|
Five foreign troops killed in Afghanistan
| International
|
Iran's Khatami denounces trial of protesters
Swine flu: rich nations' spending spurs ethics row
Latest in string of west Iraq bombings kills six
| International
|
More than 700 killed in Nigeria clashes: Red Cross
| International
|
Schools open in Pakistan's Swat despite Taliban fear
| International
|
Aquino's family declines state funeral offer
| International
|
Plane with 16 people missing in Indonesia's Papua
| International
|
Israel opens West Bank road to Palestinian traffic
| International
|
Sony Pictures invests in new Zhang Yimou movie
Sony plugs Google's library into e-readers
Three US, two NATO soldiers killed in Afghanistan
Wildfires ravage Canada's British Columbia
Aquino's family declines state funeral offer
Head of English Catholics warns about emails/texting
| Technology
|
Strong quake strikes eastern Indonesia
Schools open in Pakistan's Swat despite Taliban fear
Lawyers still hope Suu Kyi will be freed
Plane with 16 people missing in Indonesia's Papua
Bollywood star Shetty dismisses temple complaint
'Cash for clunkers' rebates survive _ for weekend
China town sealed off after pneumonic plague kills 1
Man who threatened Obama sentenced to probation
Talks collapse at troubled SKorean auto firm
Thousands mourn ex-Philippine president Aquino
Chicken tikka masala claims its origins in Scotland
Mitsubishi UFJ arranges $5 bln loan to UAE: report
Turbulence in Indian skies as airlines plan strike
Chinese manufacturing expands in July
Newly discovered Mozart works played in Austria
| Entertainment
|
Indonesia files charges in Freeport mine shootings
Newly discovered Mozart pieces performed in Austria
WHO: Breastfeeding Saves Lives In Emergencies
Remains Of First U.S. Gulf War Pilot Shot Down Identified
Shuttered factories, shattered lives in US rust belt
Austrian has Indiana Jones moment in Mongolia
Cambodians begin to learn of bloody past
Sony Pictures invests in new Zhang Yimou movie
Academy's 'Keeper of the Oscars' dead at 48
Greece at new risk of being pushed off euro
Bodies of missing Tenn. mom, Jo Ann Bain, and daughter found
Female Breasts Are Bigger Than Ever
AMD Trinity Accelerated Processing Units Now in Volume Production
The Avengers (2012 film), made the second biggest opening- and single-day gross of all-time
AMD to Start Production of piledriver
Ivy Bridge Quad-Core, Four-Thread Desktop CPUs
Islamists Protest Lady Gaga's Concert in Indonesia
Japan Successfully Broadcasts an 8K Signal Over the Air
ECB boosts loans to 1 trillion Euro to stop credit crunch
Egypt : Mohammed Morsi won with 52 percent
What do you call 100,000 Frenchmen with their hands up
AMD Launches AMD Embedded R-Series APU Platform
Fed Should not Ignore Emerging Market Crisis
Fed casts shadow over India, emerging markets
Why are Chinese tourists so rude? A few insights