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My Profile Top News Reuters top ten news stories delivered to your inbox each day. Subscribe You are here: Home > News > International > Article Home Business & Finance News U.S. Politics International Technology Entertainment Sports Lifestyle Oddly Enough Health Science Special Coverage Video Pictures Your View The Great Debate Blogs Weather Reader Feedback Do More With Reuters RSS Widgets Mobile Podcasts Newsletters Your View Make Reuters My Homepage Partner Services CareerBuilder Affiliate Network Professional Products Support (Customer Zone) Reuters Media Financial Products About Thomson Reuters Exit polls suggest India heading for weak coalition Thu May 14, 2009 1:40am EDT Email | Print | Share | Reprints | Single Page [-] Text [+] By Surojit Gupta NEW DELHI (Reuters) - India could be heading for a weak coalition government on Thursday, with exit polls from the general election suggesting the ruling Congress-led coalition and its rivals would fall short of an outright majority. Three exit polls on Wednesday showed the ruling Congress-led coalition slightly ahead of the opposition Hindu-nationalist alliance, but both groups needed smaller allies to gain a parliamentary majority. Such a scenario may leave little room for either group to maneuver on the economy, because a shaky coalition is seen as unlikely to push key reforms such as privatization and raising the foreign investment limit in the insurance sector. Exit polls though have a mixed history in India. Official results will be released on Saturday. "If the Congress's lead was larger, the market may have taken it as a good sign," said Gajendra Nagpal, chief executive of Unicon Financial Intermediaries. "But now that it is just a slender lead, the market may become uncomfortable and think there might be more of a mess in the offing." At 0425 GMT (12:25 a.m. EDT) on Thursday, India's main stock index was down 2.7 percent. The Indian rupee was trading at 49.97 to the dollar, at 0430 GMT (12:30 a.m. EDT), off from a two-week low of 50.02 hit in early deals, and lower than Wednesday's close of 49.71. After the last election in 2004, Indian markets tumbled on fears an unstable coalition would soft-pedal on the next stage of reforms in Asia's third-largest economy which striving to emerge as a major global player. DEAL MAKING The vote count is scheduled for Saturday, when results from all races for the 543-member lower house of parliament should be known. The possibility of a weak coalition emerging from the election could unsettle markets. "These exit polls will not assure the market, which is factoring in a lead for the BJP-led alliance," said VK Sharma, head of research at Anagram Stock Broking. "There will be some downside and it will be volatile." Anantha Nageswaran, chief investment officer - Asia Pacific, Julius Baer in Singapore, said: "There are negative cues globally and we've had a bit of a rally in stocks, so this will be seen as an excuse to take profits." Continued... View article on single page Share: Del.icio.us Digg Mixx Yahoo! Facebook LinkedIn Next Article: Mexico flu slowing, death toll not over 100 Afghanistan and Pakistan Fighting the Taliban A growing insurgency in Afghanistan is also spreading deep into Pakistan, making both countries crucial to U.S. war efforts in the region. Full Coverage More International News Obama urges action to avert Sri Lanka catastrophe Myanmar's Suu Kyi to be charged over U.S. intruder Pope to hold mass in town of Jesus' boyhood | Video Japan's Hatoyama in lead to head opposition party North Korea to put U.S. journalists on trial in June More International News... Video India's election reaches final phase Play Video 127-year-old man votes in India More Video... 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