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My Profile Postcards to the President Messages from citizens around the world Watch Now You are here: Home > News > International > Article Home Business & Finance News U.S. Politics International Technology Entertainment Sports Lifestyle Oddly Enough Environment Health Science Special Coverage Video Pictures You Witness The Great Debate Blogs Reader Feedback Do More With Reuters RSS Widgets Mobile Podcasts Newsletters You Witness News Make Reuters My Homepage Partner Services CareerBuilder Affiliate Network Professional Products Support (Customer Zone) Reuters Media Financial Products About Thomson Reuters Korea ties may be heading to disaster: ex-president Thu Nov 13, 2008 10:32pm EST Email | Print | Share | Reprints | Single Page [-] Text [+] By Jon Herskovitz SEOUL (Reuters) - Former South Korean President Kim Dae-jung, architect of a policy a decade ago to bring the two Koreas together, has warned relations may be heading toward catastrophe as the prickly North draws deeper into its shell. The reclusive state, blaming the South's conservative government for dragging relations to a dangerous low, has said it would close their border on December 1 and is also limiting travel across the border with its main benefactor China. "South-North relations now stand at a crossroads -- heading toward catastrophe or reconciliation," the former president, who won the Nobel Peace Prize for his efforts to end decades of enmity between the two Koreas, told the Hankook Ilbo daily. The reclusive state's retreat into its cocoon comes amid widespread speculation its leader Kim Jong-il, 66, may have suffered serious illness, possibly a stroke, and could be losing his iron grip on power. There is no clear successor to Kim, who become the communist world's first dynastic ruler when he took over from his father and founder of North Korea, Kim Il-sung, who died in 1994 but remains the state's eternal president. Analysts say it took Kim about two years to establish a hold on government following his father's death. Since then he has allied himself closely to the military, which has one of the world's largest standing armies of around one million. But the policy of putting his generals and soldiers first has come at huge cost to the country. Industry is rusting from lack of investment and the population of 23 million is constantly on the verge of famine. CAN'T GO BACK Park Young-ho, an expert on the North at the South's Korea Institute for National Unification said the North may be trying to keep a firmer grip on its people who are hearing reports from the outside world that Kim may be sick. "But I don't believe this move could lead to a complete shutdown of the already reclusive regime because North Korea just can't go back to its past self, which was completely isolated from the outside world," he said. Travel agents in China said Pyongyang was restricting tourists from their side of the border which is the main route for trade and investment for the impoverished North. This week, the North said it would not allow international inspectors to remove nuclear samples from the country, a stance the South said was tantamount to reneging on a pledge to regional powers over a deal to dismantle its nuclear weapons program in return for aid. South Korean Foreign Minister Yu Myung-hwan said on Thursday the North may be trying to strong-arm the international community into giving it more aid in exchange for Pyongyang taking its foot off the brakes on the disarmament deal. The North has been angered at the cut in aid it has seen from its wealthy neighbor in the South after President Lee Myung-bak took office in February, and more recently expressed fury at anti-Pyongyang leaflets being sent across the border by civic groups. Continued... 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